Summer Newsletter  2016

The Newsletter that is one year older, one year wiser, and one year slower 

 

VOL. XXV1I No. 2

August 9, 2016

Playoffs: "What Eric Said?" vs. Fuiture Wax

Playoffs: Oceanus vs. Smoking Loons

World Series: "What Eric Said?" vs. Oceanus

New SOMBILLA records, home/away records

Minutes of annual meeting

Summer Study No. 1 - Trade Register Update

Summer Study No. 2 - 2012 Draft Analysis

Summer Study No. 3A - The SOMBILLA Hall of Fame

Summer Study No. 3B - All-time franchise rosters

Summer Study No. 4 - Door #1, Door #2, or Door #3?

SOMBILLA All-star count

Ballparks

 

 

Playoffs

 

“What Eric Said?” vs. Future Wax   (at Hopkinton, March 6, 2015)

 

Background:  Picked 7th in the pre-season poll, “WES?” posts a respectable 6-6 November and follows up with an equally respectable 8-8 in December and is sitting 3 games out, tied for 4th at the break. Jeff catches fire in January, wining key series from Jed and Tom and is only one game out heading into the final month. On 2/2, he sweeps Robin to take over first place!  “WES?” then goes 5-7 over the rest of the season, but that’s good enough for a tie for 2nd with Randy at 31-25.
 
Future Wax, chosen 2nd by the experts, stumbles out of the gate (2-6) as Randy appears pre-occupied with acting. A 9-9 December has the Wax in 6th place.  He wins 3 of 4 in a key showdown with ND on 1/26, but FW is still a game out of the playoffs heading into February.  Flying down the homestretch, Randy goes 11-5 in the final month (winning series over Harold, Jeff and Robin) to finish at 31-25 in a flat footed tie with “WES?” for 2nd place.
 
The two teams split their season series 4-4, with each team wining 3 at home. This necessitates a coin flip for home field advantage in the playoffs. Randy, at Robin’s house for the regular season finale, did not want to wait until he and Jeff actually played before determining home field advantage, and wanted to flip right away.  We called Jeff, who was in his car, and he agreed to do the flip right then  Which we did.  Jeff wan the coin toss, calling 'heads'.

 

Game 1:          

 

Game 1 was a true pitcher’s dual, with Samardzija (8 IP, 2 hits, 1 run and 11 strikeouts) and bullpen (Cook, Chapman and Giles – 1 IP, 1 BB and a save) out-dueling the Future Wax club.  FW took a 1-0 lead on a solo shot by Upton in the 5th.  Things were looking bleak for the “WES?” until the bottom of the 8th when Holliday was awarded a pinch-hit walk.  After Turner made an out, three consecutive singles by Freeman, Puig and Jones provided all the support needed.    Final Score:  “WES?” 2 FW 1

 

Game 2:          

 

In Game 2, the Wax came out and pounded the snot out of WES, early and often to tie the series.  The Wax offense combined for 11 runs and 15 hits, led by Stanton going 4-5 (2  singles, 2 walks and 1 HR and 3 runs scored).  In this laugher, Lester was chased before completing the first inning.  Final Score:   FW 11 “WES?” 3

 

Game 3:      

 

In Game 3, JD Martinez went on an offensive tear (4-5, 3 runs, 2B, 3 HR and 5 RBIs) for WES.  His major damage occurred in the second inning when he hit a grand slam to bring the “WES?” club up, 5 to1.  “WES?” went on to win 6 to 4, the score closer than it seemed due to an untimely error committed by Puig.  Final Score: “WES?” 6 FW 4

 

Game 4:          

 

In Game 4, “WES?” got out to an early lead off of a 2nd inning three run shot by Andrew Jones.  The combination of Sarmardzija, Casilla and Chapman was able to keep the Wax bats at bay and “WES?” went on to win to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.  Final Score: “WES?” 6 FW 4

 

Game 5 :

          

In what turned out to be the finale, the “WES?” offense was led by yet another grand slam home run by JD Martinez.  The rolls and karma just kept coming WES’s way as they went on to avenge last years first round exit at the hands of FW.  Final Score “WES?” 9 FW 1

 

“What Eric Said?” wins series 4 games to 1

 

I have to give the series MVP to JD Martinez:

 

11 for 21, .524 average, 3 2B, 4 HR, 10 RBIs, 1.238 SLG 

 



Playoffs:

Oceanus vs. Smoking Loons (Internet March 7, 2016)

 

Background: 

Neither team was picked for the playoffs in the preseason poll (Jed -6th, Eric -8th), meaning that three of the four playoff teams were predicted to finish 6th, 7th and 8th by the so-called experts.  Jed practically goes wire to wire, however, jumping out to an 11-5 start, and is sitting at 17-11 in first by 2 games during Auld Lang Syne. An 8-8 January has him still in first, and, after briefly dropping behind “WES?” in early February, he picks up ace Corey Kluber at the trading deadline and finishes 8-4 and cruises to his first first-place finish in many years.

 

Eric starts out well also, at 9-7, and is 14-14 at the break.  A sweep of Harold in January keeps the hopes twinkling and he’s 23-21 heading into the final month. He later laments that he had grand delusions about how good his team was (and trading away a 2nd round pick), but a 6-6 February is good enough to capture 4th place by one game.

 

Jed won the season series 5 games to 3.

 
Executive Summary

Oceanus takes the series 4-2.  The Loons fight valiantly after falling behind 2 games to none, with an epic comeback in game 5.  And after jumping to a 5-0 lead in game 6, it seemed a game 7 was inevitable.  But at that point Oceanus, keying on its manager's pessimism, hammered out 15 runs in 4 innings to put the game and the series away.

Below are the slightly edited game summaries.  Game 5 was an all time great, with the Smoking Loons prevailing 10-9 after 14 innings after having trailed 8-1 in the bottom of the 4th.  Eric also came back from being down 5-0 in game 3.  Overall, we experienced the full Strat-O panoply - death rolls, homerun robbing, several runners nailed at home plate, errors by Gold Glove fielders etc.  Luck certainly went in waves although Eric had pretty much none in games 1 and 2. 

Abreu, Beltre, Brantley and Mesoraco all hit 3 HR for Oceanus.  Arenado had 3 HR for the Loons.  There was a lot of hitting, so many players hit well over .300 for the series.  Beltre was the star for Oceanus going 13 for 27.  Span went 7 for 18 for the Loons.  Kluber got two victories, with a 3.38 ERA overall, but was touched up a bit in game 4.

Game 1:

Designated hitter Jose Abreu knocked 2 homeruns and Corey Kluber went 9 solid innings as the Oceanus ballclub beat the Smoking Loons team by a score of 6 to 2.

Kluber pitched one of his finer games as he simply was too much for the Smoking Loons batters.  He didn't allow much, just 4 hits and no walks in 9 innings.  Oceanus had a total of 14 hits for the game. 

Jered Weaver ended up with the loss.  He got hit hard, allowing 10 hits and 4 walks in 6 and 2/3 innings.

Game 2:

Felix Hernandez tossed a complete game as the Smoking Loons ballclub were badly beaten by the Oceanus club, 12 to 1, as Oceanus jumps to a 2 games to 0 lead in the series.

Oceanus started with a bang, jumping out to an early lead in their half of the first scoring a single run.  After an out was recorded, Carlos Gomez hit a bases-empty home run.  Oceanus finished with 13 hits in the victory.

Hernandez, allowing 1 run for the game, picked up the victory. Garrett Richards ended up with the loss.  He was touched for 5 homeruns in his 5 innings of work.

Game 3:

Catcher Jonathan Lucroy hit a homerun and had 2 RBI as the Smoking Loons club beat the Oceanus team 6 to 5.

Smoking Loons had the game-winning rally in the 8th inning with 3 runs on 2 hits.  After an out was recorded, Adrian Gonzalez initiated the scoring when he blasted a solo shot.  Neil Walker stepped up next and he was hit by a pitch.  Nolan Arenado then bombed a two-run dinger.  Joe Smith came through with a perfect ninth inning to earn the save. 

Jonathan Papelbon went 1 inning allowing no runs for the victory. Pat Neshek was tagged with the loss in relief.  He surrendered 1 run and 1 hit in 2/3 of an inning.

Game 4:

Michael Brantley slammed a homerun and had 4 RBI as the Oceanus club defeated the Smoking Loons ballclub by the score of 7 to 4, to go up 3 games to 1.

Brantley led the offense for Oceanus.  He delivered a one-base hit in the 5th inning, lifted one out of the park for a two run home run in the 7th inning and lashed a single, scoring two baserunners in the 8th inning.  Both teams totaled 10 hits on the night. 

Corey Kluber got credit for the victory, pitching 7 innings and allowing 4 runs. Kluber was helped out by Darren O'Day who recorded the save.  Tom Wilhelmsen absorbed the loss in relief. 

Game 5:

Derek Norris jacked one out of the ballyard and had 2 RBI as the Smoking Loons ballclub defeated the Oceanus team in 14 innings 10 to 9.

The teams were tied at 8 runs apiece after nine innings.  Finally, Smoking Loons pulled the game out in the 14th inning.  After an out was recorded, Marcell Ozuna cracked a solo homerun giving Smoking Loons the win as 46,117 happy fans joyfully celebrated.  For the game, Smoking Loons out-hit Oceanus 19 to 13. 

Kyle Hendricks went 2 innings allowing no runs for the victory. The loss was charged to Hiroki Kuroda in relief.  He gave up 4 hits and 2 walks in 3 and 1/3 innings.

Game 6:

For some reason, no computer-generated game summary?!  The Loons went up early, taking advantage of hitting against surprise starter David Price.  It was 5-0 after 3.  Oceanus was gloom and doom at that point, raising the white flag and bringing in Hiroki Kuroda as a long reliever.  But Kuroda managed to keep the Loons quiet.  And Oceanus made it 5-2 after 4 and 5-5 after 5.  It was at that point that the wheels fell off for the Smoking Loons.  Oceanus put together an 8-run 6th, one of those innings where nothing could go wrong.

