Jeff the Man [8/19]
Jeff's team's through the years [8/19]
What if Jeff's team had Babbe Ruth? [8/19]
Drafting All-Stars [8/19]
A brief history of card burning [8/18]
North Dakota vs Future Wax - which team was better [8/18]
I'm a Pham! [8/18]
Rule change proposals
How the teams were built [8/17]
Who does the computer think are the best players this year? [8/17]
Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/17]
Trade Regsister Update [/8/16]
SOMBILLA Hall of Fame [8/16]
All-time franchise rosters [8/16]
Door #1, door #2, or door #3 [8/16]
Injuries in the SOMBILLA [8/15]
The cute ratings [8/15]
July Madness [8/15]
Managers: Regular Season vs. Playoffs [8/14]
Ballpark study [8/14]
Tanking in the final weekend [8/14]
Multiple awards [8/14]
What if the SOMBILLA was a Rotisserie League [8/13]
Best players in the SOMBILLA [8/13]
Best of the Last Five Years [8/13]
Home/Away Advantage [8/13]
All-star study [8/12]
Best of the last 5 years [8/12]
Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/11]
Cut player analyses [8/11]
First round pitchers [8/10]
Racial profiling in the SOMBILLA [8/10]
All-time trade register [8/10]
Comparing the all-time SOMBILLA teams [8/09]
Who's Your Daddy [8/09]
Great moments in SOMBILLA history [8/07]
How the Franchises were built [/8/08]
All-time franchise players [8/07]
Successful lefty starters [8/07]
The cute ratings [8/06]
Bad boys of the SOMBILLA [8/06]
Who have we burned? [8/06]
All-time wins leaders [7/05]
The Making of Constantinople [7/05]
Mr. Irrelevant [7/05]
All-Time HR Leaders - [7/04]

All-Time HR Leaders - updated [7/05]

Injuries in the SOMBILLA [7/04]
Great Players on Bad Teams [7/03]
Designing Ballparks [7/03]
Original 1985 Dispersal Draft, revisited [7/03]
Comparing the Great SOMBILLA teams [7/02]
The Cut Lists [7/02] ]

How the Teams Were Built [7/01]

Racial profiling in the SOMBILLA (7/01)
Standings study [7/00]
Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/08]
Salaries in the SOMBILLA [7/00]
Championship analysis [7/99]
Is There Excessive Focus On Early Draft Picks? [7/99]
The Cute Ratings [7/99]
What if the SOMBILLA was a Rotisserie League? [7/99]
Home and away analysis (7/98)
Rating the cards (7/98)
All-time Alphabetical Baseball (as published in Strat Fan Baseball Quarterly - Spring 1998)
Racism in the SOMBILLA (7/97)
1993 Draft Analysis (7/97)
1994 Draft Analysis (7/98)
1995 Draft Analysis [7/99]
1996 Draft Analysis [7/00]
1997 Draft Analysis [7/01]
1998 Draft Analysis [7/02]
1999 Draft Analysis [7/03]
2000 Draft Analysis [7/04]
2001 Draft Analysis [7/05]
2002 Draft Analysis [8/06]
2003 Draft Analysis [8/07]
2004 Draft Analysis [8/08]
2005 Draft Analysis [8/09]
2006 Draft Analysis [8/10]
2007 Draft Analysis [8/11]
2008 Draft Analysis [8/12]
2009 Draft Analysis [8/13]
2010 Draft Analysis [8/14]
2011 Draft Analysis [8/15]
2012 Draft Analysis [8/16]
2013 Draft Analysis [8/17]
2014 Draft Analysis [/8/18]
2015 Draft Analysys [8/19]
Ages in the SOMBILLA (7/97)
The advantages of managing while pregnant (11/7/94)
North Dakota vs. Future Wax - which team was better? (7/27/94)
First picks overall in SOMBILLA drafts (7/27/94)
All-time franchise leaders [revised 7/04]
Who is the best manager in the SOMBILLA? (7/27/93)
Is lucky rolling statistically possible? (1/1/92)
Beer consumption per person per Strat-O night - 11/3/91
Twits Notes 1/9/91
Late season charges 11/27/90
2nd half charges 7/98
How good was Eric's team? (August 1990)
Fastest starts in SOMBILLA history:
Series splits (11/3/88)
Ralph Houk Rating (11/19/84)

Jeff’s teams through the years [8/19]

 
Jeff Donahue joined the SOMBILLA in 1994.  His in with the league was that his wife Amy worked with Andrew & Beth Nowell. In his first year in the league, he shared a team with Dave Pinto.  Dave, who had previously been managing full-time, preferred to share a team and cut back on managerial duties.

Their team in ’94-95 was named Mirkwood, from Tolkien’s Lord of the Rings.  They finished in 7th place (out of 9 teams) at 25-31.

The following year, ’95-96, Jeff changes the team name to Metrowest and they finish last (18-38).

 Metrowest finishes in last place again in ’96-97 (Lofton leading the league with 19 steals). At the end of the season, Dave resigns from the league to pursue a full-time job with the nascent Stats Inc.  “Jeff, the team is all yours,” he says in his resignation email.

After another sub-.500 season in ’97-98 (during which Jeff and Eric set a record for most runs combined in a 24-14 Eric win), Metrowest breaks through in ’98-99 with Jeff’s first good season, a 32-24 team, good for third place.  Led by Mo Vaughn, Larry Walker and Pat Hentgen, he loses a tough 7 game playoff to New Orleans.  In 1998, Jeff also recruited Tom for the league after Land moved to California.

Another lackluster season for Metrowest in ’99-00 leads to Jeff changing his team name to Area 51 for the ’00-01 season.  The new team name doesn’t help (17-36, 8th place).  Nor does it help for the ’01-02 season (19-37, 8th place), during which he set a league record for losing all 7 games in a 7-game series (against Harold).

But in ’02-03, Jeff squeezes into the playoffs, winning a one-game playoff for 4th place with New Orleans.  Jeff drives 75 minutes to Marblehead to play one game, and wins 4-3 in 10 innings.  Area 51 then stunned first place North Dakota 4 games to 1 to advance to the World Series for the first time to face mighty Future Wax.  Led by Cy Young winner, Curt Schilling and Mike Mussina, Jeff wins the championship!  He wrote “Area51 melts Wax 4 games to 1, cruising to the franchises first World Series victory.  Celebrations and ticker tape parades are scheduled but will not be disclosed to the general public.  Officials allege all celebratory information will be released once it is declassified.”

Jeff was voted manager of the year after winning his first SOMBILLA Championship.

The next year, ’03-04, defending champion Area 51 finished at 28-28, missing the playoffs.  In ’04-05 the resurgent squad finished 3rd at 32-24, but lost to Constantinople in 5 games in the first round of the playoffs.

The following two seasons, ’05-06 and ’06-07 saw Area 51 finish in 7th and 8th place, respectively, although M. Young set an obscure league record with 10 triples in ’05-06.

In ’07-08, Area 51 made the playoffs again, finishing in 3rd place at 28-28, 9 games behind 2nd place Future Wax.  After Jeff goes up 3 games to 1, Future Wax storms back to win the final 3 games to take the series.

After another last place finish in ’08-09, Jeff finishes 4th in ’09-10 (28-28) but is unceremoniously swept in the first round by first place Future Wax (who then get swept by Eric’s Dem Bums in the World Series).

Jeff finishes ’10-11 in 6th place, and then on opening night October 30, 2011: “After changing his team's name from Area 51 to the Raging Alcoholics (and changing his ballpark to Chicken and Beer Park) in honor of Lester and Buchholz, Jeff went out and swept Jed over the Internet.”

The Raging Alcoholics finish in 7th place 25-31.  The next year, ’12-13, Jeff becomes “What Eric Said” and finished in 6th place with the same record as the year before.  On 11/28/12, Javier Vazquez, pitched a no-hitter against Constantinople. He fell one hit batsman short of a perfect game. Carlos Gonzales made a spectacular play to rob a HR on Constantinople's 2nd batter of the game. 

In ’13-14 “What Eric Said” misses the playoffs by two games (27-29).

In ’14-15, “What Eric Said” wins a one-game playoff over ND, 3-1 to finish in 4th place (30-27) but loses to Future Wax in 6 games.  CarGo leads the league with 20 homers.

In the 2015-2016 pre-season poll, Jeff was picked for last place.  After the mid-season holiday break, Jeff adds a “?” to his team’s name.  He goes on to win manager of the year after winning his second championship, taking great pride and motivational indignation at the preseason poll.  Lester leads the league in ERA at 2.71. After tying FW for 2nd place at 32-24, he beats them in five games in the playoffs, then defeats Jed in the World Series in 6 games.

He wrote “After a 13-year drought the faithful fans (all one or two of them) of “What Eric Said?” are celebrating a second World Series win.  In post-game interviews the manager stated “It was a great win for the team, after coming up short in the first round the year prior, the team pulled it all together to make what most of the league prognosticators thought was impossible.”  The manager attributes the catalyst that sparked the unlikely run to the inclusion of the “?” in the team’s name.

At the start of the ’16-17 season, Jeff moves the “?” to outside the quotation marks in “What Eric Said”?, but then moved it back after Robin (the editor) had asked him about it when scoring their first series of the season.  Back to the bottom (16-40) in ’16-17, Jeff wins another manager of the year award in ’17-18 by finishing in 2nd place (33-23) after being picked for last in the preseason poll again. Realmuto leads the league with a .352 batting average, Tillman goes 8-3.

His all-time regular season record is 583-724 .446   and his post-season record was 26-29 .473. At the start of the ’16-17 season, Jeff moves the “?” to outside the quotation marks in “What Eric Said”?, but then moved it back after Robin (the editor) had asked him about it when scoring their first series of the season. 

 

Jeff the man [8/19]

The stats are dry, the year by year summaries, a mostly numerical compendium of this game we play with dice.  But there’s so much more.  You spend hours next to a person twice a year for 25 years…it adds up.  Here are our collective thoughts and memories of playing Jeff, the man.

From Matt: I'll never forget a series at his house where just the two of us "sampled" his homemade zinfandel well into the evening.

I always scheduled my 2nd half series over his house.  Inevitably it’d be really wintry and cold.  I think Hopkinton gets even more snow than Holliston. The randomness of global warming days had yet to ever hit my travels to his house.  I’ll miss the repetition of going over there in midwinter.  It was something to count on.  Weird that it’s gone.

Without a doubt, the funniest moment in SOMBILLA draft history involved Jeff. It was at the 2015 draft, 7th round- Jeff announced that he was drafting erstwhile 22-year old prospect Oscar Tavares, who had died tragically in a car accident the previous October. There's a pause, then Tom says "You do realize he's dead, right?" Howls of laughter ensued and we let him make another pick.

From Harold: He had a fantastic sense of pop culture. I had a pitcher, Jarrod Washburn, who whenever he started Jeff said Here comes D.W. Washburn" - D.W. Washburn being the name of an obscure 1968 Monkees single. Of calling three straight strike outs in an inning (K-K-K) a Carver after Daniel Carver, frequent guest on the Howard Sterrn Show and Ku Klux Klan member.

From Jed: A generic memory is that typically I/we would predict Jeff to finish last and he would basically respond go f___ yourselves and proceed to beat the tar out of me when we played.

The last World Series I played in was against Jeff. I felt sure I would win. I had the better team Jeff shouldn’t have even made the playoffs. I took the first game, as I recall, and proceeded to lose the series 4 games to 2. Once again underestimating Jeff....

From Clint: My memories are more distant; however, I clearly remember his wry sense of humor and can still hear his distinct chuckle when laughing.

From Tom:  My first year in the league, Jeff and I decided to have a beer or two in the hot tub after our series.  I had a bit of a back spasm issue and was opining that we should just play our entire series in the hot tub next time.  Jeff laughed and made some joke about bubbles and wet cards.  I said “We could laminate them..”

I think we only did one more après series hot tub, but the lamination of my team(s) had its start in chlorine and beer fumes…

I could always count on one or two times in the season where we would end up outside just doing the family chat – parents in the Rochester Area, kids, wives, new job, job hunt – whatever was the latest thing - in the cold.  He would always tease me that I had to start a conversation after we left whoever’s warm comfortable table…

From Randy: Knowing someone through the SOMBILLA is odd. You see the others 3 times a year (two series, draft, occassional playoffs). You meet as opponents. But before you know it this has gone on for 20+ years (twice that for some founders). You get glimpses of a person's family life and maybe career or hobby, and their taste in beer. Never really reflected on this until now.

My memory of Jeff to share is the one time we met outside of the context of the SOMBILLA. Jeff and Amy attended a sketch comedy that Arnie and I were both in in Ashland two years ago this winter. They were dressed for a night on the town, had a bit to drink, and were having a great time. It opened my eyes as to how they were as a couple, and how entertaining they were (for others and each other). Grateful for this memory, and so sad there was not time to spend more of this sort of time together.

From Robin: I tried to look this up on the website (what? we have a website) but couldn't find the correct year and didn't want to spend too much time on this. Several years ago, Jeff couldn't be at the draft (possibly to attend one of Reese's diving competitions) and Tom created a "Draft-o-Matic," which we used to draft for Jeff. However, at some point the Draft-o-Matic failed (none of the players Jeff had designated were available or Jeff had an extra draft pick that wasn't accounted for or something) and we had to contact Jeff for his pick(s). I was chosen/volunteered to do this because perhaps Tom was still drafting/scouting and I was done?--not sure. I also can't even remember if I was talking to him on the phone or just texting back and forth. Anyway, it was a late-round pick, one that you would typically use for an unheralded rookie you had a good feeling about or a one-year-wonder to fill a need for your team, but Jeff said to draft Bartolo Colon (who was neither), and I responded something like "Are you sure you want to draft Bartolo Colon?," thinking that he was maybe confusing him for someone else, but Jeff did indeed want to draft the aged Colon.I don't recall what the league's response to his choice was.

     From Arnie: Not that I doubt your memory but I searched the file that has all draft analyses <=2013 for "Colon" and could not see anywhere where Jeff drafted him. I remembered that same draft where we drafted E. Santana for him with conflicting information and he was OK with it. Yet I could not find any draft where he drafted E. Santana <queue twilight zone theme>

Speaking of the twilight zone, this reminds me of the time many many years ago, when Jeff was at our house and one of his dice rolled off the table under the baseboard.  We searched for quite a while and could not find it.  For years afterward, he would comment about his missing die that had apparently travelled into another dimension.  We had the floors redone but no dice were found.  One summer day a couple of years ago, out of the blue, his die appeared.  We have no idea how it got there or what it had been doing all this time, but I presented it to him.  He was incredulous.

From Eric: My curious friendship with Jeff

I wish I could tell my classic Jeff story, except I don’t have one. At least none that’s come to mind since Arnie asked us to submit our tributes. I’ve rummaged around the junk in my head for two weeks now looking for something that jumps out and all I’ve found are scattered impressions. They’re not vague; they’re just here and there and, in the depths of our sadness, suddenly too few….

***

The Baker

Jeff came down to Plymouth for a series last year right before Hanukkah and he (the Catholic) and Sue (the Jew) spent in the neighborhood of ten minutes talking about the challenges and rewards of baking the perfect latkes. “It’s a cultural identity thing,” Sue said. “I’m reconnecting to my roots. But I follow the recipes, and they come out like shit.” Jeff spoke eloquently about cooking oils, oven temps, spuds, spices, and scoffed at frozen latkes, Sue’s suggestion as a last resort.

“Crap,” he said.

“You really know latkes, Jeff.”

 “I have lots of Jewish friends,” he said.

“Of which I’m one,” I said, shaking the dice in my hand.

***

The Perfect Host

Speaking of holidays, I believe I played at Jeff’s every December since he and Amy moved to Hopkinton. Christmas at the Donahue McMansion. It was like stepping into a snow globe. One night he answered the door and someone was playing holiday lounge music on a piano in a room somewhere off the foyer. Really good holiday lounge music.

 “Izzat one of the kids?”

“Nope.” He led me into a parlor. (A parlor?!) In the shadows was a baby grand piano, with no one at the piano seat, save maybe a Dickensian ghost. “It’s a player piano.”

“Holy shit, Jeff! That’s the coolest thing I’ve ever seen!”

 “It can play hundreds of tunes. We listen to it all the time.”

“Man, am I jealous.” And I was. I had just bought about a half-dozen jazz CDs to play on my new Bose wave radio, and was pretty much mainlining them round the clock. “So let me get this straight. You can play anyone on this? Like Bill Evans or Art Tatum?”

“I don’t see why not.”

“This is heaven. I feel like I’m at a bar.”

“Want a drink. Before I kick your ass?”

***

No lie: until last year, I needed to use my GPS every time I traveled to Jeff’s in Hopkinton. What is that, like a dozen years or so? It’s not that there were a lot of turns once you got off the highway; there are more turns driving to Arnie and Robin’s, and there’s nothing to compare with the North Shore Slog up to frickin’ Marblehead…

I think it was the lone, narrow, winding road, cut through the dark woods, and the too-wide SUVs barreling at me, and then the sub-development maze of giant brick homes and roads that snaked up a near-treeless hillside to Everett Circle, that just made it impossible for directions to stick.

“You still don’t know how to get here by memory?” Jeff would razz me.

“I can’t figure it out. How do you find your way home. I’m just grateful to get here. I need a beer.”

***

Let’s get serious…which is something I was kinda hoping to avoid. This tribute to Jeff has been difficult for me to write. Arnie’s deadline has been weighing on me, and I feel badly that I’ve held him up.

Anyway…

Sue and I have some friends visiting from North Carolina. They’re staying on the Cape, and Wednesday night we met up with them at another friend’s house. All these people are musicians, and the house we visited has a music studio in the basement, and the evening was spent listening to a couple of them jam. We’ve done this a number of times, and it’s cool to have such talented friends. But truth be told, there have been some nights where I’ve found this tedious, in part because they often play original songs that just don’t do it for me, crummy as I feel saying that. Plus, it’s loud and hard to talk.

After an interminable amount of time fussing with the speakers and woofers, control panels and syncing pre-recorded tracks, they played a rather long, loud set. About a minute or so into the third or fourth song I began to get that familiar itch that now would be a good time to wrap things up. But my friends apparently don’t get to play in front of an audience that often—even an audience of five—and the songs just kept coming. And I kept getting antsier.

And then something curious happened. For lack of a better description, the room got deeper, the sound got richer, the moment slowed, and the antsy-ness faded into a kind of bliss, a feeling of wellbeing and gratitude. And in this moment of wellbeing and gratitude I thought of Jeff. And the thought was obvious, something we always say to each other after a terrific loss: value the moment, treasure what’s in front of you, because you never know when it’ll be gone…

I love my friends. All my friends. But we don’t usually say stuff like this because we’re buttoned up in an I-don’t-feel-comfortable-saying-this sort of way. But there you have it. On the way home I brought this up and it seems Sue had the same feelings—a deep connection to the moment and the people in it, and a profound appreciation for it. I called it the Jeff Effect. And now I always will.

Lastly, below is a link to a video, to commemorate Jeff’s love of latkes…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?reload=9&v=z2GOrdxCm6Q


Drafting all-stars [8/19]

As suggested by Eric.  Who is better at drafting players who immediately make the all-star team?

This year, Robin led the way with 3 drafted players making the all-star game (W. Smith, McNeil, Polanco):  Eric, Arnie, Harold & Jed had 2 each while Jeff and Tom each drafted one all star.  RAT did not draft any all-stars this year!. Looking back over the past 5 years:

                                Total All-stars                       All-stars who were just drafted

Arnie                                      51                                           8

Robin                                     35                                           8

Harold                                   35                                           7

Eric                                         37                                           6

Tom                                       37                                           6

RAT                                       47                                           3

Jed                                          40                                           3

Jeff                                         27                                           2

Looks like North Dakota and Bay City have drafted the most players who made the all-star team 3 months after being drafted - with 8 selections each.  And North Dakota has the most all-stars over the last five years, averaging more than 10 a season.  Good study, thanks Eric!

At the other end of the spectrum, looks like Jeff has both the fewest total all-stars and fewest newly drafted all-stars.  Way to denigrate Jeff, Eric.  Nice going, jerk.


What if Jeff’s team had Babe Ruth? [8/19]

Take a look at the standings on page 1.  Last season, Jeff finished dead last 14 games out of first, 9 games out of the playoffs and 4 games out of 7th place.  Not a good team in the SOMBILLA. What if he had Babe Ruth on his team last year?  Using computer Strat-O and the Hall of Fame cards, I added the Babe to Jeff’s team (replacing Chisenhall, who batted .194 in 67 at bats).  So what happened in a computer replay of last year?

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB 

2018 Oceanus OCE             97  71  .577 ----  

2018 New Orleans NOR         92  76  .548  5.0       

2018 North Dakota NDA        89  79  .530  8.0       

2018 Constantinople CON      85  83  .506 12.0       

2018 Future Wax FUT          82  86  .488 15.0       

2018 What Eric Said? WES     77  91  .458 20.0       

2018 Nidavellir NID          75  93  .446 22.0       

2018 Bay City BAY            75  93  .446 22.0  

The Babe helped a little, enabling WES? to escape last place.  He hit .an astounding 392 with 76 homers and 168 rbis to win the triple crown.  But Jeff is still 14 games under .500 and 20 games out.