Everyone on the Assholes collected at least one hit, with the exception of Brantley and Heyward (who only had 1 AB).  Arenado went 3 for 4 for the Loons, with a HR.

Oceanus wins series 4 games to 2

 

 

World Series

 

Oceanus vs. “What Eric Said?”  (Internet, March 20, 2016)

 

Background: It’s been a long drought for both teams. In fact, perhaps being prescient, I pointed this out in last year’s Summer Newsletter in the introduction to “July Madness” when I pitted the World Series participants of the last 8 years in a tournament:

 

“All managers are represented, except Jeff and Jed. Jeff has not made it into the SOMBILLA World Series since he won the Championship in 2003.  In the 12 years since then, he has lost in the first round of the playoffs 4 times, including last season.

However, Jed blows that away.  He has not appeared in the SOMBILLA World Series since 1990, when he managed the Plymouth Satellites to the 11th inning of the 7th game against legendary Yoknapatawpha (44-12).  We all remember that one…. Anyway, Jed, both solo and co-owning (Clint and Matt) has lost in the first round of the playoffs 6 times in the past 25 years, having gone 14 seasons, from ’92-93 to ’05-06, without even making the playoffs.

 

World Series notes:

After a 13-year drought the faithful fans (all one or two of them) of “What Eric Said?” are celebrating a second World Series win.  In post-game interviews the manager stated “It was a great win for the team, after coming up short in the first round the year prior, the team pulled it all together to make what most of the league prognosticators thought was impossible.”  The manager attributes the catalyst that sparked the unlikely run was the inclusion of the “?” in the team’s name.  The series summaries follow:

 
Game 1 - Oceanus 14 “What Eric Said?” 6

In what loomed as an early game predictor, “WES?”  came up short with some untimely high splits in Oceanus’s hitter-friendly park, missing what seemed to be very likely home runs.  Unfortunately for the visiting underdogs, the home team took full advantage of their home field and went on to knock the snot out of starting pitcher ace Jeff SamardzijaSamardzija was given an early hook so he could restart fresh two games later.  Oceanus’s Jose Bautista rocketed 2 homeruns and had 4 RBIs as Oceanus “Klubered”  “What Eric Said?” 14 to 6.

Bautista was a one-man wrecking crew.  He clubbed a solo home run in the 2nd inning, doubled plating a run in the 3rd inning and lifted one out of the park for a two-run home run in the 6th inning.  Both teams finished the game with 12 hits.  The win went to Corey Kluber (1-0) who allowed 5 runs in 6 and 2/3 innings. 

Game 2 – “What Eric Said?” 6 Oceanus 1

Matt Holliday hit one over the fence and had 2 RBIs as “What Eric Said?” defeated Oceanus by the score of 6 to 1 on the road to tie up the series.

“What Eric Said?” scored 3 runs in the decisive 2nd inning when they came up with 3 base hits.  The big moment was provided by Danny Santana, who silenced the home crowd as he slapped a base-hit scoring two base runners.  “What Eric Said?” finished with 13 hits in the victory. 

The win went to Ryan Cook (1-0), who went 2 innings, allowing no runs, stealing away home-field advantage.  Hiroki Kuroda (0-1) was the losing pitcher.  He surrendered 6 hits and 2 walks in 4 innings. 

Game 3 – “What Eric Said?” 5 Oceanus 4

Danny Santana left the yard and had 3 RBIs as “What Eric Said?” beat Oceanus in a 10-inning thriller by a score of 5 to 4.

“WES?” was down by two runs in the bottom of the ninth, but Santana’s bomb brought the home crowd to their feet launching the game-tying blow.  In the 10th inning, after an out was recorded, Justin Turner drew a walk.  Freddie Freeman stepped up next and he ripped a base-hit.  With both the infield and outfield in, Yasiel Puig then hit a deep fly making “What Eric Said?” victorious to the delight of the hometown crowd.  “What Eric Said?” finished with 10 hits in the victory.

Aroldis Chapman (1-0) was the winner, allowing no runs in 1/3 of an inning. The loss was charged to Cody Allen(0-1) in relief.  He pitched 1/3 of an inning allowing 1 hit and 1 walk.

Game 4 – “What Eric Said?” 7 Oceanus 0

Hisashi Iwakuma didn't allow a hit until the 6th inning as “What Eric Said?” defeated the Oceanus club 7 to 0 to take a commanding 3 games to 1 lead.

Iwakuma (1-0) put on a good performance.  He didn't give up much, just 1 hit and 1 walk in 6 and 1/3 innings.  The right-handed Iwakuma had his no-hit bid broken up by Michael Brantley who doubled with two outs in the 6th inning. “What Eric Said?” had 13 hits for the night while Oceanus had 2.

Corey Kluber (1-1) was the losing pitcher.  He surrendered 11 hits and 1 walk in 6 and 2/3 innings.

Game 5 – Oceanus 8 “What Eric Said?” 4

Masahiro Tanaka retired 12 batters on strikeouts and Michael Brantley slammed a homerun and had 2 RBI as the Oceanus club beat the “What Eric Said?” by a score of 8 to 4.

Tanaka (1-0) gave a fine effort for Oceanus.  He surrendered 8 hits and 1 walk in 7 innings and served up 2 'big flies.’  Oceanus finished with 11 hits in the victory.  

A pivotal change in karma came in the top of the 5th with Brantley up.  He launches a shot to right center that appears to he held up a bit by the wind…..  [BALL PARK EFFECT] chance to rob Brantley of the dinger by Adam Jones, a 1 in CF (1-3 HR, 4-20 out).  I asked Jed if he would like me to have Robin roll the thing, and he said yes.  After some quick rubbing of the dice Robin proceded to roll a 1!  Robin robbed my chance of robbing a home run from her favorite LF Brantley!  (She states that she had no idea exactly what she was rolling for). That 2-run shot set the tone for the rest of the game.  Forcing the “WES?”  squad to have to put the World Series away on the road.

Jon Lester (0-1) was hit with the loss.  Tanaka was pleased with his performance.  He noted, 'I had good command of all my pitches.  Just as important, my location was right on. 

Game 6 – “What Eric Said?” 8 Oceanus 0

What started out as having the makings of a great game turned into a laugher in the top of the 7th inning as the “WES?”  bats erupted putting up 5 runs.  First baseman Freddie Freeman hit a homerun and had 3 RBI as “What Eric Said? finished off Oceanus 8 to 0.

Santiago Casilla (1-0) came on to close the door tight in relief.  He allowed no hits and 1 walk in 3 innings.  Overall “What Eric Said?” out-hit Oceanus 11 to 4.  Adam Warren (0-1) ended up with the loss in relief.  He surrendered 1 run and 3 hits in 1/3 of an inning.

Batting-wise I’d have to give the MVP to Freddie Freeman, who started the series slow but ended up raking (.440, 2 HR and 9 RBIs).  That said, the unsung hero has to be Danny Santana.  His HR in the bottom of the 9th in game 3, forcing extra innings and tilting the karma, was huge.  The entire “WES?”  bullpen was stellar, pitching 12.67 IP and yielding 0 runs!

“What Eric Said?” wins series 4 games to 2

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

 

 

New SOMBILLA record set this year:

 

Most All-stars: North Dakota 17 (shattering its 19-year old record of 14 set in 1997)

 

Fewest errors, team:  Future Wax and Smoking Loons – 9 (old record Bay City '05-06 13)

 

Fewest walks, individual walk leader – Dozier, OC 30 (old record E. Martinez, NO '99-00 41)

 

It gets harder every year to find new records.

 

Home and Away record this year:

 

HOME                       AWAY

Randy  18-10   .643        Jed    18-10  .643
Jeff   16-12   .571        Eric   16-12  .571
Jed    15-13   .536        Jeff   15-13  .536  
Tom    14-14   .500        Arnie  14-14  .500
Robin  14-14   .500        Tom    14-14  .500
Eric   13-15   .464        Randy  13-15  .464
Harold 12-16   .429        Harold 11-17  .393
Arnie  11-17   .393        Robin  10-18  .357
TOTALS 113-111 .504             111-113  .496

 

 

I find this a little embarrassing, considering how many computer runs I do to choose a park for my team. Of course those runs were all done before I blew up my team.

 


THOUGHTS WHILE RUNNING AT THE TRACK

 

 

Minutes of Annual Meeting and Draft April 2, 2016

 

1.  Dues.   Jed still o”WES?” me $9.00.   I accept PayPal!  Send to arniep@verizon.net.

 

2. Awards Voting - 5 points for 1st place, 3 for 2nd place, 1 for 3rd place.  Since managers cannot vote for their own players, 7 votes would be a unanimous vote. 

 

MVP               1    2    3   Tot

McCutchen, FW     4             20

Upton, FW         2    2    2   18

Abreau, OC             3         9

Stanton, FW            2    2    8

D. Santana, “WES?”   1         2    7

Trout CN          1              5

Brantley, OC           1         3

Cano, ND                    1    1

V. Martinez, BC             1    1

                                  

Cy Young          1    2    3   Tot

Kershaw, FW       4         3   23

Scherzer, FW      3    1    1   19

Samardzija, “WES?”    1    2    1   12

J. Smith, SL           3    1   10

Kluber, ND-OC          1         3

Kuroda, OC             1         3

F. Hernandez, OC            1    1

Lester, “WES?”                 1    1

 

A question was posed at the draft as to whether Kershaw was the first lefty to ever win the SOMBILLA’s Cy Young award.  The answer is no!  He is actually the 3rd.  The others:  Fernando Valenzuela, Learned Hands ’86-87 and Dontrelle Willis, New Orleans ’06-07.

 

Manager of the Year  1    2    3    Tot

Jeff                 6    1          33

Jed                  1    4    2     19

Eric                 1    3    3     17

Randy                          3      3

 

 

3.   Presentation of the Richman Cup by last year's champion, Randy, to this year’s champion, Jeff.  Randy forgot to bring the Richman Cup with him and as far as I know, still illegally claims possession of it.

      

 

4.       Rule change proposals

 

  1. Agreement on cutting players and waiver draft.  

 

We spent a few minutes agreeing to the time for the waiver draft and cutting of players.