OK, let’s help out Jeff’s pitching and give him Walter Johnson.  Johnson replaces Lester, who finished with an 11.45 ERA in the SOMBILLA.  Jeff’s team with the Babe and the great Walter Johnson:

                             WON LOST  PCT   GB

2018 Oceanus OCE            103  65  .613 ---- 

2018 New Orleans NOR        100  68  .595  3.0       

2018 Future Wax FUT          92  76  .548 11.0       

2018 North Dakota NDA        85  83  .506 18.0       

2018 Nidavellir NID          75  93  .446 28.0       

2018 What Eric Said? WES     74  94  .440 29.0       

2018 Constantinople CON      73  95  .435 30.0       

2018 Bay City BAY            70  98  .417 33.0   

Jeff’s team is worse??!!  The Big Train did his part, going 19-10 with a 3.14 ERA, but WES? had two 20-game losers (Samardjia and Leake). SAD!  Alright, let’s stop fooling around.  We’ll add both Christy Mathewson and Ted Williams to his team, replacing Brad Peacock and Trey Mancini, respectively.  I mean, how can a team with Babe Ruth, Ted Williams, Christy Mathewson and Walter Johnson not win the SOMBILLA?  (At first I considered Carl Hubbell but Jed reminded me Hubbell was a lefty.)

                            WON LOST  PCT   GB 

2018 New Orleans NOR        100  68  .595 ---- 

2018 Oceanus OCE             87  81  .518 13.0       

2018 Future Wax FUT          87  81  .518 13.0       

2018 Nidavellir NID          83  85  .494 17.0       

2018 What Eric Said? WES     82  86  .488 18.0       

2018 North Dakota NDA        80  88  .476 20.0       

2018 Bay City BAY            77  91  .458 23.0       

2018 Constantinople CON      76  92  .452 24.0   

I’m kind of shocked.  This is embarrassing.  Ruth hit 59 homers and the Splendid Splinter and the Babe both hit .347, and Ted had a .454 OBP.  Walter Johnson went 19-13, Mathewson was 17-11; Jeff’s team led the league in batting, but his pitching still needs help.  The SOMBILLA is a tough league. .

So I gave him Bob Gibson and Rollie Fingers (replacing Leake and Rodney). 

                           WON LOST  PCT   GB  
2018 What Eric Said? WES     94  74  .560 ----  
2018 New Orleans NOR         92  76  .548  2.0        
2018 Oceanus OCE             91  77  .542  3.0        
2018 Future Wax FUT          87  81  .518  7.0        
2018 Bay City BAY            84  84  .500 10.0        
2018 North Dakota NDA        84  84  .500 10.0        
2018 Nidavellir NID          71  97  .423 23.0        
2018 Constantinople CON      69  99  .411 25.0        

That did it!  Ted hit .382, Ruth won the MVP (.328, 62, 131), Johnson (21-11, 3.55) and Mathewson (20-7, 3.37) finished 1-2 in the Cy Young.  Gibson and Fingers oddly each had 5.06 ERAs. 

 


2015 Draft Analysis [8/19]

 It is time for the 4-year draft retrospective analysis of the 2015 (Cards 2014) draft. 

We have 4 SOMBILLA seasons, but note that we have partial or no data for the following seasons:

 

As a result, some of these teams’ players may lose out in the counting statistics (Wins, Saves, HRs, RBIs, and SBs) and be more maligned than they deserve.

Round 1:

1. Jed -- Abreu, Jose

.290 / .336 / .531 / .867 (262 PA), 19 HR, 46 RBI, 2 SB

Still Owned

2. Eric -- Pederson, Joc

 Nothing showing for …

Still Owned

3. Arnie -- Betts, Mookie

.251 / .315 / .356 / .671 (489 PA), 10 HR, 34 RBI, 10 SB

Still Owned

4. Robin -- Soler, Jorge

.188 / .235 / .176 / .411 (17 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2018 waivers, redrafted by Arnie 2019

5. Jed -- Brantley, Michael

.287 / .338 / .367 / .705 (450 PA), 6 HR, 36 RBI, 9 SB

Still Owned

6. Eric -- Richards, Garrett

9-5, 0 SV, 4.57 ERA, 99 K (122 IPS)

Still Owned

7. Harold -- Polanco, Gregory

.233 / .258 / .226 / .484 (31 PA), 0 HR, 4 RBI, 3 SB

Still Owned

8. RAT -- Springer, George

.242 / .316 / .380 / .696 (618 PA), 25 HR, 60 RBI, 10 SB

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  Jose Abreu supplied better SOMBILLA statistics over a shorter span of time, but the best players are still George Springer and Mookie Betts.  Mookie gets the nod as a superb defensive player and a perennial MVP candidate who is often in the same sentence as Mike Trout.  I expect his SOMBILLA performances to only get better and better as the years go on.  Springer has been having a solid year and is just a touch worse than Mookie when looking at all the metrics, and may suffer from my slight Rotisserie biases.  I would say it was a coin toss but after Yelich got snubbed as being the best first round pick last year, I had to give Arnie the nod this year.

Worst Picks:  Jorge Soler* was a SOMBILLA disappointment who never really hit and Robin cut him in disgust before this analysis.  As of today, Soler has 36 homers, 91 RBI and a 876 OPS and projects for 43 homers and 111 RBI.  He turned 27 and found a low key major league city (KC) to bloom into a usable player.

Other:..Pederson might have some good stats, the SOMBILLA just has not seen any.  He has 26 homers this year and 26 (2015), 25 (2016), 11 (2017) and 25 (2018) respectively in the previous years showing consistency when healthy.

* Robin adds: Note that Soler is taunting Bay City this year the way #5 pick & former Bay Cityite continues to taunt me for cutting him.

Last Year Update:  Last year we had Yelich taking second place in the first round behind Josh Donaldson, but  is now a rising MVP who should have been the best of that round.  Profar, who was the worst pick in last year’s first round, actually has a job at last and a question of what value he will have in five more years. 

 

Round 2:

9. Eric -- Hendricks, Kyle

5-5, 0 SV, 4.44 ERA, 61 K (81 IPS)

Still Owned

1. Jed -- Mesoraco, Devin

.236 / .310 / .371 / .681 (197 PA), 7 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

11. Robin -- Harrison, Josh

.250 / .287 / .328 / .615 (582 PA), 7 HR, 51 RBI, 3 SB

Cut in 2019 waivers

12. Arnie -- deGrom, Jacob

18-17, 0 SV, 4.86 ERA, 269 K (272 IPS)

Still Owned

13. Jeff -- Martinez, J.D.

.300 / .367 / .531 / .898 (706 PA), 45 HR, 126 RBI, 1 SB

Traded Still Owned

14. Tom -- Carrasco, Carlos

23-12, 1 SV, 4.37 ERA, 256 K (232.67 IPS)

Still Owned

15. Harold -- Santana, Danny

.318 / .342 / .461 / .803 (219 PA), 6 HR, 35 RBI, 6 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

16. RAT -- Stroman, Marcus

9-9, 1 SV, 4.73 ERA, 109 K (144.67 IPS)

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  JD Martinez was just a monster over this time period and was the World Series MVP for Jeff’s last Championship team.  He was traded for NO 3rd round pick in the 2017 draft (became Buchter) plus a player to be named later (Realmuto after the season).and continues to be a mainstay for Harold now and into the future.

Worst Pick:  The perennial search for the next starting catcher led to Devin Mesoraco being picked early in the second by Jed.  However, injury and a failure to break through in MLB led him to being cut.  Danny Santana made a run at being just as bad but had a single good season to keep him from the worst pick of the round.

Other  Two good starters were a close 2nd in this round – Jacob deGrom and Carlos Carrasco have distinguished themselves in the SOMBILLA.  deGrom is the better MLB pitcher and has one of the best cards in the set that will be used this year.  Carrasco has been oft injured but has put together some useful cards that have so far produced better SOMBILLA statistics; that should change as deGrom looks to be the one getting better as the two age.

Round 3:

17. Jed -- Tanaka, Masahiro

9-12, 0 SV, 5.15 ERA, 157 K (174.67 IPS)

Still Owned

18. Eric -- Castillo, Rusney

 

Cut After One Year

19. Arnie -- Miller, Andrew

7-5, 8 SV, 2.75 ERA, 162 K (108 IPS)

Still Owned

2. Robin -- Davis, Wade

5-5, 15 SV, 1.81 ERA, 120 K (89.67 IPS)

Still Owned

21. Jeff -- Giles, Ken

4-1, 19 SV,  0.96 ERA, 74 K (56.33 IPS)

Still Owned

22. Tom -- Arrieta, Jake

19-12, 0 SV, 3.63 ERA, 278 K (278 IPS)

Still Owned

23. Tom -- Betances, Dellin

3-5, 7 SV, 2.13 ERA, 140 K (101.33 IPS)

Still Owned

24. RAT -- Sanchez, Aaron

6-2, 2 SV, 3.07 ERA, 65 K (73.33 IPS)

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  A lot of good pitching went in this round and is still owned by their hopeful teams.  Jake Arrieta won a World Series MVP and he pitched a large number of innings in the last 4 seasons.  He has started to decline and might never be dominant again but that can be said about the rest of the round as well.  All but one of the other players have done well but Arrieta did enough to take the honor.

Worst Pick:  Eric optimistically grabbed a Boston Red Sox prospect early, but he did not pan out and Eric cut him immediately.

Other:  Arnie and I made a deal that got me an extra pick I used to draft Betances who I was surprised was still available and might prove to have more good seasons than Arrieta if he recovers from this year’s arm trouble.  Arnie got perennial one year lefty killer Steve Pearce to fill a need in the next round and something else….

Round 4:

25. Eric -- Dickerson, Corey

.322 / .363 / .665 / 1.028 (212 PA), 19 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

26. Robin -- Britton, Zack

6-3, 6 SV, 3.48 ERA, 87 K (75 IPS)

Still Owned

27. Jed -- Neshek, Pat

1-1, 11 SV, 2.10 ERA, 31 K (25.67 IPS)

Cut After 1 year

28. Arnie -- Kiermaier, Kevin

.283 / .340 / .476 / .816 (368 PA), 15 HR, 53 RBI, 5 SB

Still Owned

29. Jeff -- Casilla, Santiago

3-2, 1 SV, 2.25 ERA, 38 K (44 IPS)

Cut in 2018 waivers

3. Arnie -- Pearce, Steve

.237 / .301 / .343 / .644 (143 PA), 3 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After 1 Year

31. Harold -- Pompey, Dalton

 

Cut in 2017 waivers

32. RAT -- Baez, Javier

.000 / .000 / .000 / 0 (3 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

 

Best Pick:  This was a battle between the close Zack Britton and the slugging Corey Dickerson. In this case the lack of complete statistics left Corey with an amazing slash line that carried him over the 6 save sub 3.5 performance of Robin’s lefty.

Worst Pick:  Pompey had to be the worst pick, as he did not even have one year of contributions before Harold gave up on him after two lackluster seasons.