 

  1. Draft lottery change proposal from Tom

 

Tom made a proposal (to Arnie) that Arnie translated and copied into the pre-draft newsletter.  The proposal was essentially that “all non-playoff teams get 1 thing plus 1 thing for every full game behind the 5th place team.” 

 

Had the original proposal been written that succinctly, Arnie would not have misinterpreted it to be:

 

“The first team out of the playoffs (5th place) receives one thing, each team under them gets 1 thing plus an additional thing for each place and games behind the first non-playoff team.  For example, if this system were in place for this season.

 

Tom finished 5th, he receives one thing.  Arnie came in 6th (2 things for finishing 6th), 3 games behind Tom (3 more things), for a total of 5 things.  Robin finished 7th (3 things), 4 games behind Tom (4 more things) for a total of 7.  Harold finished 8th (4 things), 5 games behind Tom (5 more things) for a total of 9.

 

Both Tom’s original proposal and my misinterpretation contained the following additional provisions:

 

·        Each team rolls their things and keeps the lowest value.

·         Then the teams are ordered 1st through 4th, resolving ties with a single thing off.

·         In the second round the order is reversed.

·         All subsequent rounds are in the order of the standings.  (1st tie breaker by best head to head record, 2nd by a separate thing off…)

My comments on this:

 

(Commissioner comments: On the plus side, it eliminates the complications of Draftmaggedon we’ve seen in recent years.  It’s easy to follow.  On the negative, in today’s world it gives mediocre teams (5th place) a shot at the top pick in addition to the worst teams.  Tom’s proposal is even more skewed away from the worst team getting the #1 pick than my misinterpretation.  Also as a practical matter, we will either need to buy more things or separate out the rolls.  For example, we would have needed 16 things (Tom’s proposal) or 22 things (my misinterpretation) for the rolloff this year).

Chances for first overall pick:

 

Year

Current rule

Arnie’s Misinterpreted Tom Proposal

Tom’s Actual Proposal

2015 -  2016 

8th place: 33.3%

7th place :33.3%

6th place: 33.3%

5th place: 0

 

8th: 40.9%

7th: 31.8%

6th: 23.8%

5th: 4.5%

8th: 37.5%

7th: 31.3%

6th: 25.0%

5th: 6.3%

2014 – 2015

8th: 50.0%

7th: 50.0%

6th: 0

5th: 0

8th: 46.2%

7th: 30.8%

6th: 19.2%

5th: 3.8%

8th: 42.1%

7th: 31.6%

6th: 21.1%

5th: 5.3%

2013 – 2014

8th: 100%

7th: 0

6th: 0

5th: 0

8th: 60.0%

7th: 26.7%

6th: 6.7%

5th: 6.7%

8th: 55.6%

7th: 22.2%

6th: 11.1%

5th: 11.1%

 

The league did like the change because it is inherently simpler than Draftmaggedon to understand.  So the discussion then turned to which of the two proposals would be adopted.  People seemed more ‘comforted’ by the misinterpreted version’s results than the original proposal.  A 3rd somewhat complicated ‘hybrid’ version of the two was also thrown around, and seemed to have interest up until we looked at the phone in the middle of the room and asked Jed what he thought, and he adamantly responded “NO HYBRID.”  With not enough votes to support the hybrid proposal, it was withdrawn and the league then voted to adopt “Arnie’s misinterpretation” 8-0, effective with the 2017 lottery.

 

We’ll know ahead of time how many things will be needed; we may need to ask everyone to bring whatever they have (and/or have the lottery entrants do their rolls separately).

 

 

  1. New injury chart (with SOMBILLA modification)

 

Strat-O has changed the injury chart:

Roll

Current injury chart

New injury chart

1

OK

OK

2

OK

OK

3

Remainder of game

OK

4

Remainder of game

OK

5

1

Remainder of game

6

1

Remainder of game

7

1

1

8

1

1

9

2

1

10

2

2

11

2

2

12

3

3

13

3

3

14

4

4

15

5

5

16

6

6

17

7

8

18

8

10

19

10

15

20

15

60

I proposed that the league adopt the new chart, but substitute 20 games for 60 games if you roll a 20.  If we do that, we would also need to modify the current injury limitation for those < 300 plate appearances because it maxes out at 15 games. I proposed the following change to go along with adopting the new injury chart with a 20 game injury:

Plate appearances (ab + bb)    Maximum games injured
                  450+                                      2
               400-449                                     4
               350-399                                     6
               300-349                                     8
               250-299                                   15 (currently < 300)

               Under 250                                 20

 

This proposal led to a very long discussion, led by Eric, regarding why we had three different measurements for plate appearances, and why not just simplify everything and adopt the same standard.  For the record there are three instances where the SOMBILLA requires plate appearances:

 

    1. The injury chart (above, which uses ab + bb on the front of the card)
    2. Plate appearances counted to determine if a player is unlimited (400 plate appearances): AB+BB+HBP+SF (sac flies) + SH (sacrifice bunts)
    3. Plate appearances for the 42% total allowed for limited batters (ab + bb on the front of the card)

 

It was explained that #2 above was different because it helps managers by providing for potentially more unlimited players than if we just went with ab + bb.  Eric then wanted to know why we didn’t change # 1 and #3’s definition to equal #2.  It was explained that we want to keep things simple (injury in the middle of a game for example) by just using the front of the player’s card, rather than having to stop play and search the Internet to find AB+BB+HBP+SF (sac flies) + SH (sacrifice bunts).  Eric then wanted to know why we didn’t just change #2’s definition to equal #1 and #3.  We explained (again) that #2 above was different because it helps managers by providing for potentially more unlimited players than if we just went with ab + bb.  Eric then wanted to know why we didn’t’ change # 1 and #3’s definition to equal #2.  It was explained (again, somewhat impatiently) that we want to keep things simple (injury in the middle of a game for example) by just using the front of the player’s card And we went in circles for awhile.

 

Finally, the league voted to adopt the new injury charts 6-2.  A proposal that the new rules apply only to Future Wax was not voted on.


 

  1. Sending down/calling up/trading for pitchers during the season.

 

It started with Eric’s e-mail proposal after he made a trade at the deadline “When a team makes a trade after the roster freeze and as a result sends a pitcher down to the minors being replaced by a hitter from the trade, that pitcher’s innings are not assigned to any player on the active roster.”

 

This then triggered Tom to propose doing away with all of the complicated innings rules around sending down/calling up/trading for pitchers, and simply treating them the same as hitters.  We debated the original concern, which was that we wanted to discourage burning out a pitcher and then sending him down.

 

But why not treat mutant pitchers the same as mutant batters?  Here is Tom’s official proposal:

 

“Do away with pitcher pro-ration of innings when a team is changing the number of pitchers on their active roster except for September roster expansion or injury call up. 

 

·         For pitchers being used as the September roster expansion or injury call up they are limited to the greater of  

o        Series proration or

o        Starter point of weakness plus 2 innings or

o        (Reliever point of weakness + 2) x 3 innings. 

·         These pitchers are still limited by their yearly allocation of innings based on the normal rules -- .42*IP or .5*IP (for starred starters).

·         Basically, in real baseball if you have a player on the DL, the team can bring up a minor league pitcher for a spot start.  It then makes sense that he would be able to pitch his inning of weakness plus 2 at least.  (If he was not in the majors enough to allow that then he was not available to do that for your team.)

 

Because allowing for ‘mutant’ pitchers changes drafting philosophy, it was agreed to wait until the 2017-2018 season before implementing this rule. And due to concerns about unintended consequences for abuses or other issues we can’t foresee, it was also agreed to revisit this at the 2018 draft (unless something occurs that is so abusive that one manager requests a hearing during the 2017-2018 season).

 

 

  1. Jed then proposed (again) that each team could decide whether to use the DH rule in his or her own park (for both teams of course).  This failed to pass 6-2 (Harold noted that he could be persuaded to switch in favor of the rule).

 

 

5.          Card burning.  The league burned Aroldis Chapman and Jose Reyes.

 

6.                   Draft Notes

 

.

 

Retread report.


 


SUMMER STUDY NO. 1 – Trade Register Update

 

Back in 2010, I compiled a list of all SOMBILLA trades in league history.  You can see it here:

 

http://SOMBILLA.x10.mx/studies.htm#attr

 

I received a request to update this list.  So here you go:

 

5/5/08

This trade was not shown on the original list: A51 trades Chipper Jones to New Orleans for a “player to be named later” (Nick Markakis, after the current SOMBILLA season) and New Orleans 3rd round pick in the upcoming draft.

 If New Orleans makes the playoffs (which it did), the 3rd round pick becomes a 2nd round pick (became Joey Devine.  Who?) and New Orleans in return gets A51’s 8th round pick (Jerry Blevins).

11/10/09

Shoppach from FU for ND’s James Shields.  If Shields is a #1 starter per Lamanna for the 2010 season, then ND also gets a 3rd round pick in the 2011 draft.  If Shields is a #2 for 2010, its a 5th round pick in the 2011 draft. Shields was neither. Jed won this trade convincingly.

 

12/20/09

With much trepidation, Dem Bums wish to announce a trade of Jones's, Adam for Chipper (NO). Eric worries that Adam will become the next Eric Davis (he noticed that Adam is now a 1 in cf), and remembers a similar trade he made some years ago, trading for an aging yet stellar Larry Walker, only to see his season go down the tubes despite improving his team significantly on paper.

 

Harold assures Eric that Chipper will not disrupt the locker room cohesion. Eric thinks Harold is full of shit.

 

only time will tell...

 

(Ed note: Adam Jones is not the next Eric Davis, and Eric won the World Series that year).

 

1/19/10

Trade Update: after what seemed a prolonged negotiation in which little was actually negotiated, Arnie agreed to trade Grant Balfour to Eric for Ramon Ramirez, straight up, no chaser. It relieves Eric of one sox bullpenner, which was his primary motive. Too many pitchers on the olde home team had proved too stressful. Balfour said he was pleased to hear he was leaving a team that had changed its name mid-year.

 

(Balfour had a few good seasons after this for Eric, while Ramirez was cut).