Other:  Javier Baez had a break-out year last year and could end up being the best player of the round.  The SOMBILLA and Wax will have to see how the slugging middle infielder works out.  I would not vote against him, but he is a big risk/big reward type player.

Round 5:

33. Jeff -- Sipp, Tony

1-1, 1 SV, 2.45 ERA, 27 K (29.33 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

34. Eric -- Duffy, Danny

3-1, 0 SV, 4.36 ERA, 26 K (33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

35. Robin -- Loup, Aaron

0-0, 1 SV, 2.873 ERA, 12 K (15.67 IPS)

Cut After One Year

36. Arnie -- Turner, Justin

.254 / .330 / .357 / .687 (552 PA), 15 HR, 49 RBI, 4 SB

Still Owned Traded

37. Jeff -- Taylor, Michael

 

Cut in 2017 waivers

38. Tom -- McHugh, Collin

3-5, 0 SV, 5.34 ERA, 67 K (64 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

39. Eric -- Semien, Marcus

 

Cut in 2018 waivers

4. RAT -- Fiers, Mike

2-4, 4 SV, 3.30 ERA, 31 K (30 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

 

Best Pick:  Justin Turner (and his beard) is much feared in MLB especially if you pitch left handed.  He is a high value real life player who has produced some great cards that have not gotten as many good rolls in the SOMBILLA.  He has been a 1 at 3B and is back from injury and poised to be valuable going forward.

Worst Pick:  Michael Taylor has been passed over twice as a prospect in real MLB and Jeff held him but then discarded him and ended up with the only player still owned in the round (Turner) after making a trade with Arnie.

Round 6:

41. Eric -- Cron, C.J.

 

Cut in 2016 waivers

42. Jed -- Duda, Lucas

.247 / .323 / .476 / .799 (189 PA), 14 HR, 38 RBI, 1 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

43. Jed -- Van Slyke, Scott

.257 / .366 / .585 / .951 (41 PA), 4 HR, 10 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

44. Robin -- Strop, Pedro

5-2, 9 SV, 2.10 ERA, 91 K (90 IPS)

Still Owned

45. Harold -- Odor, Rougned

 

Still Owned

46. Tom -- Rondon, Hector

0-2, 4 SV, 4.57 ERA, 45 K (45.33 IPS)

Cut in 2018 waivers

47. Harold -- Ramirez, Neil

0-0, 0 SV, 6.978 ERA, 9 K (1.33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

48. RAT -- Duke, Zach

1-0, 2 SV, 1.80 ERA, 12 K (15 IPS)

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  Prospecting and reliever round with Strop taking the honors via longevity and solid overall statistics.

Worst Pick:  CJ Cron is a big tall hitter that ended up being a bust for the ever changing secretive dwarves.

Round 7:

49. Jed -- Abad, Fernando

2-0, 0 SV, 5.59 ERA, 4 K (19.33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

5. Eric -- Jepsen, Kevin

1-3, 2 SV, 3.86 ERA, 37 K (39.67 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

51. Robin -- Ramos, AJ

2-8, 4 SV, 5.01 ERA, 82 K (73.67 IPS)

Cut in 2019 waivers

52. Arnie -- Hutchison, Drew

Cut After One Year

53. Jeff -- Cain, Lorenzo

.249 / .275 / .328 / .603 (652 PA), 7 HR, 49 RBI, 11 SB

Traded Still Owned

54. Tom -- Valbuena, Luis

.209 / .284 / .338 / .622 (74 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2018 waivers

55. Harold -- Franco, Maikel

.344 / .382 / .735 / 1.117 (34 PA), 4 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

56. RAT -- Shoemaker, Matt

0-0, 0 SV, 0.00 ERA, 5 K (4 IPS)

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  Lorenzo Cain was drafted by Jeff, who traded him to CN, and later regained his services.  Cain has been a solid speedy defensive CF with a 1 glove and always seemed to hit left handed pitching better than average.

Worst Pick:  Hutchison and Shoemaker were the two worst of this round.  Hutchison was a prospect grab by Arnie that never became a star and Shoemaker was a journeyman who was oft injured but always made the sleeper lists for Rotisserie leagues.

Round 8:

57. Arnie -- Gillaspie, Conor

.196 / .229 / .313 / .542 (48 PA), 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

58. Robin -- Ruf, Darin

.244 / .393 / .286 / .679 (56 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

Traded to FW for Hamels and cut in 2017 waivers

59. Jed -- Warren, Adam

5-8, 0 SV, 4.48 ERA, 78 K (84.33 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

6. Arnie -- Boxberger, Brad

0-0, 0 SV, 9.00 ERA, 14 K (6 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

61. Jeff -- Singleton, Jonathan

 

Cut After One Year

62. Tom -- Smith, Seth

.167 / .194 / .290 / .484 (31 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

63. Harold -- Bauer, Trevor

2-0, 0 SV, 0.00 ERA, 8 K (15 IPS)

Still Owned

64. RAT -- LaRoche, Adam

.220 / .327 / .374 / .701 (211 PA), 10 HR, 24 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  The eccentric Bauer looks to have put together a year that all the prognosticators hoped for, and he is the only one of the round who has any hope for a SOMBILLA future.  There is a great article about Bauer that became a chapter from a book from the Effectively Wild podcasters (“The MVP Machine”).

Worst Pick:  Jonathan Singleton got a big contract from Houston and Jeff gave him a shot, but he was gone after one year.

Round 9:

65. Jed -- Panik, Joe

.287 / .360 / .423 / .783 (175 PA), 7 HR, 22 RBI, 1 SB

Cut in 2019 waivers

66. Eric -- Hahn, Jesse

0-2, 1 SV, 4.86 ERA, 39 K (50 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

67. Arnie -- Escobar, Eduardo

.246 / .258 / .318 / .576 (66 PA), 0 HR, 1 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

68. Robin -- Alcantara, Arismendy

 

Cut After One Year

69. Jeff -- Bethancourt, Christian

 

Cut After One Year

7. Tom -- Otero, Dan

0-3, 2 SV, 2.67 ERA, 5 K (3.33 IPS)

Cut After One Year

71. Harold -- Gonzales, Marco

1-0, 1 SV, 2.89 ERA, 7 K (9.33 IPS)

Cut in 2016 waivers

72. RAT -- Peralta, Jhonny

.196 / .231 / .342 / .573 (117 PA), 5 HR, 12 RBI, 2 SB

Cut After One Year

 

Best Pick:  Choose either Panik, who stayed around the longest but was a weak hitting part timer, or Otero who was a one year wonder who pitched well and was eventually re-drafted (to be written about in another draft analysis for the same team).

Worst Pick:  Alcantara or Bethancourt never played and were cut immediately, another pick-em in this round of pick-ems…

Round 10-13:

73. Eric -- Wood, Alex

3-0, 0 SV, 4.22 ERA, 28 K (32 IPS)

Still Owned

74. Jed -- Peralta, David

.299 / .396 / .455 / .851 (101 PA), 5 HR, 9 RBI, 1 SB

Still Owned

75. Robin -- Ahmed, Nick

 

Cut in 2017 waivers

76. Arnie -- Taylor, Chris

 

Cut After One Year

77. Jeff -- Holland, Derek

2-0, 0 SV, 4.22 ERA, 7 K (1.67 IPS)

Cut After One Year

78. Jeff -- Peralta, Wily

Cut After One Year

79. Harold -- Morin, Michael

0-2, 1 SV, 2.65 ERA, 13 K (17 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

80. RAT -- Blackmon, Charlie

.349 / .410 / .497 / .907 (288 PA), 8 HR, 47 RBI, 12 SB

Still Owned

81. Jed -- Quintana, Jose

2-9, 0 SV, 6.03 ERA, 113 K (128.33 IPS)

Cut in 2019 waivers

82. Eric -- Cosart, Jarred

Cut After One Year

83. Arnie -- Kazmir, Scott

6-5, 0 SV, 4.32 ERA, 78 K (102 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

84. Robin -- Susac, Andrew

.225 / .262 / .429 / .691 (42 PA), 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

85. Jeff -- Marisnick, Jake

.429 / .429 / .429 / .858 (7 PA), 0 HR, 0 RBI, 2 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

86. Tom -- Paxton, James

3-4, 0 SV, 5.11 ERA, 73 K (88 IPS)

Still Owned

87. Harold -- Heaney, Andrew

Cut in 2017 waivers

88. RAT -- Strickland, Hunter

2-2, 5 SV, 4.74 ERA, 32 K (38 IPS)

Cut in 2019 waivers

89. Robin -- Herrera, Dilson

.556 / .556 / 1.333 / 1.889 (9 PA), 2 HR, 6 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

9. Jeff -- Vazquez, Christian

.274 / .337 / .348 / .685 (92 PA), 1 HR, 11 RBI, 0 SB

Still Owned

91. Tom -- Hammel, Jason

3-1, 0 SV, 1.58 ERA, 27 K (45.67 IPS)

Cut in 2016 waivers

92. Harold -- Quackenbush, Kevin

2-1, 0 SV, 4.15 ERA, 19 K (17.33 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

93. RAT -- McKenry, Mike

.268 / .373 / .482 / .855 (83 PA), 6 HR, 14 RBI, 0 SB

Cut in 2017 waivers

94. Tom -- Rollins, Jimmy

.174 / .230 / .272 / .502 (191 PA), 4 HR, 15 RBI, 4 SB

Cut After One Year

95. Harold -- Rivera, Rene

.368 / .429 / .500 / .929 (42 PA), 1 HR, 4 RBI, 0 SB

Cut After One Year

96. Tom -- Soria, Joakim

0-0, 1 SV, 2.55 ERA, 20 K (17.67 IPS)

Cut in 2017 waivers

 

Best Pick:  Charlie Blackmon turned into a valuable source of power and steals for Wax and is starting to age out of MLB, so his time is coming to a close.  James Paxton was a lefty starter with potential drafted by CN and had some good partial seasons in MLB.  He has had Cy Young type months, and the question is can he be healthy and pitch up to his potential.

Waiver Wire:  Wily Peralta was cut in the same year he was drafted.  The only worse decision than picking him was claiming him.  (Jeff and me)

Other:  Chris Taylor never played for Arnie but the versatile player put together a career year to be re-drafted and analyzed in a future edition.

2014 Card Set Results:

Team

Stats

Arnie

.239 / .301 / .365 / .666 (564 PA), 13 HR, 43 RBI, 3 SB

Eric

.308 / .349 / .639 / .988 (166 PA), 16 HR, 37 RBI, 0 SB

Harold

.315 / .346 / .442 / .788 (292 PA), 7 HR, 43 RBI, 9 SB

Jeff

.230 / .269 / .290 / .559 (238 PA), 2 HR, 18 RBI, 5 SB

Jed

.272 / .335 / .458 / .793 (883 PA), 47 HR, 132 RBI, 10 SB

Robin

.244 / .269 / .326 / .595 (279 PA), 4 HR, 34 RBI, 1 SB

Tom

.178 / .235 / .291 / .526 (289 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 4 SB

Wax

.228 / .307 / .401 / .708 (397 PA), 21 HR, 50 RBI, 2 SB

 

Team

Stats

Arnie

6-5, 0 SV, 3.89 ERA, 94 K (92.67 IPS)

Eric

11-9, 2 SV, 4.29 ERA, 166 K (191 IPS)

Harold

3-3, 2 SV, 4.00 ERA, 48 K (54 IPS)

Jeff

7-2, 10 SV, 2.29 ERA, 60 K (63 IPS)

Jed

8-6, 11 SV, 3.60 ERA, 131 K (135 IPS)

Robin

4-6, 13 SV, 2.50 ERA, 124 K (115 IPS)

Tom

18-20, 9 SV, 3.39 ERA, 309 K (361.33 IPS)

Wax

5-7, 9 SV, 2.36 ERA, 100 K (114.33 IPS)

 

Total Reported SOMBILLA Statistics:

Team

Stats

Arnie

.256 / .319 / .379 / .698 (1666 PA), 44 HR, 149 RBI, 19 SB

Eric

.322 / .363 / .665 / 1.028 (212 PA), 19 HR, 54 RBI, 0 SB

Harold

.318 / .350 / .472 / .822 (326 PA), 11 HR, 52 RBI, 10 SB

Jeff

.276 / .324 / .428 / .752 (1457 PA), 53 HR, 186 RBI, 14 SB

Jed

.275 / .339 / .432 / .771 (1415 PA), 62 HR, 185 RBI, 14 SB

Robin

.250 / .296 / .340 / .636 (706 PA), 12 HR, 70 RBI, 3 SB

Tom

.182 / .240 / .291 / .531 (296 PA), 7 HR, 28 RBI, 4 SB

Wax

.259 / .333 / .407 / .74 (1320 PA), 54 HR, 157 RBI, 25 SB

 

Team

Stats

Arnie

31-27, 8 SV, 4.33 ERA, 523 K (488 IPS)

Eric

21-16, 3 SV, 4.45 ERA, 290 K (357.67 IPS)

Harold

5-3, 2 SV, 3.13 ERA, 56 K (69 IPS)

Jeff

10-4, 21 SV, 1.92 ERA, 146 K (14.33 IPS)

Jed

19-30, 11 SV, 5.12 ERA, 383 K (432.33 IPS)

Robin

18-18, 35 SV, 2.98 ERA, 392 K (344 IPS)

Tom

54-44, 15 SV, 3.81 ERA, 911 K (903 IPS)

Wax

31-27, 8 SV, 4.33 ERA, 523 K (488 IPS)

 

Draft Summary:

Round

Best

Team

Worst

Team

1

Betts

Arnie

Soler

Robin

2

JD Martinez

Jeff

Mesoraco

Jed

3

Arrieta

CN

Castillo, R

Eric

4

Dickerson

Eric

Pompey

Harold

5

Turner

Arnie

Taylor

Jeff

6

Strop

Robin

Cron

Eric

7

Cain

Jeff

Hutch/Shoemaker

Arnie/Wax

8

Baier

Harold

Singleton

Jeff

9

Panik/Otero

Jed/CN

Alcantara/Bethancourt

Robin/Jeff

10+

Blackmon

Wax

Wily Peralta

Jeff/CN

10+

Paxton

CN

 

 

 

Best Draft:  I am going to give it to Arnie and Jeff.  3 of the best players in rounds 1-7 played on Jeff’s team at one point, and, well, in this year I have to let him share the honor.  Arnie had the best player in the draft and accumulated a good blend of hitting and pitching statistics from this draft over the years.  He only had one Worst pick and that a flyer on a SP who just failed to make his quality staff.

Worst Draft:  This draft had a lot of individual bad rounds for teams.  Robin had the worst pick in Soler in the first round.  Eric and Harold got the least statistically out of the draft, but both have some short areas in the reporting.  Eric pulls out the worst draft by the lack of stats and 2 worst rounds in the top 6 rounds.


A brief history of card burning [8/18]

First published in 2006, now revised and updated.

Until 1998, Robin was in charge of all card burning decisions. The first documented card burning is from 1984, when we burned Bucky Dent.  Card burnings for  years prior to 1984 have not been documented, although it is believed that the annual SOMBILLA card burning did begin before 1984.

1985 - Mike Torrez

1986 - Pete Rose

1987 - Pete Rose

1988 - Steve Garvey

1989 - Glenn Hoffman

1990 - Bill Buckner

1991 - Gary Carter

1992 - Gary Carter

1993 - Gary Carter

1994 - Matt Young

1995 - Jack Morris

1996 - Darryl Strawberry

1997 - Mike Greenwell

At the ’97 draft, before we burned Mike Greenwell.  Land proposed formalizing the card burning process by allowing for nominations and putting the card burning to a vote. His proposal passed 7-2.

1998 –Tony Phillips and Wil Cordero

1999 - Wil Cordero

2000 - Nominations were received for John Rocker, Al Martin, Daryl Strawberry, and Bobby Chouinard, the most number of nominations ever. The votes were Rocker 5, Martin 1 (Eric abstained). John Rocker was then burned.

2001 - The only nomination received was for Bobby Chouinard, who was then burned.

2002 - The winning choice was to burn Ruben Rivera. The card of Derek Jeter watched and cheered.

2003 - The winning choice was to burn David Wells, who was then burned. If we’d had a copy of his book we’d have burned that too.

2004 - There was a lot of sentiment around burning ‘alleged’ steroid user Barry Bonds. There was also a lot of momentum for burning another Future Wax bad boy, rapist Ramon Castro. Some tried to argue creatively that, if it hadn’t been for the steroids, Bonds would be a rapist too. In the end, that speculation proved to be no match for actual facts, and Castro was burned.

2005 - Robin had previously proposed resurrecting an old Canseco card and ‘injecting’ it, although she was vague about how that would be accomplished. As a result, we kept it simple and burned Barry Bonds.

2006 – As usual we burned Barry Bonds.

2007 - There was discussion of pouring gas onto an old Uegeth Urbina card and igniting it, but in the end we burned Brett Myers.

2008 - We burned 3-time SOMBILLA Cy Young Award winner, adulterer and steroid user Roger Clemens.

2009 - The league voted to burn A-Rod. However, Tom refused to allow his extra (non-laminated league-issued) A-Rod to be burned and after much hand wringing, we moved on without a card burning for the first time in draft history.

 2010 - I printed off a computer version of A-Rod and an old computer version of Clemens (to prevent a reoccurrence of last year when the league voted to burn A-Rod, but Tom refused to allow his A-Rod to be burned). Jeff offered up Brett Myers as well, and for the first time ever, we had a triple burning. There was brief concern as the pyre grew to record heights.

 2011 - After a brief discussion, Jed’s nomination of Nyjer Morgan, an all-around jerk, was approved and he was burned. Appropriately, a day or two later, he was referred to in the press as “the fiery Nyjer Morgan.”

 2012 - After a brief discussion about burning John Lackey, Bobby Jenks, and/or Ryan Braun, the consensus was to burn Manny Ramirez.

 2013 - The league very much wanted to burn A-Rod.  But he is usable for Tom.  After Harold promised to snail mail his copy of A-Rod to Tom, Tom finally agreed to the burning.  (Robin adds that Ryan Braun is the early front-runner for next year’s burning – only because ‘banned for life’ A-Rod won’t have a card).

 2014 - The league burned both A-Rod and Ryan Braun without much controversy.

 2015 - The league burned Ervin Santana, who had just been suspended for PEDs.

 2016 -The league burned Aroldis Chapman and Jose Reyes.

 2017 – As A-Rod was not usable, Tom again let us burn him.

 

Card Burning Leaderboard

A-Rod 5

Gary Carter 3

Pete Rose 2

Wil Cordero 2

Barry Bonds 2

Roger Clemens 2

Brett Myers 2

 

  I’m a Pham! - [8/18]

 

In the wake of Harold’s drafting of former North Dakota OF Tommy Pham 3rd overall, I wanted to verify if that was indeed a record and decided to turn it into a study.  Turns out it only tied the record, set by Ryan Dempster & Estaban Loaiza, both of whom were originally cut by the ill-fated Jed & Clint duo, and Matt Clement, cut by Tom.  Who knew?

What other players have been re-drafted in the first two rounds, and how have they fared after being redrafted? Chagrined former manager in parenthesis. Stats shown are those after being redrafted.

First  round

3rd – Tommy Pham, Harold 2018 (Arnie)

3rd – Ryan Dempster, Eric 2009 (Jed & Clint) 8-11, 5.90

3rd – Estaban Loaiza, Harold 2004 (Jed & Clint)  6-6, 4.14

3rd - Matt Clement , Eric 2003 (Tom) (13-8, 5.30)

4th – Joel Pineiro, Tom 2010 (Robin) (5-5, 5.81)

4th – Magglio Ordonez, Arnie 2008 (Jed) (.280, 18, 89)

4th – Jermaine Dye, Jed 2007 (Jeff) (.286, 13, 27)

4th - Jeff D'Amico, Matt, 2000 (Arnie) (4-5, 7.84)

5th – Michael Brantley, Jed  2015 (Robin) (.289, 6, 36)

5th – Jamey Wright, Robin 2000 (Robin) (3-6, 7.94)

6th – Daniel Murphy, FW 2017 (Arnie) (.312, 10, 42)

6th – Carlos Pena, Tom 2008 (Arnie) (.216, 40, 96)

 

Second round

1st – Frank Castillo, Matt 2000 (Land) Never played!

3rd –John Burkett, Eric 2002 (Eric) (2-3, 8.86)

4th – John Lackey, Harold, 2016 (WES?) (2-3, 7.20)

4th – Jeret Wright, Robin, 2004 (Eric) 5-2, 7.31 ERA

5th – Grant Balfour, Arnie 2009 (Robin) 1-4, 9 SV, 2.87

5th – Paul Wilson, Eric 2000 (Jeff) (0-3, 13 sv, 3.86)

6th – Ryan Madson, Harold 2018 (Future Wax and Bay City)

6th – Brett Myers, Jed 2011 (Jeff) appearing in both the first two studies! (5-6, 5.29)

8th – M. Young, Eric 2012 (Jeff)  (.280, 4, 19)

8th – J. Benoit, Harold 2011 (Tom) (2-1. 2.95)

8th – Mike (not Joe) Thornton, Tom 2009 (Arnie) 4-7, 6 SV, 5.74 

8th – Brad Radke, Tom 2005 (Matt) 4-5, 4.67 ERA, 52 K

8th – Tim Belcher, Arnie 1997 (Harold) (4-6, 7.55)

9th – Dave Nilsson, Jed & Clint 2000 (Future Wax) (.323, 16, 39)

Best performance by a retread in the first two rounds: Magglio Ordonez,4th overall by Arnie in 2008 (Jed) (.280, 18, 89).  Honorable mention: C. Pena Tom (40 HR) and Matt Clement, Eric (13-8)

 

Most popular spot: 8th pick in the 2nd round

Most likely to draft a retread in first two rounds : Eric has done it five times

Most likely to be chagrined at having former cut redrafted in first two rounds: Jeff and Robin (4)

Most likely to redraft own player in first two rounds:  Eric and Robin, 1 each

 

Part II

Who has had the most players redrafted, period?  Well, I’m not going to comb through 20 years of draft reports for that; doing the first two rounds was tedious enough.  But looking at the last five years can be done.  Plus it may be more relevant anyway.