1/24/10

ND sends Josh Hamilton to FW for Nelson Cruz, ND.  After FW won the trade early (with Hamilton having an MVP-type season), Cruz has come on for the last few seasons to help Arnie win this trade.

 

3/21/10

Fugakyu and New Orleans have agreed to the following trade: Ichiro Suzuki for Orlando Hudson plus New Orleans' 5th round draft choice in this year's draft (became Sean White).  Ichiro has now vowed to play until he's in his late 40's (a la Paul Molitor) and continue to hit for an even higher average

1/5/11

North Dakota, now 11 years removed from its last championship, and 2 years removed from its choke as the league's overwhelming favorite, has acquired centerfielder Carlos Beltran from hapless Bay City in exchange for 3B Chase Headley and a 2nd round draft pick (became Logan Morrison).  Despite (true) whispers that the two GMs were sleeping with each other, the Bay City front office points out that it was in fact, Fugakyu that initiated trade talks, "driving up the price" by forcing North Dakota to sweeten its offer.

Odd man out Dexter Fowler, who was designated for assignment, stormed out of the locker room and his whereabouts are unknown.

 

1/6/11

The New Orleans Ellis and the Fugakyu Pufferfish have agreed (pending the result of physical examination of the cards) to exchange 3B Ian Stewart plus a conditional draft choice for 3B Chone Figgins.  An anonymous source unauthorized to discuss the trade indicated that the conditional draft choice would be a 2011 4th round pick or a 2011 3rd round pick if the Ellis wins the Richman Cup (which he did!  The pick became Evan Meek).

 

The addition of Figgins means that all 25 Ellis players have a 1 range rating.  Figgins gives the Ellis a much sought-after leadoff threat and an irrepressible clubhouse presence.

 

The Pufferfish meanwhile seem to be sending a wait 'til next year signal.  However, Stewart will get a chance to play and does add some power to the lineup. 

 

1/22/11

Eric has traded Bob Howry and a 6th round pick to Robin (became Wil Rhymes) for reliever Kiko Calero. The original draft pick that Eric and Robin agreed on was a 7th rounder, but that got upgraded to a 6th rounder when Arnie, upon being notified of the trade's imminence, and exercising some obscure husbandly prerogative, angrily counter-offered a reliever of his own plus a better 6th round pick.

Robin, having begun negotiations in good faith, generously allowed Eric to match Arnie's proposal and agreed to the trade.

Eric feels relieved that he caused only a trifle amount of strife in their marriage, and lucky that the negotiations didn't escalate unreasonably due to Arnie's baseless tampering.

 

10/12/11

Eric's team (still nameless) traded Alexei Ramirez to Fugaku for Rajai Davis and a 6th round pick next year (became Corey Luebke). 

 

10/30/11

Fukakyu traded CJ Wilson and Huff to Bay City for V. Wells and a 7th round pick from Bay City if CJ Wilson is a "1" in Lamana's (became Fernando Salas).

2/9/12

Beating the trade deadline by mere hours (i.e. New Orleans 41st game tonight), the Raging Alcoholics trade Nick Swisher to New Orleans for a fourth round pick (became Brandon Belt) in the upcoming draft (which become a third if New Orleans wins the whole thing and Swisher plays in the World Series).

 Swisher is scrambling to sober up to get to the series vs. Constantinople tonight.

 

4/3/12

CN announces two trades:

CN trades Kelly Johnson to Fugakyu for Rafael Furcal.

Jed needs to announce a new cut...

CN trades Coco Crisp to The Cheddarmen (or whatever they will be called next year) for Chipper Jones

 

11/7/12

From Harold to Arnie: Ok, so to recap:

1.  I play Napoli Sunday vs Eric and pound him

2.  At 6pm Sunday you announce the trade to the league:  Napoli for a 2nd round pick, which becomes a first if you make the playoffs (which ND did; the pick became Matt Harvey)
3.  I give you Napoli Tuesday night, and you pound me.

 

1/15/13

Cheddarmen traded his 1st round pick (April 2014 Draft -- 2013 Cards, became Shelby Miller) for CN's Closer (Papelbon) and starting RFer (Pence).

 

3/9/13

Jeff and Harold made a trade - New Orleans trading Adam Jones straight up for Alex Gordon.

11/21/13

CN trades his 1st round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, became Garrett Richards) to Cheddarmen for his closer (Grant Balfour) and Melky Cabrera (Starting LFer) and an 8th round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, traded to ND).

 

CN GM when reached for comment, "We felt that we made a good deal last year and that we would do it from either side.  So when we say the opportunity to put our money where our rhetoric was we did it."

Cheese GM, "We are open for business; we will not propose trades but send us real offers and we will think about it." At which point, an as yet unnamed reporter asked "What is it with all the "we's"?  Y'all royalty or some such..." That is when the fight broke out as staffs of both teams streamed into the conference area and beat reporters lived up to their names delivering...

 

January, 2014

1/6 New Orleans has sent lefty relievers Charlie Furbush and Luis Avilan to The Cheddarmen for a 5th round pick in the 2014 draft
1/6
New Orleans has also sent lefty S/R Wade Miley to Future Wax for a 5th Round Pick (became JP Howell).
1/7 New Orleans is burning.  The fire sale continues as New Orleans send Carroll and Swisher to "What Eric Said" for a 7th Rd pick in 2014 draft (became Gaby Sanchez)  If WES makes the World Series the pick becomes the 6th and if WES wins WS (ya right) the pick becomes a number 5. 
1/11 New Orleans trades Scott Atchison to Manatees for a 5th round pick in the upcoming draft (became Zach Wheeler) 
1/12 The Cheddarmen trades Papelbon to North Dakota for M. Boggs.
1/12 Oceanus trades J.J. Hardy and a 7th round pick (became Coco Crisp) for Rollins and David Murphy.  (Matt Joyce, called up from the taxi squad to replace Murphy on the 25-man roster, became the World Series MVP).
1/14 ScutaroBay City to Oceanus for Infante

 

11/23/14

Only minutes before taking the field for game 1 of the much anticipated Tidy Bowl series between The Pierogies and Oceanus, Shin-Soo Choo found out he'd been traded to 'What Eric Said.' 'Yeah, I knew my card had been scanned into a PDF and attached to an email, so I'm not surprised' said the rotund Choo. Terms of the deal were Choo plus a conditional middle-round draft choice (became Tony Sipp) for a number 1 pick (became Michael Brantley).

 

12/5/14

Victorino, OC to ND for a 6th round pick (became Scott Van Slyke)

12/13/14

Oceanus has traded Joe Mauer to New Orleans for Travis D'Arnaud and a player to be named later, rumored to be Ian Desmond.

 

1/22/15

What Eric Said and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade:

Heyward, Lawrie and Thornburg (WES) for Holliday, Kendrick, Nathan and Medlen (OCE).

The first and only 7-player trade in league history.

 

3/28/15

The Oceanus Assholes have traded Todd Frazier to the What Eric Said _____ for a conditional 2016 draft choice.  It will be a 5th round choice if Frazier is rated in Lamanna's Baseball Bulletin as a top 75 player, otherwise it will be a 6th round choice (subsequently traded to Harold).

 

4/3/15

New Orleans trades Jeff Samardzija and a conditional 8th round pick in 2016 (became Billy Burns) only if Samardzija isn't ranked as of the top 25 starters in Lamanna in 2016 to “What Eric Said” for a 6th round pick in the 2015 draft (became Roughned Odor) and a 2nd round pick in the 2016 draft (became Brad Ziegler).

 

11/16/15

Oceanus and the Smoking Loons have agreed to terms on a trade that will send Troy Tulowitzki to Oceanus in exchange for Xander Bogaerts.

 

11/18/15

New Orleans and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade:

Hiroki Kuroda for a 2016 7th round pick, which becomes a 6th round pick if Oceanus reaches the Finals (became Andres Blanco) or becomes a 5th round pick if Oceanus wins the Championship (ha ha ha ha).

Actually, the ha ha ha ha part was an editorial comment, not part of the actual agreement.

Terms were finalized when Oceanus agreed to have a wheelchair ferry the ancient Kuroda from the mound to the dugout between innings.

 

10/15/15

NO receives Jeff’s 4th round and 6th round picks (JP Realmuto and Javy Lopez) in exchange for D. Santana and NO’s 6th round pick (traded to ND)

 

12/2/15

North Dakota has acquired 2nd baseman Robinson Cano from New Orleans in exchange for a 2nd and a 7th round pick this year (John Lackey and Aaron Hicks), and a 6th round pick in 2017.  "I have nothing funny to say.  This is serious business," stated the North Dakota GM when asked to comment.  "Fuck you all," he added.

 

12/13/15

Robin had an uncharacteristically good day at Jeff's place (where she possibly went 2-10 last year), but what was truly shocking was that she made a trade! Harold offered Jayson Werth for a 7th-round pick (became Jarrett Parker), and BC picked up the hirsute RF and immediately ordered him to shave.

1/26-27/16

1. North Dakota trades Kluber to Oceanus for Archer and a 6th round pick (became Travis Shaw) (the worse of Jed's two potential picks).  The pick becomes a 5th in 2017 if Jed ends up with no 6th rounder.
2. Smoking Loons acquired Papelbon and E. Escobar from North Dakota for a 2nd round pick (became Roberto Osuna).
3. "What Eric Said" (now "What Eric Said?") acquired Justin Turner and an 8th round pick (became Dan Haren) from North Dakota in exchange for a 3rd rounder (became Andrew Chafin).
4. North Dakota trades Y. Gomes and Pearce to Future Wax for Tyson Ross.
5. Bay City acquired Andrew Cashner and its previously traded 9th round pick from North Dakota for a 5th round pick (became Jarrod Eickhoff).

2/14/16

After the 5th inning, ND and NO made a trade, with ND acquiring C Rene Rivera from NO for a 10th round pick in 2017 (solely to save Matt Wieters' 2 remaining plate appearances).  Rivera grabbed his catcher's mitt and sprinted from the NO dugout to home plate to catch for North Dakota. 3 innings and a Grandal 3-run homer for NO later, the two managers realize that the trade was made during North Dakota's 49th game, or 5 innings after the trading deadline.  The teams agree to make the trade retroactive to the beginning of the game (although Wieters one PA in the game still counts). Final score 13-1 New Orleans.