 Here are the totals for the past 5 drafts (2014-2018)

 Players cut who were redrafted:

1. Robin 13

2. Jed 9

3t. RAT 8

3t. Jeff 8

3t. Harold 8

6. Arnie 7

7. Tom 6

8. Eric 2

 I’m sure this comes as no surprise to Robin (who notes that this number is even more striking given that some of her players died and were thus unlikely to be drafted posthumously).  Eric appears to be the best ‘cutter.’  Or else his cuts are simply so crappy and useless there’s little chance anyone will ever want them again.  Hard to say.

 This next category is somewhat more random; I don’t think anyone specifically scouts or targets players who have previously been in the league any more than other players.

 Players drafted who were previously in the league:

 
1. Tom  13

2. Jed 9

3. Harold 8

4t. Eric 7

4t. RAT 7

6. Jeff  5

7t. Arnie 4

7t. Robin 4

And finally, who has redrafted their own players?

Jed, Robin, Harold, Tom – twice each

Arnie, Eric – once

RAT, Jeff – have not redrafted their own player in the past five years.

 
 

 


North Dakota vs. Future Wax - which team was better? [8/18]

22 years ago I first published this study in the summer newsletter.  Back then, I was coming off a heartbreaking World Series loss to Andrew in 6 games.  That Series featured Dennis Martinez, Robin’s ace pitcher, traded to the Wax in mid-season (see “The Trading and Loan Scandal”) winning 2 games against me in the World Series.  It also featured my thinking that Bernard Gilkey had hit a go-ahead 3-run homer in the 8th inning of game 6, only to learn (after yelling and leaping around the room like a maniac) from Andrew, calmly sitting there waiting for me to return, that I had been looking on the wrong side of Gilkey’s card.  Like the Red Sox < 2004, I believed I would never win a SOMBILLA World Series in my lifetime.

That summer, I said:

“Which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? What about before the big ransom trades? Who did the trades help more? And (again) which team was really better, North Dakota or Future Wax? To try to answer those questions, I played North Dakota against Future Wax on the trusty Strat-O computer for 1000 games, both before and after the big ransom trades.

Why do a study like this? Am I insane? (Of course, but sanity is not relevant.). I had nothing to gain and everything to lose. If it turned out North Dakota was better, then I was a lousy manager and should have won the World Series. If it turned out Future Wax was better, then that means that Future Wax really was better, a horrible thought.”

Here we are 22 years (and 5 North Dakota World Series titles) later, and I am coming off an even more heartbreaking World Series loss, in 7 games.  A one-run loss in the finale, which could have gone either way, missing a 1-16 HR chance, yada, yada, yada.

 So, I pitted the two teams against each other for 2000 games.  What happened?

 In summary, North Dakota kicked Future Wax’s ass.  In 2000 games, North Dakota won 1119 and Future Wax won 881, a .560 winning percentage.  Certainly statistically significant evidence that North Dakota was indeed the better team.  Here are some stats:

 

AVG

AB

R

H

2B

3B

HR

RBI

SB

CS

E

 North Dakota

.269

69890

9854

18815

3848

416

2736

9524

611

306

1167

 Future Wax

.247

69367

8675

17112

3113

406

2930

8404

270

159

1080

 

ERA

W

L

IP

H

R

ER

HR

BB

SO

 North Dakota

3.96

1119

881

18053.2

17112

8675

7945

2930

5725

19185

 Future Wax

4.59

881

1119

17944.8

18815

9854

9146

2736

6763

16336

 
OK, not that big a surprise.  North Dakota did finish in first place, 4 games and 71 percentage points ahead of Future Wax. North Dakota led in every possible team stat category – except homers and errors.  Here are some interesting tidbits.  Facing only FW or ND pitching for 2000 games, here are the batting leaders:

 

D.Murphy

.328

T.Turner

.307

Y.Tomas

.297

M.Betts

.291

D.Ortiz

.288

 Daniel Murphy, who finished 5th in the actual SOMBILLA with a .312 average, hit better against North Dakota pitching than he did against the rest of the league.

Home Run leaders:

 

D.Ortiz

469

C.Santana

385

B.Dozier

380

D.Murphy

333

M.Machado

316

 

RBIs:

 

D.Ortiz

1126

B.Dozier

1009

D.Murphy

957

C.Santana

932

C.Yelich

930

 
Pitching winning percentage was not all North Dakota:

 

 

W

L

Pct

A.Reed

60

34

.638

C.Kershaw

119

73

.620

R.Hill

111

70

.613

C.Kimbrel

47

33

.588

K.Herrera

39

29

.574

 

Wins

J.Cueto

184

M.Estrada

141

M.Fulmer

126

M.Scherzer

125

J.deGrom

121

 

ERA

 

N.Jones

2.97

A.Miller

3.01

C.Kershaw

3.06

A.Reed

3.17

S.Oh

3.44

 But wait!  Things are different in a 7-game series.  The best pitchers start more often, the sludge (Teheran was 85-168 5.83) are banished to a mop-up role.  It’s a different analysis.  So, I decided to pit the teams into 100 best of seven series, even inputting the actual World Series starters into the Starter schedule that the computer allows for.

So what happened in the 100 Best of 7 Replays?  Here are some interesting facts:

 North Dakota won 63 of the 100 series overall.

23 were won in 7 games

16 were won in 6 games

13 were won in 5 games

And 11 of the series were 4 game sweeps.

 

Of Future Wax’s 37 series wins:

11 were won in 7 games

15 were won in 6 games

10 were won in 5 games

And only 1 was a 4 game sweep.

 

So, overall, 34, or 1/3, went to 7 games as did the one in real life.  Some more tidbits:  David Ortiz was the MVP in 30 of the series.  (Max Scherzer was 2nd with 10 MVP awards).  Scherzer led the way with 20 Cy Young awards (Estrada was 2nd with 16).

 In real life David Ortiz was 7 for 29 (.241), with 2 homers and 4 rbis (1 BB and 1 2B) in the World Series, his SOMBILLA swan song, not exactly MVP material.  Certainly, had he performed as well as the 30 David Ortiz’s who won World Series MVP awards in this simulation (including perhaps hitting a 2-run homer in the 7th inning of game 7 to take a 4-3 lead in his last SOMBILLA at bat, instead of just missing and hitting a double [in which Ramos got thrown out at the plate]), it would have made a nice poetic ending to a great season and a great career.  But it was not meant to be.

 

Combining this with the first study, it’s safe to say that North Dakota was the better team .Of course, instead of blaming David Ortiz, I could tip my hat to Manager of the Year runner-up Randy Divinski.  Or series MVP Max Scherzer (2-0, 2.33 ERA, 19.3 inns, 12 hits, 8 BB, 23 Ks).  Or blame myself for not being able to beat a team that the SOMBILLA computer at least believed to be inferior.  I still don’t feel any better after doing this study.

Post-script:  On the summer pool party/bbq circuit, I ran into Randy and we talked SOMBILLA and I mentioned I was doing this study.  Randy lamented about 2010 when Future Wax (39-17) was swept by Eric (29-27) in the World Series, and that he couldn’t imagine any computer simulation from that season in which Eric’s team could win four consecutive games against FW.  I guess we all have our SOMBILLA demons.

 



RULE CHANGE PROPOSALS  [8/17]

Thanks to Robin for suggesting this one.  She knew she would be last; she prefers to focus on choosing who to burn.  Who proposes the most rule changes?  What are the most significant proposals people have come up with?  For this study, I went back to 2000 and summarized everyone’s proposals as well as the results.  No “Strat-O initiated changes” included.

 

GM

# Proposals passed

#Proposals voted down

Total Proposals

Most significant proposal

Tom

23

7

30

Eliminate cutting players at the draft, followed by a waiver draft  (2009)

Arnie

14

10

24

Begin the season at the end of October instead of at the beginning of October (2002)

Randy

10

8

18

Post-season pitchers innings are 1/15 (same as limited batters)  (2002)

Eric

7

10

17

Roll for rainout (2004)

Jed

2

7

9

Each team can design their own ballpark (2000)

Matt

 

6

6

All six were proposals to eliminate the DH

Harold

2

3

5

Call up a 26th man (2001)

Tsuan

2

1

3

12 round draft instead of 10 (2001)

Jeff

 

1

1

Eliminate the DH in honor of Matt (2010)

Robin

 

½

½

Compensation for dead players (2017)

 It should not come as a shock that Tom is the most prolific. Most of my proposals are various clarifications of the bylaws, although I tried unsuccessfully to eliminate the rainout rule 6 times and designing ballparks 4 times.   Rediscovered this from 2006: A proposal by Randy to rename the "thing-off" to the "Phelps-off" passed 6-2.



HOW THE TEAMS WERE BUILT [8/17]

Which teams rely on their farm systems? Who has the most active front office? Who signs the free agents? This summer, I analyzed each team's current 45-man roster and reviewed how every player ended up on the roster. I divided them up into three categories:

Farm system – Players who were originally drafted by the team and are still on the roster. In essence, these players are those who have spent their entire SOMBILLA career with one team.

Trade – Self-explanatory.

Free agents – Drafted players who previously played for another team, were cut, and then picked up as free agents, even if redrafted by the same team.

 

Team

Farm System

Trade

Free Agent

North Dakota

39

4

2

Bay City

39

4

2

Future Wax

38

5

2

Smoking Loons

36

2

7

“What Eric Said”?

35

6

4

Constantinople

34

4

7

New Orleans

33

5

7

Oceanus

28

12

5

 One team stands out as different from the others – Oceanus.  Jed has twice as many players on his roster acquired via trade than any other team.  And fewer players (62%) on his team that he actually drafted when first available.    Other than outlier Jed, the other teams are all fairly similar.  Another interesting fact: North Dakota and Bay City have identical stats here.  Marital collusion?