3/6/16

In its third, yes, third! trade of the season, Bay City acquires Moustakas from New Orleans for Kenley Jansen (thus purging its bullpen of all Jansens/Janssens, as Casey was cut last year), enabling the Moose to rejoin many of his real-life Royals teammates on the BC roster.

 

3/21/16

New Orleans makes its third trade in this offseason, trading Stephen Strasburg and its 5th round pick this year (became Matt Duffy) to Oceanus for Jose Bautista and Oceanus’ 7th round pick in the 2017 draft.  The 7th round pick is negated if Strasburg is not a top 25 starter in Lamanna for the 2017 season OR Strasburg pitches less than 150 innings in the 2016 MLB season.

 

3/29/16

Kazmir, ND to “WES?” for 8th round pick (became Enrique Hernandez).

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SUMMER STUDY NO. 2 - Draft Analysis 2012

 

(By Tom, edited by Arnie and Robin)

 

It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2012 (Cards 2011) draft.  We’ve played 4 SOMBILLA seasons with these players, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

 

As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, SBs) and be more maligned that they deserve.

I often include something about the current baseball season, but I have seen almost no games this year.  The only thing I know is that Bryce Harper is sucking and that last year was an aberration according to statcast.

Round 1:

1. Jeff - Brett Lawrie

0.199 / 0.240 / 0.296 / 0.536 (196 PA), 6 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB

Traded, still in the league

2. Tom - Mike Trout

0.287 / 0.382 / 0.500 / 0.882 (720 PA), 45 HR, 115 RBI, 23 SB

Still Owned

3. Jed - Doug Fister

10-14, 0 SV, 4.506 ERA, 161 K (237.6 IPS)

Waived 2016

4. Randy - Michael Pineda

8-6, 0 SV, 4.655 ERA, 72 K (96.6 IPS)

Still Owned

5. Harold - Eric Hosmer

0.279 / 0.313 / 0.412 / 0.725 (313 PA), 11 HR, 42 RBI, 6 SB

Still Owned

6. Arnie - Craig Kimbrel

5-5, 33 SV, 2.825 ERA, 162 K (108.3 IPS)

Still Owned

7. Robin - Kenley Jansen

2-4, 17 SV, 2.853 ERA, 102 K (88.3 IPS)

Traded, still in the league

8. Eric - Jesus Montero

0.176 / 0.222 / 0.278 / 0.5 (18 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

Waived 2014

Best Pick:  Mike Trout had a bad showing the year of this draft which allowed him to drop to the 2nd pick, but from that point on he has been the most valuable player according to wins over replacement in Major League Baseball.  He has one MVP trophy from the SOMBILLA.  He is still rated as the #1 CF for this year and the future.  Over the years, he has gone from a speedy leadoff hitter with some pop to a feared power hitter who is too valuable to be allowed to steal or too bulked up depending on who you believe.  One year he cannot hit the high fastball, and the next he is amongst the leaders versus the high fastball.  Anaheim, like CN, has been berated by the press as wasting the best years of a historic player by not surrounding him with talent to win.

Worst Picks:  This is a two horse race.  Brett Lawrie, who did not live up to his pick and was picked before Trout, and Montero, who never played but went last in the round. Montero just edges out Lawrie because Lawrie had a career in the majors and Montero never could make it up to stay.  Also one manager (Jed) still holds out hope that Lawrie can be a player, and Jed knows his waived second basemen…

Other:..I was in a 26 team league this year and the holder of the top pick came to me for advice.  He was offered Pujols for the #1 pick.  He really needed a first baseman and was tempted.  I offered him Konerko and #10 but could not convince him.  I then said that he should keep the pick and take Trout because if Baseball America and several other minor league experts were half right about his future he is the talent of the generation.  He had outfielders and made the Pujols trade.  The trader took Eric Hosmer to replace Pujols and Trout fell to #5 but not to #10.

 

Round 2:

1. Randy - Dustin Ackley

0.301 / 0.380 / 0.353 / 0.733 (150 PA), 1 HR, 21 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2015

2. Jed - Desmond Jennings

0.250 / 0.377 / 0.338 / 0.715 (77 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 2 SB

Cut in 2015

3. Tom - Jordan Walden

-,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IPS)

Cut in 2014

4. Jeff - Aroldis Chapman

5-5, 10 SV, 2.353 ERA, 94 K (72.6 IPS)

Still Owned

5. Harold - Chris Sale

17-8, 0 SV, 3.590 ERA, 239 K (230.6 IPS)

Still Owned

6. Arnie - Michael Morse

0.270 / 0.306 / 0.456 / 0.762 (206 PA), 9 HR, 27 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2014

7. Robin - Jemile Weeks

0.250 / 0.297 / 0.349 / 0.646 (175 PA), 4 HR, 24 RBI, 1 SB

Cut in 2013

8. Eric - Michael Young

0.280 / 0.310 / 0.384 / 0.694 (242 PA), 4 HR, 19 RBI, 2 SB

Cut in 2013

 

Best Pick:  Chris Sale is yet another example of #1 pitcher that went after the 1st round because he was left handed.  He has been a dominant real life pitcher and carried Harold into the playoffs.  He has a strange delivery/motion that many writers speculated would lead to many injuries and a perhaps a shortened career.  He has been able to overcome these fears to be a feared pitcher, especially by throwback unforms.  This year in major league baseball he has changed his approach to lower his strikeouts per 9, piss off his real-life GM, but increase his efficiency and contact rates.  What this change will bring is a future chapter. 

Worst Pick:  Jordon Walden was picked as the big dominant right handed reliever that would take his place just beneath Jansen and Kimbrel.  Tommy John surgery and multiple teams later, he just never lived up to his promise.

Other:. The hitters in this round never lived up to the hopes of their owners. This was a very disappointing round for most of the league.

Round 3:

1. Jeff - Antonio Bastardo

3-0, 0 SV, 1.350 ERA, 19 K (13.3 IPS)

Cut in 2013

2. Tom - Greg Holland

4-7, 22 SV, 3.068 ERA, 82 K (58.6 IPS)

Cut in 2016

3. Jed - Howie Kendrick

0.238 / 0.281 / 0.312 / 0.593 (509 PA), 5 HR, 45 RBI, 3 SB

Traded, still in the league

4. Randy - Steve Cishek

2-3, 6 SV, 4.139 ERA, 40 K (45.6 IPS)

Cut in 2016

5. Harold - Dee Gordon

0.269 / 0.310 / 0.359 / 0.669 (142 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 13 SB

Still Owned

6. Arnie - Paul Goldschmidt

0.227 / 0.310 / 0.386 / 0.696 (539 PA), 21 HR, 55 RBI, 7 SB

Still Owned

7. Robin - Glen Perkins

2-1, 0 SV, 3.541 ERA, 60 K (61 IPS)

Cut in 2016

8. Eric - Jason Motte

3-0, 2 SV, 3.298 ERA, 47 K (43.6 IPS)

Cut in 2013

 

Best Pick:  Paul Goldschmidt should be a no brainer except that his SOMBILLA numbers are not all that impressive.  In real life, he is an MVP threat every season but has not done it for North Dakota yet.  He is the best first baseman in this year’s set and is rated as the #1 1B going forward.  The best performance over the last 4 years in the SOMBILLA has been Greg Holland, who has been a dominant reliever and if he had not blown out his arm might have made an argument to supercede Goldie.

Worst Pick:  There were no bad picks in this round.  If forced to pick one, Howie Kendrick did not perform up to a 3rd round pick’s pedigree.  Dee Gordon despite his drug suspension has developed into a good defensive infielder with top of the league speed and at least has one year hitting for average.  Watch him; he could be a surprise performer from this round.

 

Round 4:

1. Randy - Yonder Alonso

 /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

Cut in 2015

2. Jed - Joel Hanrahan

2-0, 2 SV, 2.512 ERA, 27 K (28.6 IPS)

Cut in 2014

3. Tom - Devin Mesoraco

 /  /  / 0 ( PA),  HR,  RBI,  SB

Cut in 2013

4. Jeff - Tyler Clippard

0-0, 2 SV, 2.512 ERA, 31 K (28.6 IPS)

Cut in 2013

5. Jeff - Brandon Belt

0.265 / 0.345 / 0.373 / 0.718 (220 PA), 4 HR, 26 RBI, 3 SB

Still Owned

6. Arnie - Allen Craig

0.301 / 0.353 / 0.489 / 0.842 (380 PA), 17 HR, 49 RBI, 2 SB

Cut in 2016

7. Robin - Brandon League

1-0, 0 SV, 3.429 ERA, 9 K (21 IPS)

Cut in 2014

8. Eric - Melky Cabrera

0.275 / 0.311 / 0.348 / 0.659 (454 PA), 4 HR, 45 RBI, 2 SB

Traded, still in the league

 

Best Pick:  Allen Craig edges out Brandon Belt and a handful of middle relievers.  Belt might still pull out a late SOMBILLA career but Allen Craig had 3 seasons of solid performance for Arnie lifting him above his fellows.

Worst Pick:  Yonder Alonso looked to be part of this year’s group of very talented 1B of Hosmer, Goldie, Belt, Freeman and Rizzo.  He never was good enough to play in the SOMBILLA and Wax gave up on him in 2015.  Devin Mesoraco also never played but it was due to his penchant for injury not to a lack of talent.

Round 5:

1. Jeff - Freddie Freeman

0.253 / 0.318 / 0.377 / 0.695 (610 PA), 17 HR, 59 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

2. Tom - Mike Moustakas

0.174 / 0.208 / 0.208 / 0.416 (24 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

Waived 2015 but claimed and still owned

3. Jed - Emilio Bonifacio

0.286 / 0.348 / 0.337 / 0.685 (92 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 5 SB

Cut in 2015

4. Randy - Brandon Beachy

4-1, 0 SV, 1.620 ERA, 22 K (33.3 IPS)

Cut in 2014

5. Harold - Lucas Duda

0.320 / 0.386 / 0.446 / 0.832 (83 PA), 2 HR, 12 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2013

6.Arnie - Derek Holland

 

Waived 2015 but redrafted

7. Robin - John Mayberry

0.268 / 0.333 / 0.472 / 0.805 (123 PA), 7 HR, 18 RBI, 3 SB

Cut in 2013

8. Eric - Alfredo Aceves

4-0, 0 SV, 1.262 ERA, 21 K (35.6 IPS)

Cut in 2014

 

Best Pick:  Jeff takes his second first baseman and hits on him.  He is a professional hitter and a real world leader. 

Worst Pick:  Derek Holland never played and was cut in 2014 by Arnie.  Arnie always said “I picked the wrong Holland in this draft.” 

(Ed note:  Jeff redrafted Derek Holland in 2015 and he made 14 appearances in the bullpen for Jeff’s champion team.  But I did pick the wrong Holland).

Other:..Moustakas was cut, claimed, then traded.  He never made it for CN and still would not pass later hot corner choices made by the Manatees.

Round 6:

1. Randy - Josh Collmenter

1-3, 3 SV, 3.222 ERA, 35 K (58.67 IPS)

Cut in 2013

2. Eric - Cory Luebke

0-0, 0 SV, 0.000 ERA, 0 K (0.33 IPS)

Cut in 2014

3. Tom - Jason Kipnis

0.288 / 0.362 / 0.366 / 0.728 (423 PA), 8 HR, 46 RBI, 12 SB

Still Owned

4. Jeff - Ricky Romero

 

Cut in 2013 

5. Harold - J.D. Martinez

0.377 / 0.400 / 0.655 / 1.055 (55 PA), 4 HR, 13 RBI, 2 SB

Cut in 2013, redrafted by Jeff

6. Arnie - Vance Worley

 

Cut in 2013

7. Robin - Salvador Perez

0.321 / 0.353 / 0.518 / 0.871 (255 PA), 12 HR, 48 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

8. Eric - Nate Schierholtz

 

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  This was also a two horse race between Kipnis and Perez.  Both players are projected in the top 5 of their respective positions.  Salvador Perez has caught a lot of games for KC and what this will mean for the future is yet to be seen.   Kipnis has lost speed for power and there is some question as to his defense going forward.  I will give the slight nod to Salvador Perez. (Ed note: Who I drafted pre-injured).

Worst Pick:  Take your pick amongst the players who never played in the SOMBILLA.  J.D. changed his swing, and his team and his future looks bright, but unfortunately Harold cut him before the positive part of those changes took place. Jeff drafted him in the 2nd round in 2015.

Round 7:

1. Jeff - Randall Delgado

 

Cut in 2014

2. Tom - Henderson Alvarez

 

Cut in 2013

3. Jed - Sergio Santos

5-2, 5 SV, 5.586 ERA, 39 K (29 IPS)

Cut in 2015

4. Randy - Javy Guerra

 

Cut in 2013

5. Harold - David Robertson

1-4, 0 SV, 5.604 ERA, 74 K (53 IPS)

Still Owned

6. Arnie - Jose Altuve

0.500 / 0.545 / 0.909 / 1.454 (11 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

Cut 2014 to be claimed by Jed

7. Jed - Fernando Salas

4-2, 6 SV, 3.908 ERA, 22 K (25.3 IPS)

Cut in 2014

8. Eric - Joe Smith

7-6, 21 SV, 2.504 ERA, 61 K (82.67 IPS)

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  Altuve would be the best pick, except that he was cut.  He looks to be an MVP candidate in 2016 MLB and continues to look like one of the top 2B moving forward.  So having disqualified Altuve, Joe Smith steps up as a closer that has lived up or over performed his major league statistics, as stat heads would have predicted.

Worst Pick:  Choose the cut player who never played in the SOMBILLA.

 

 

Round 8:

1. Randy - Bill Bray

0-0, 0 SV, 4.610 ERA, 8 K (13.6 IPS)

Cut in 2013

2. Jed - Alejandro De Aza

0.283 / 0.368 / 0.426 / 0.794 (68 PA), 1 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

Cut in 2013

3. Tom - Wilin Rosario

0.248 / 0.303 / 0.516 / 0.819 (122 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2016

4. Jeff - Zack Cozart

0.216 / 0.237 / 0.289 / 0.526 (38 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

5. Harold - Cristhian Martinez

1-0, 0 SV, 3.750 ERA, 18 K (24 IPS)

Cut in 2014

6. Arnie - Matt Downs

 

Cut in 2013

7. Robin - Casey Janssen

3-1, 2 SV, 4.386 ERA, 53 K (65.6 IPS)

Cut in 2015

8. Eric -  Ruben Tejada

0.233 / 0.286 / 0.261 / 0.547 (161 PA), 0 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in the  waiver

 

Best Pick:  Wilin Rosario was all set to be the best pick as a lefty killer who did just that for CN over the years until he was cut this last draft.  However, according to the story going around – Zack Cozart was talking to Barry Larkin who said “Hey, you ever thought about telling yourself to just crush the inside part of the ball? Not guide it, but wherever that ball is, just crush the inside part of it?” Well, he went with that and now not only is he a 1 at SS but seems to have found power.

Worst Pick: Matt Downs is the only player to not have played in the SOMBILLA.

(Ed note:  He may still be the worst pick in this round, but Downs did play for ND in the ‘12-13 season .220/.303/.305/.608 (66 PA), 0 HR, 9 RBI)

Round 9-13:

1. Jeff - Lonnie Chisenhall

 

Cut in 2014

2. Tom - Ryan Vogelsong

0-7, 2 SV, 3.467 ERA, 45 K (85.6 IPS)

Cut in 2014

3. Jed - Michael Cuddyer

0.271 / 0.322 / 0.427 / 0.749 (286 PA), 12 HR, 47 RBI, 6 SB

Cut in 2016

4. Randy - Phillip Humber

3-1, 0 SV, 6.511 ERA, 25 K (47 IPS)

Cut in 2013

5. Harold - Guillermo Moscoso

1-1, 1 SV, 6.490 ERA, 18 K (34.6 IPS)

Cut in 2013

6. Arnie - Mark Melancon

2-2, 1 SV, 3.103 ERA, 21 K (29 IPS)

Cut in 2013

7.Robin - Brent Lillibridge

0.291 / 0.391 / 0.438 / 0.829 (64 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 3 SB

Cut in 2013

8.Eric - Jose Molina

 

Cut in 2013

1. Randy - Brandon McCarthy

7-2, 0 SV, 4.114 ERA, 47 K (70 IPS)

Cut in 2014

2. Jed - Nick Hundley

0.245 / 0.302 / 0.349 / 0.651 (106 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2013

3. Tom - Vinnie Pestano

0-2, 1 SV, 5.192 ERA, 18 K (17.3 IPS)

Cut in 2014

4. Jeff - Tyler Chatwood

 

Cut in 2013

5. Harold - Ben Revere

0.277 / 0.302 / 0.337 / 0.639 (86 PA), 0 HR, 5 RBI, 4 SB

Cut in 2015

6. Arnie - Bud Norris

 

Cut in 2014

7. Robin - Ryan Lavarnway

0.500 / 0.500 / 2.000 / 2.5 (2 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2014

8. Eric - Ramon Ramirez

-,  SV,  ERA,  K ( IPS)

Cut in 2013

1. Jeff - Chris Parmalee

0.333 / 0.400 / 0.600 / 1 (30 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2013

2. Tom - Troy Patton

1-0, 3 SV, 2.250 ERA, 20 K (20 IPS)

Cut in 2014

3. Jed - Edward Mujica

9-2, 1 SV, 2.211 ERA, 56 K (77.3 IPS)

Cut in 2015

4. Randy - Alez Presley

 

Cut in 2013

5. Harold - Alex Liddi

 

Cut in 2014

6. Arnie - Nick Punto

 

Cut After One Year

7. Robin - Tom Milone

 

Cut in 2014

8. Eric - Casey Kotchman

 

Cut in 2013

1. Randy - Kyle Seager

0.235 / 0.303 / 0.359 / 0.662 (429 PA), 11 HR, 40 RBI, 2 SB

Still Owned

2. Jed - Mike Leake

2-1, 1 SV, 3.981 ERA, 36 K (52 IPS)

Still Owned

3. Tom - Anthony Rizzo

0.279/0.339/0.411 / 0.75 (372 PA), 14 HR, 44 RBI, 2 SB

Still Owned

4. Harold - Kameron Loe

0-1, 0 SV, 5.400 ERA, 11 K (10 IPS)

Cut in 2013

5. Arnie - Louis Coleman

 

Cut After One Year

6. Robin - Kyle Drabek

 

Cut After One Year

1. Harold - Eduardo Nunez

0.091 / 0.231 / 0.077 / 0.308 (13 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2013

2. Robin - Josh Reddick

0.208 / 0.271 / 0.364 / 0.635 (398 PA), 15 HR, 35 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  Three position players stand out – Kyle Seager, Anthony Rizzo and Josh Reddick.  Seager was slow to develop but has become a solid if under-rated manner of the hot corner.  Rizzo was a strange a pick; I had him rated as part of the top 4 (Hosmer, Goldie, Belt and Rizzo).  I thought Hosmer would go in the first round and I wanted Rizzo but always had another priority and once the others went, I asked myself how late can I wait. Reddick has been a better major league player than SOMBILLA player, but he has potential well beyond the last pick of the draft (Ed note: and he’s cute).