 Finally, it’s interesting to compare how the league compares to nine years ago, the last time I did this study:

 

Team

Farm system

Trade

Free agents

Future Wax

42

1

2

Bay City

43

0

2

Constantinople

43

0

2

Area 51

40

1

4

New Orleans

40

2

3

North Dakota

41

2

2

Knuckle Sandwiches

41

1

3

Hibernia

43

2

0

 The SOMBILLA certainly trades much more frequently than it did in 2008. Hard to say if that’s an actual trend or not, as these studies are both just snapshots in time.  You’d have to look at every year’s 45 man roster to see if there is an upward trend in trading, or we are just in a frenzied period.  Free agents are also up - from 18 to 38.  I think the new waiver draft has accounted for some of that, but certainly not all of it.
 



Who (does the computer think) are the best players this year? [8/17]

I took all the major leaguers with 2016 cards and let the computer draft a 25-man roster.  Who are the best 25 players in the league, at least according to the computer? Below is the roster, along with the round that the computer drafted the player in.  The first puck overall?  Bay City’s Zach Britton.  Don’t get me wrong – he has a great card, but really?  A lefty reliever over Mike Trout or a starting pitcher?  The computer is weird.

 Still, it’s hard to argue too much with this All-SOMBILLA first team, except for the fact that one player – Nick Frankin – is not even in the league this year.  While it may not be exactly the team that you (or Lamana) would draft, it would still kick some serious butt in the SOMBILLA. And I’m not just saying that because 7 North Dakota players are on the team (most in the league).  “What Eric Said”? has just one.

                                

Player

Computer Draft Position

SOMBILLA Team

Mike Trout                                  

2

Constantinople

Brian Dozier                               

4

Future Wax

Nolan Arenado

5

Smoking Loons

Mookie Betts

6

North Dakota

Khris Davis                                 

7

North Dakota

David Ortiz                                 

8

North Dakota

Gary Sanchez                            

9

New Orleans

Corey Seager                            

12

Constantinople

Wilson Ramos                            

15

North Dakota

Miguel Cabrera                          

19

Bay City

Charlie Blackmon                      

22

Future Wax

Nick Franklin                              

21

---------

Robinson Cano                          

23

Oceanus

Kris Bryant                                 

24

New Orleans

Trevor Story                               

25

Oceanus

 

 

 

Zach Britton                               

1

Bay City

Clayton Kershaw           

3

Future Wax

Kyle Hendricks                          

10

Smoking Loons

Rich Hill                                     

11

North Dakota

Chris Devenski                        

14

Bay City

Johnny Cueto  

13

North Dakota

Kenley Jansen                         

16

New Orleans

Aroldis Chapman           

17

“What Eric Said”?

Andrew Miller                              

18

North Dakota

Mark Melancon                            

20

Constantinople

 I then had the computer draft a 2nd team – the all SOMBILLA 2nd team.  Or the Washington Generals of the SOMBILLA. As with the first team, the computer found a guy – Hernan Perez – who is not in the league.  A few eyebrow raising choices.  This team would be a likely SOMBILLA playoff team, but not a shoo-in for the championship.

 

Player

Computer Draft Position

SOMBILLA Team

Jose Altuve                   

1

Oceanus

Josh Donaldson  

2

Constantinople

Joey Votto          

3

Oceanus

Mark Trumbo      

4

Smoking Loons

Ryan Braun        

5

Future Wax

Jackie Bradley Jr   

7

New Orleans

Evan Gattis         

9

Oceanus

Carlos Correa     

11

Bay City

Jonathan Lucroy 

17

Smoking Loons

Yoenis Cespedes    

20

New Orleans

Edwin Encarnacion  

21

North Dakota

Hernan Perez       

22

-----------

Nelson Cruz        

23

North Dakota

Joc Pederson      

24

Smoking Loons

Jonathan Villar    

25

North Dakota

 

 

 

Max Scherzer              

6

Future Wax

Seung Hwan Oh         

8

Smoking Loons

Madison Bumgarner   

10

Future Wax

Jon Lester              

12

“What Eric Said”?

Addison Reed       

13

North Dakota

Jeurys Familia      

14

New Orleans

Tyler Thornburg     

15

“What Eric Said”?

Jake Arrieta          

16

Constantinople

Dan Otero             

18

Constantinople

Craig Kimbrel       

19

North Dakota

 Combining these two teams, here are the totals of players in the computer’s top 50:

 
North Dakota – 12

Constantinople – 6

Future Wax – 6

New Orleans - 6

Smoking Loons – 6

Oceanus – 5

Bay City – 4

“What Eric Said”? – 3




Salaries in the SOMBILLA [8/17]

 It’s been awhile since we looked into each owner’s payroll.  Who are the SOMBILLA’s big market teams, for whom money is no object?  Who is trying to buy the Championship?  In other words, who are the Dodgers of the SOMBILLA (I wanted to say Yankees, but alas LA has surpassed New Yuck for highest payroll now.)

 Conversely, who are the league’s small market cheapskate owners, operating on a shoestring budget?

 For this study, I let the computer choose each person’s 25-man roster as that was the most expedient.  The computer always makes a few questionable choices (more on that in another study), but it was good enough for this.  I used the 2017 MLB data that is readily available on a few websites.  Note that there are two players on 25-man rosters this year with no salary – for two very different reasons: David Ortiz and Jose Fernandez.  For these two I used their final 2016 salary.

 The results:

 1.   “What Eric Said”? - $259,172,381

 This team’s whopping payroll is far and away the highest in the league, more than $50,000,000 over the 2nd place team.  Unlike the Dodgers though, Jeff has little to show for this largesse, coming off a last place finish in ’16-17, and his prospects for this year aren’t great.  But the players do love playing for him, and he did win the championship two years ago, so he may be on to something. He has the highest salaried pitching staff and infield. How soon until fans revolt for paying outrageous ticket prices?

 Here are his five highest paid players:

 
1.       Jon Lester               $25,000,000

2.       Freddie Freeman   $20,859,375

3.       Carlos Gonzalez    $20,428,571

4.       Rick Porcello          $20,125,000

5.       Jeremy Hellickson $17,200,000

5.       Aroldis Chapman   $17,200,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 14

 2. Constantinople - $206,893,076

 No big surprise here, although Tom is definitely a distant 2nd.  His payroll is higher than all MLB teams except the Dodgers (which says more about the Dodgers than about Tom’s team).  Note that while Istanbul has about 15,000,000 people, Constantinople’s peak population was about 400,000, about the size of Oakland, in the 1100’s.  So it’s a small-market team with deep pockets.  No surprise that he has the highest paid outfield.  His five highest paid players:

 
1.       Jason Werth         $21,571,4292

2.       Mike Trout            $20,083,333

3.       Russell Martin     $20,000,000

4.       Josh Donaldson   $17,000,000

5.       Jake Arrieta         $15,637,500

Total players over $10,000,000: 9

 

3. Bay City - $206,518,417

Surprise!  Always known for her generous clubhouse benefits (and death benefits for dependents of deceased players), Robin has no problem showering her players with money.  Like Jeff, that does not seem to help this big market team in the win column. The uniforms may be a little  tight, especially the pants, but the players don’t complain.  Buster and Sal constitute the highest paid catching tandem in the league. Her five highest paid players:

1.       Miguel Cabrera $28,000,000

2.       Cole Hamels      $22,500,000

3.       Buster Posey      $22, 177,778

4.       M. Upton, Jr       $22,125,000

5.       Chris Davis        $21,233,006           

 Total players over $10,000,000: 9  

 4. Oceanus - $198,824,888

A mid-market team, Jed studiously avoids spending over $200M and has gotten pretty good mileage.  But like the Boston Bruins in the 80’s, 90’s, and 00’s, he puts out a competitive product to get the fans into seats, but he’s just too cheap to get the one or two players to put them over the top.  Will Robinson Cano be that guy?  Has the cheapest outfield in the league.  His five highest paid players:

 1.       David Price             $30,000,000

2.       Robinson Cano        $24,000,000

3.       Masahiro Tanaka     $22,000,000

4.       Joey Votto               $22,000,000

5.       Stephen Strasburg   $16,428,571

Total players over $10,000,000: 7

 5.       Future Wax - $189,922,205

Six years ago, in the last SOMBILLA Salary study, the cheap bastards of RAT had the league’s lowest payroll. They’re not as cheap as they were, moving up to be a mid-market team .  They do pay the league’s highest individual salary (Kershaw).  RAT’s five highest paid players:


1.       Clayton Kershaw         $33,000,000

2.       Max Scherzer               $22,142,857

3.       Matt Kemp                   $21,500,000

4.       Ryan Braun                  $19,199,365

5.       Jay Bruce                      $13,000,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 9

 6.  North  Dakota -  $187,849,915

 No surprise to see that a team that plays in Gackle Park, a ballpark with a capacity (300) greater than the population of the town of Gackle (291), struggles to keep up with its large-market competitors.  But the team still manages to attract top talent with its laid-back prairie lifestyle and fun winters.  Their five highest paid players:

 1.       Johnny Cueto               $23,500,000

2.       Dexter Fowler               $16,500,000

3.       David Ortiz                   $16,000,000 (still on payroll for the upcoming SOMBILLA season)

4.       Dustin Pedroia              $14,642,348

5.       Marco Estrada             $14,500,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 9

 7.  New Orleans - $170,137,153

 Twelve years after Hurricane Katrina and New Orleans management is still struggling to fill seats and land a TV contract.  Easy to see why Harold is fond of trading highly paid players to stockpile cheaply paid draft picks. Has the cheapest infield in the league.  His five highest paid players:

 1.       Albert Pujols                 $26,000,000

2.       Yoenis Cespedes          $22,500,000

3.       John Lackey                 $16,000,000

4.       Gio Gonzalez                $12,000,000

5.       Chris Sale                      $12,000,000

 Total players over $10,000,000: 8

 8. Smoking Loons - $160,895,392

 A distant last in payroll, this team is an embarrassment. The cheapest of cheap bastards, the owner spends way too much money on owner ‘amenities’ instead of on his loyal players. 13 major league clubs have higher payrolls than this deadbeat. Spends the least amount of any team on pitching.  His five highest paid players:

 1.       Justin Verlander  $28,000,000

2.       Adrian Gonzalez  $22,357,142

3.       Neal Walker         $17,200,000

4.       Yadier Molina     $14,200,000

5.       Nolan Arenado    $11,750,000

Total players over $10,000,000: Only 6!



Trade Register Update [8/16]

Back in 2010, I compiled a list of all SOMBILLA trades in league history.  You can see it here:

http://SOMBILLA.x10.mx/studies.htm#attr

I received a request to update this list.  So here you go:

5/5/08

This trade was not shown on the original list: A51 trades Chipper Jones to New Orleans for a “player to be named later” (Nick Markakis, after the current SOMBILLA season) and New Orleans 3rd round pick in the upcoming draft.

 If New Orleans makes the playoffs (which it did), the 3rd round pick becomes a 2nd round pick (became Joey Devine.  Who?) and New Orleans in return gets A51’s 8th round pick (Jerry Blevins).