2010 Card Set Results:

Team

Stats

Arnie

0.284 / 0.325 / 0.469 / 0.794 (292 PA), 14 HR, 37 RBI, 1 SB

Eric

0.239 / 0.268 / 0.324 / 0.592 (448 PA), 5 HR, 37 RBI, 3 SB

Harold

0.289 / 0.325 / 0.435 / 0.76 (379 PA), 13 HR, 48 RBI, 12 SB

Jed

0.276 / 0.321 / 0.389 / 0.71 (262 PA), 6 HR, 31 RBI, 0 SB

Jeff

0.248 / 0.316 / 0.335 / 0.651 (576 PA), 13 HR, 53 RBI, 11 SB

Robin

0.277 / 0.340 / 0.428 / 0.768 (418 PA), 18 HR, 64 RBI, 7 SB

Tom

0.290 / 0.333 / 0.424 / 0.757 (33 PA), 1 HR, 5 RBI, 1 SB

Wax

0.276 / 0.360 / 0.324 / 0.684 (139 PA), 1 HR, 17 RBI, 0 SB

 

Team

Stats

Arnie

3-3, 3 SV, 3.836 ERA, 76 K (61 IPS)

Eric

5-3, 5 SV, 2.805 ERA, 50 K (77 IPS)

Harold

3-5, 1 SV, 5.078 ERA, 96 K (106.3 IPS)

Jed

7-2, 6 SV, 2.778 ERA, 86 K (81 IPS)

Jeff

16-7, 9 SV, 3.908 ERA, 177 K (225.6 IPS)

Robin

2-1, 2 SV, 2.815 ERA, 49 K (70.3 IPS)

Tom

1-5, 11 SV, 2.753 ERA, 72 K (85 IPS)

Wax

17-12, 5 SV, 4.371 ERA, 193 K (278 IPS)

 

Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

Team

Stats

Arnie

0.263 / 0.326 / 0.438 / 0.764 (1136 PA), 47 HR, 136 RBI, 9 SB

Eric

0.267 / 0.304 / 0.341 / 0.645 (875 PA), 8 HR, 75 RBI, 4 SB

Harold

0.286 / 0.325 / 0.409 / 0.734 (692 PA), 18 HR, 81 RBI, 25 SB

Jed

0.246 / 0.309 / 0.365 / 0.674 (1094 PA), 29 HR, 125 RBI, 4 SB

Jeff

0.254 / 0.310 / 0.355 / 0.665 (1138 PA), 26 HR, 124 RBI, 17 SB

Robin

0.257 / 0.312 / 0.421 / 0.733 (1017 PA), 43 HR, 136 RBI, 8 SB

Tom

0.280 / 0.359 / 0.443 / 0.802 (1661 PA), 77 HR, 230 RBI, 37 SB

Wax

0.252 / 0.323 / 0.358 / 0.681 (579 PA), 12 HR, 61 RBI, 2 SB

 

Team

Stats

Arnie

7-7, 34 SV, 2.883 ERA, 183 K (137.3 IPS)

Eric

14-6, 23 SV, 2.439 ERA, 129 K (162.3 IPS)

Harold

20-14, 1 SV, 4.240 ERA, 360 K (352.3 IPS)

Jed

17-7, 13 SV, 2.250 ERA, 200 K (192 IPS)

Jeff

23-19, 14 SV, 4.323 ERA, 285 K (372.6 IPS)

Robin

8-6, 19 SV, 3.508 ERA, 224 K (236 IPS)

Tom

5-16, 28 SV, 3.369 ERA, 165 K (181.6 IPS)

Wax

25-16, 9 SV, 4.216 ERA, 249 K (365 IPS)

 

Best Draft:  CN Manatees edge out the field with Trout,M, Walden,J, Holland,G, Mesoraco,D, Moustakas,M*, Kipnis,J*, Alvarez,H, Rosario,W, Vogelsong,R, Pestano,V, Patton,T* and Rizzo,A*.  They got the best player in the draft, a closer, starting 2B and 1B and pitchers to pull them through the 2012 and 2013 seasons.

Worst Draft:  Eric with whatever his team’s name came out last after winning the World Series with a draft of Montero,J, Young,M, Motte,J, Cabrera,M+, Aceves,A, Luebke,C*, Schierholtz,N*, Smith,J, Tejada,R, Molina,J, Ramirez,R and Kotchman,C*.  He flipped Melky Cabrera for a draft pick but came out of this draft with only Joe Smith as a talented reliever long term.  All the other players were either short term or future picks who did not pan out.

 



SUMMER STUDY NO. 3A THE SOMBILLA HALL OF FAME

Hall of Fame?  Seriously, Arnie?  How the heck are you gonna decide this?  And why do you get all that power? 

Good questions, and thanks for asking.  The answer is that I am not going to decide – you all – the SOMBILLA managers -- have already decided.  Every year (except for 1981-1984 when there were no awards), we SOMBILLA managers vote for MVP and Cy Young looking back over the season just ended.  What better way to determine the best players over a period of time than to use the collective wisdom of SOMBILLA managers who voted each year? 

I visited the hot attic to pull the annual voting summaries (tabulated in each summer newsletter).  Then I added them all up year by year, player by player.  The totals should give us a pretty good idea of who we, the SOMBILLA managers, felt were the best SOMBILLA performers over an extended time period – the history of the league.

One slight drawback – in addition to no awards for three of the earliest seasons of the league, I did not publish the MVP and Cy Young voting summaries < 1990.  At least we know who won the award for those 6 seasons, so I gave the winners 25 points for each of those, a rough approximation of the winners’ vote totals.  We still have actual voting totals for the past 26 seasons - not too shabby.

So, for this first ballot SOMBILLA Hall of Fame, 9 hitters and 9 pitchers will be inducted – the top 9 in each category of out annual voting.  Why 9 and not, say 10?  You’ll see in a minute.  Here is your initial SOMBILLA Hall of Fame class, along with vote totals:

Name

Team

Vote total

Bonds

FW

170

Piazza

FW

94

Pujols

ND

76

M. Ramirez

NO

74

E. Davis

FW

65

Trout

CN

57

Edmonds

FW-MF

57

Griffey

FW

56.5

McGwire

MF

56

 

Name

Team

Vote total

Maddux

FW

148

Clemens

Eric – ND - Jed

136

Pedro

FW

103.5

Verlander

Eric

96

Rivera

NO

57

R. Johnson

ND

52

Smoltz

Jed

51.5

Ryan

MF

48

Schilling

Jeff

46

 

The controversial Barry Bonds won a record four SOMBILLA MVP awards.  His high number of votes is even more impressive when you realize that as steroid/giant head allegations dogged him at the end of his career, some SOMBILLA managers began leaving him off their ballots completely.  Unlike the real baseball HOF, though, that blackballing is not enough to keep him out of the SOMBILLA HOF.

So who just missed the cut?  Who is on the cusp?  Here are the next six hitters and pitchers – number 10-15

A Rod

CN

50

Belle

FW

48

Baines

Eric

41

A. Gonzalez

Eric

39

Howard

CN

37

Votto

Jed

36

Kershaw

FW

43

Drabek

BC

42.5

Foulke

Eric

41.5

Clemens

ND

40

Guthrie

FW

35

Wetteland

ND

34

 

I made the executive decision to keep A. Rod out of this initial class.  Indeed, after A. Rod won the ’06-07 SOMBILLA MVP, the 2007 SUMMER newsletter had the following asterisk next to A. Rod’s vote total:  * asshole

 


SUMMER STUDY NO. 3B ALL-TIME FRANCHISE ROSTERS

 

Using the same data set, I thought it’d be fun for everyone to see all of the great players they’ve had who have received votes through the years.  It’s not really an all-time franchise list, since there won’t be someone at every position, more of a list of each franchise’s players who have ever received votes for SOMBILLA MVP and Cy Young. But All-time franchise rosters sounds better.

 


Bay City

1. Ripken

25

1. Murray

25

3. Thomas

23.5

4. Beltran

16

5. M. Cabrera

14

6. Jeter

12

7. C. Davis

9

8. G. Davis

4

9. Green

3

10. I. Rodriguez

1.5

11. V. Martinez

1

 

1. Drabek

42.5

2. Boddicker

25

2. Gordon

25

2. Halladay

25

5. Oswalt

18

6. Prior

6

7. Mesa

3

 

 


Constantinople

 

1. Trout

57

2. A Rod

50

3. Howard

37

4. JGiambi

27

5. Bay

18

6. Morales

6

6. Mondesi

6

6. Bruks

6

6. A. Jones

6

10. T. Hunter

4

11. Everett

3

12. Alfonzo

2

13. Stairs

1

13. Jaso

1

13. Harper

1

13. B. Abreau

1

 

 

1. Hudson

31

2. Schmidt

22

3. Zimmerman

20

4. Dotel

19

4. Park

19

6. Wolf

14

7. Papelbon

12

8. Urbina

8

9. Cain

7

10. Dickey

3

11. Benoit

2

11. Foster

2

11. G. White

2

 

 


Eric (too many team names to list)

1. Baines

41

2. A. Gonzalez

39

3. Winfield

25

4. Stanley

16

5. Konerko

15

6. Youkilis

12

7. P. Fielder

10

8. Y. Molina

9

9. Hayes

6

10. Palmeiro

5

11. Tulowitzki

4

11. Eisenreich

4

13. Dykstra

2

14. Soto

1

14. Sanders

1

 

 

1. Verlander

96

2. Clemens

75

3. Lincecom

45

4. Foulke

41.5

5. Burnett

25

5. Hershiser

25

5. Sutcliffe

25

8. Portugal

24

9. Weaver

23

10. Frowirth

13

11. J. Smith

10

11. Nelson

10

11. Nomo

10

14. Lowe

8

15. Millwood

5.5

16. Jim Johnson

4

16. P. Wilson

4

16. Weaver

4

19. Clement

3

19. Hill

3

Future Wax

1. Bonds

170

2. Piazza

94

3. E. Davis

65

4. Griffey

56.5

5. Edmonds

53

6. Belle

48

7. Strawberry

33

7. Kemp

33

9. J. Gonzalez

28

10. Ludwick

24

11. Thome

22

12. Moss

20

12. McCutchen

20

14. Upton

18

15. Garciaparra

16

16. Tartabull

15

17. Stanton

13

18. Berkman

6

19. Pasqua

5

20. Reyes

2

21. Quentin

1

 

 

1. Maddux

148

2. Pedro

103.5

3. Kershaw

43

4. Guthrie

35

5. Nathan

33

6. Scherzer

23

7. Zambrano

18

8. Dibble

17

9. Greinke

9

9. J. Thompson

9

11. Bosio

6

11. Hanson

6

11. J. Santana

6

14. Garrelts

3

14. Morgan

3

14. Wood

3

17. Moyer

2.5

18. Hamilton

1

 

 


Jed (solo, with various team names and with Clint)

 

1. Votto

36

2. Abreau

9

3. C. Pena

7

4. Gwynn

6.5

5. Leyritz

5

6. Suzuki

4

7. Brantley

3

8. Jeffries

2

8. Bautista

2

10. R. Henderson

1

10. D. Lee

1

 

1. Smoltz

51.5

2. Clemens

21

3. Lackey

17

4. Sanders

11

5. Webb

8

6. Kluber

3

6. Kuroda

3

6. Mussina

3

6. Soria

3

10. F. Hernandez

1

 

 


Jeff/Dave/Joel (this same franchise has had three managers)

 

1. L. Walker

25

2. Puig

8

3. D. Santana

7

4. Tejada

6

5. Greenwell

5

5. Buhner

5

7. LoDuca

4

8. Walker

3

8. Olerud

3

8. Markakis

3

8. Lowell

3

8. C. Gonzalez

3

 

1. Schilling

46

2. Belcher

22

3. Samardzjia

12

4. W. Rodriguez

7

5. Pettitte

6

6. Glavine

5

6. Swindell

5

8. Garcia

4

8. Vazquez

4

10. Lohse

3

11. F. Rodriguez

2

12. Lester

1

12. Mussina

1

 

 


Manila Folders (solo Matt and with Jed)

 

1. McGwire

56

2. M. Williams

19

3. O. Smith

5

4. Edmonds

4

5. Whitaker

3

5. D. Henderson

3

5. Canseco

3

8. J. Lopez

2

9. Wilkins

1

9. K. Millar

1

9. Hoiles

1

 

1. Ryan

48

2. Appier

7

 

 

 


North Dakota

 

1. Pujols

76

2. R. Alomar

34.5

3. M. Vaughn

24

4. McGriff

23

4. Hamilton

23

6. Ellsbury

22

7. L. Gonzalez

18

8. Alou

16.5

9. B. Williams

15

10. Hafner

11

10. H. Ramirez

11

12. Ortiz

6

13. Justice

4

13. Guerrero

4

13. Craig

4

13. Cirillo

4

17. Segui

1

17. Lankford

1

17. Cano

1

 

 

1. R. Johnson

52

2. Clemens

40

3. Wetteland

34

4. Hoffman

29

5. Kimbrel

27

6.JR Richard

25

7. Beck

24

8. Peavy

23

9. M. Morris

13

9. Nagy

13

11. Gagne

11

12. Haren

10

13. Wainright

9

14. B. Jones

7

15. M. Adams

5

16. Cueto

4

17. Fleming

1

 

 


New Orleans (Ross’s Raiders, LH’s)

 

1. M. Ramirez

74

2. Mitchell

35

3. Cano

32

4. Wright

31

5. Sandberg

27

6. E. Martinez

21

7. Sheffield

8

8. Bagwell

7

9. Glaus

4

10. Vizquel

3

11. Werth

2

12. Van Slyke

1

12. O. Cabrera

1

12. Cuddyer

1

 

 

1. Rivera

57

2. R. Martinez

32

3. Valenzuela

25

4. Percival

22

4. Willis

22

6. D. Jones

16

7. Chamberlain

14

7. Sale

14

9. Leiter

10

10. Brown

9

10. Lilly

9

12. Uehara

8

13. Erickson

6

14. Carpenter

4

14. Harnisch

4

16. Carmona

3

16. Wagner

3

18. Benson

1

18. Langston

1




SUMMER STUDY #4 – Door #1, Door #2 or Door #3?

 

How does the league do with its 1st pick overall?  Who has had the most?  Is there a difference in the top 3 picks?  The answer to these questions and more drives this summer study.  Below is a list of the top three draft picks each year, along with the decision of which of the top three picks was the best in hindsight.  Wherever possible, I used the retrospective draft analyses – done by me through 2004, and Tom since 2005.

 

Year

First pick overall

2nd pick overall

3rd pick overall

Best pick

1985

Gooden, T&A

Sandberg, Joel

Ripken, Robin

Ripken, Robin (3)

1986

Coleman, Matt

S. Fernandez, Robin

Guillen, Jed

Fernandez, Robin (2)

1987

Sierra, Arnie

Canseco, Joel

Eichhorn, Yitz

Canseco, Joel (2)

1988

McGwire, Matt

Dunne, Dave

B. Santiago, Arnie

McGwire, Matt (1)

1989

Jefferies, T&A

Cone, Robin

Belcher, Durga & Harold

Cone, Robin (2)

1990

Griffey Jr. T&A

G. Olson, Durga & Harold

A. Benes, Robin

Griffey, T&A (1)

1991

F. Thomas, Robin

Justice, Arnie

S. Alomar, Durga & Harold

Thomas, Robin (1)

1992

Plantier, Matt

Barberie, Dave

I. Rodriguez, Robin

Rodriguez, Robin (3)

1993

Schilling, Dave

Tewksbury, Jed & Clint

Eldred, Dave

Schilling, Dave (1)

1994

M. Ramirez, Harold

Sele, Robin

Bere, Land

Ramirez, Harold (1)

1995

A. Rod, Land

Trachsel, Harold

Klesko, Arnie

A. Rod, Land (1)*

1996

C. Johnson, Matt

C. Jones, Dave & Jeff

Nomo, Eric

C. Jones, D&J (2)

1997

Renteria. Jeff

Radke, Matt

A. Jones, Jed & Clint

A. Jones, J&C (3)

1998

Grieve, Robin

V. Guerrero, Jed & Clint

Alfonzo, Land & Brian

Guerrero, J&C (2)

1999

JD Drew, Eric

O. Hernandez, Jed & Clint

E. Chavez, Matt

Chavez, Matt (3)

2000

Benson, Harold

Mateo, Harold

Foulke, Eric

Foulke, Eric (3)

2001

Furcal, Matt

Weaver, Jeff

Vidro, Jeff

Vidro, Jeff (3)

2002

V. Guerrero. Jeff

Oswalt, Robin

Pujols, Arnie

Pujols, Arnie (3)

2003

Prior, Robin

Beckett, Matt & Jed

Clement, Eric

Beckett, M&J (2)

2004

M. Cabrera, Robin

Webb, Matt & Jed

Loaiza, Harold

M. Cab, Robin (1)

2005

Wright, Harold

BJ Upton, Robin

Mauer, Matt & Jed

Wright, Harold (1)

2006

F. Hernandez, Jed

Patterson, Jeff

Hermida, Harold

Hernandez, Jed (1)

2007

D. Young, Jeff

Verlander, Eric

A. Sanchez, Robin

Verlander, Eric (2)

2008

Carmona, Harold

Lincecum, Eric

Hamilton, Arnie

Hamilton, Arnie (3)

2009

Longoria, Jeff

Bruce, RAT

Dempster, Eric

Longoria, Jeff (1)

2010

Wieters, Arnie

Hanson, Robin

Zobrist, Harold

Zobrist, Harold (3)

2011

Posey, Robin

Heyward, Jeff

Stanton, Randy

Stanton, Randy (3)

2012

Lawrie, Jeff

Trout, Tom

Fister, Jed

Trout, Tom (2)

2013

Harper, Tom

Cespedes, Harold

Darvish, Robin

Harper, Tom (1)

2014

J. Fernandez, Harold

Puig, Jeff

Bogaerts, Jed

Bogaerts, Jed (3)

2015

Abreau, Jed

Pederson, Eric

Betts, Arnie

Betts, Arnie (3)

2016

Correa, Robin

Lindor, Arnie

Bryant, Harold

Too soon

 

* asshole

 

Summary

Total number of drafts: 31

 

Fairly even distribution actually.  Sometimes, the best pick is clear and a consensus (examples, McGwire, Griffey, A. Rod).  Sometimes the person with the first pick screws up badly by not choosing the consensus (choosing Lawrie over Trout for example) or choosing Phil Plantier over I. Rodriguez (or Mussina & Bagwell, also chosen in the first round of 1992’s draft).

 

But more often than not, the choice is not so clear cut.  Many of these first rounders were chosen because of a great card rather than future potential, so it’s important to keep that in mind.

 

Other fun facts:

 

First pick overall
Robin 6

Matt 5

Harold 5

Jeff 5

RAT 3

Arnie 2

Jed 2

Eric 1

Tom 1

Dave 1

Land 1

 

 

 

 


HOW IS YOUR TEAM DOING?

 

Here is our first unscientific look ahead to the 2016 cards (due out in January).

 

 

THE 2015 SOMBILLA/FOX SPORTS ALL-STAR COUNT

 

 

Arnie (17*) – Betts, Cano, Carpenter, Cueto, Encarnacion, Estrada, Fowler. Goldschmidt, K. Herrera, Kimbrel, Lindor, A. Miller, D. Ortiz, W. Ramos, Salazar, Vogt, Wieters

 

Tom (9) – Arrieta, Betances, Donaldson, Harper, W. Harris, Melancon, Rizzo, Seager, Trout

 

RAT (9) – Bruce, Bumgarner, Hamels, Kershaw, Machado, A. Russell, A. Sanchez, Scherzer, Teheran

 

Robin (9) – Britton, M. Cabrera, W. Davis, O. Herrera, Marte, Myers, S. Perez, Posey, AJ Ramos

 

Harold (9) – Bradley, Bryant, Cespedes, Familia, J. Fernandez, Hosmer, K. Jansen, Sale, Zobrist

 

Eric (5) – Arenado, Bogaerts, Lucroy, Ozuna, Syndegard

 

Jed (4)  Altuve, Kluber, J. Quintana, Strasburg

 

Jeff (3) – Belt, C. Gonzalez, Lester

 

 

 

* New league record.  Old record: 14, North Dakota 1997

 

 

 

 

 

SOMBILLA Opening Day: Sunday, November 6!