11/10/09

Shoppach from FU for ND’s James Shields.  If Shields is a #1 starter per Lamanna for the 2010 season, then ND also gets a 3rd round pick in the 2011 draft.  If Shields is a #2 for 2010, its a 5th round pick in the 2011 draft. Shields was neither. Jed won this trade convincingly.

 

12/20/09

With much trepidation, Dem Bums wish to announce a trade of Jones's, Adam for Chipper (NO). Eric worries that Adam will become the next Eric Davis (he noticed that Adam is now a 1 in cf), and remembers a similar trade he made some years ago, trading for an aging yet stellar Larry Walker, only to see his season go down the tubes despite improving his team significantly on paper.

 

Harold assures Eric that Chipper will not disrupt the locker room cohesion. Eric thinks Harold is full of shit.

 

only time will tell...

 

(Ed note: Adam Jones is not the next Eric Davis, and Eric won the World Series that year).

 

1/19/10

Trade Update: after what seemed a prolonged negotiation in which little was actually negotiated, Arnie agreed to trade Grant Balfour to Eric for Ramon Ramirez, straight up, no chaser. It relieves Eric of one sox bullpenner, which was his primary motive. Too many pitchers on the olde home team had proved too stressful. Balfour said he was pleased to hear he was leaving a team that had changed its name mid-year.

 

(Balfour had a few good seasons after this for Eric, while Ramirez was cut).

1/24/10

ND sends Josh Hamilton to FW for Nelson Cruz, ND.  After FW won the trade early (with Hamilton having an MVP-type season), Cruz has come on for the last few seasons to help Arnie win this trade.

 

3/21/10

Fugakyu and New Orleans have agreed to the following trade: Ichiro Suzuki for Orlando Hudson plus New Orleans' 5th round draft choice in this year's draft (became Sean White).  Ichiro has now vowed to play until he's in his late 40's (a la Paul Molitor) and continue to hit for an even higher average

1/5/11

North Dakota, now 11 years removed from its last championship, and 2 years removed from its choke as the league's overwhelming favorite, has acquired centerfielder Carlos Beltran from hapless Bay City in exchange for 3B Chase Headley and a 2nd round draft pick (became Logan Morrison).  Despite (true) whispers that the two GMs were sleeping with each other, the Bay City front office points out that it was in fact, Fugakyu that initiated trade talks, "driving up the price" by forcing North Dakota to sweeten its offer.

Odd man out Dexter Fowler, who was designated for assignment, stormed out of the locker room and his whereabouts are unknown.

 

1/6/11

The New Orleans Ellis and the Fugakyu Pufferfish have agreed (pending the result of physical examination of the cards) to exchange 3B Ian Stewart plus a conditional draft choice for 3B Chone Figgins.  An anonymous source unauthorized to discuss the trade indicated that the conditional draft choice would be a 2011 4th round pick or a 2011 3rd round pick if the Ellis wins the Richman Cup (which he did!  The pick became Evan Meek).

 

The addition of Figgins means that all 25 Ellis players have a 1 range rating.  Figgins gives the Ellis a much sought-after leadoff threat and an irrepressible clubhouse presence.

 

The Pufferfish meanwhile seem to be sending a wait 'til next year signal.  However, Stewart will get a chance to play and does add some power to the lineup. 

 

1/22/11

Eric has traded Bob Howry and a 6th round pick to Robin (became Wil Rhymes) for reliever Kiko Calero. The original draft pick that Eric and Robin agreed on was a 7th rounder, but that got upgraded to a 6th rounder when Arnie, upon being notified of the trade's imminence, and exercising some obscure husbandly prerogative, angrily counter-offered a reliever of his own plus a better 6th round pick.

Robin, having begun negotiations in good faith, generously allowed Eric to match Arnie's proposal and agreed to the trade.

Eric feels relieved that he caused only a trifle amount of strife in their marriage, and lucky that the negotiations didn't escalate unreasonably due to Arnie's baseless tampering.

 

10/12/11

Eric's team (still nameless) traded Alexei Ramirez to Fugaku for Rajai Davis and a 6th round pick next year (became Corey Luebke). 

 

10/30/11

Fukakyu traded CJ Wilson and Huff to Bay City for V. Wells and a 7th round pick from Bay City if CJ Wilson is a "1" in Lamana's (became Fernando Salas).

2/9/12

Beating the trade deadline by mere hours (i.e. New Orleans 41st game tonight), the Raging Alcoholics trade Nick Swisher to New Orleans for a fourth round pick (became Brandon Belt) in the upcoming draft (which become a third if New Orleans wins the whole thing and Swisher plays in the World Series).

 Swisher is scrambling to sober up to get to the series vs. Constantinople tonight.

 

4/3/12

CN announces two trades:

CN trades Kelly Johnson to Fugakyu for Rafael Furcal.

Jed needs to announce a new cut...

CN trades Coco Crisp to The Cheddarmen (or whatever they will be called next year) for Chipper Jones

 

11/7/12

From Harold to Arnie: Ok, so to recap:

1.  I play Napoli Sunday vs Eric and pound him

2.  At 6pm Sunday you announce the trade to the league:  Napoli for a 2nd round pick, which becomes a first if you make the playoffs (which ND did; the pick became Matt Harvey)
3.  I give you Napoli Tuesday night, and you pound me.

 

1/15/13

Cheddarmen traded his 1st round pick (April 2014 Draft -- 2013 Cards, became Shelby Miller) for CN's Closer (Papelbon) and starting RFer (Pence).

 

3/9/13

Jeff and Harold made a trade - New Orleans trading Adam Jones straight up for Alex Gordon.

11/21/13

CN trades his 1st round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, became Garrett Richards) to Cheddarmen for his closer (Grant Balfour) and Melky Cabrera (Starting LFer) and an 8th round pick (April 2015 Draft -- 2014 Cards, traded to ND).

 

CN GM when reached for comment, "We felt that we made a good deal last year and that we would do it from either side.  So when we say the opportunity to put our money where our rhetoric was we did it."

Cheese GM, "We are open for business; we will not propose trades but send us real offers and we will think about it." At which point, an as yet unnamed reporter asked "What is it with all the "we's"?  Y'all royalty or some such..." That is when the fight broke out as staffs of both teams streamed into the conference area and beat reporters lived up to their names delivering...

 

January, 2014

1/6 New Orleans has sent lefty relievers Charlie Furbush and Luis Avilan to The Cheddarmen for a 5th round pick in the 2014 draft
1/6
New Orleans has also sent lefty S/R Wade Miley to Future Wax for a 5th Round Pick (became JP Howell).
1/7 New Orleans is burning.  The fire sale continues as New Orleans send Carroll and Swisher to "What Eric Said" for a 7th Rd pick in 2014 draft (became Gaby Sanchez)  If WES makes the World Series the pick becomes the 6th and if WES wins WS (ya right) the pick becomes a number 5. 
1/11 New Orleans trades Scott Atchison to Manatees for a 5th round pick in the upcoming draft (became Zach Wheeler) 
1/12 The Cheddarmen trades Papelbon to North Dakota for M. Boggs.
1/12 Oceanus trades J.J. Hardy and a 7th round pick (became Coco Crisp) for Rollins and David Murphy.  (Matt Joyce, called up from the taxi squad to replace Murphy on the 25-man roster, became the World Series MVP).
1/14 ScutaroBay City to Oceanus for Infante

 

11/23/14

Only minutes before taking the field for game 1 of the much anticipated Tidy Bowl series between The Pierogies and Oceanus, Shin-Soo Choo found out he'd been traded to 'What Eric Said.' 'Yeah, I knew my card had been scanned into a PDF and attached to an email, so I'm not surprised' said the rotund Choo. Terms of the deal were Choo plus a conditional middle-round draft choice (became Tony Sipp) for a number 1 pick (became Michael Brantley).

 

12/5/14

Victorino, OC to ND for a 6th round pick (became Scott Van Slyke)

12/13/14

Oceanus has traded Joe Mauer to New Orleans for Travis D'Arnaud and a player to be named later, rumored to be Ian Desmond.

 

1/22/15

What Eric Said and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade:

Heyward, Lawrie and Thornburg (WES) for Holliday, Kendrick, Nathan and Medlen (OCE).

The first and only 7-player trade in league history.

 

3/28/15

The Oceanus Assholes have traded Todd Frazier to the What Eric Said _____ for a conditional 2016 draft choice.  It will be a 5th round choice if Frazier is rated in Lamanna's Baseball Bulletin as a top 75 player, otherwise it will be a 6th round choice (subsequently traded to Harold).

 

4/3/15

New Orleans trades Jeff Samardzija and a conditional 8th round pick in 2016 (became Billy Burns) only if Samardzija isn't ranked as of the top 25 starters in Lamanna in 2016 to “What Eric Said” for a 6th round pick in the 2015 draft (became Roughned Odor) and a 2nd round pick in the 2016 draft (became Brad Ziegler).

 

11/16/15

Oceanus and the Smoking Loons have agreed to terms on a trade that will send Troy Tulowitzki to Oceanus in exchange for Xander Bogaerts.

 

11/18/15

New Orleans and Oceanus have agreed to the following trade:

Hiroki Kuroda for a 2016 7th round pick, which becomes a 6th round pick if Oceanus reaches the Finals (became Andres Blanco) or becomes a 5th round pick if Oceanus wins the Championship (ha ha ha ha).

Actually, the ha ha ha ha part was an editorial comment, not part of the actual agreement.

Terms were finalized when Oceanus agreed to have a wheelchair ferry the ancient Kuroda from the mound to the dugout between innings.

 

10/15/15

NO receives Jeff’s 4th round and 6th round picks (JP Realmuto and Javy Lopez) in exchange for D. Santana and NO’s 6th round pick (traded to ND)

 

12/2/15

North Dakota has acquired 2nd baseman Robinson Cano from New Orleans in exchange for a 2nd and a 7th round pick this year (John Lackey and Aaron Hicks), and a 6th round pick in 2017.  "I have nothing funny to say.  This is serious business," stated the North Dakota GM when asked to comment.  "Fuck you all," he added.

 

12/13/15

Robin had an uncharacteristically good day at Jeff's place (where she possibly went 2-10 last year), but what was truly shocking was that she made a trade! Harold offered Jayson Werth for a 7th-round pick (became Jarrett Parker), and BC picked up the hirsute RF and immediately ordered him to shave.

1/26-27/16

1. North Dakota trades Kluber to Oceanus for Archer and a 6th round pick (became Travis Shaw) (the worse of Jed's two potential picks).  The pick becomes a 5th in 2017 if Jed ends up with no 6th rounder.
2. Smoking Loons acquired Papelbon and E. Escobar from North Dakota for a 2nd round pick (became Roberto Osuna).
3. "What Eric Said" (now "What Eric Said?") acquired Justin Turner and an 8th round pick (became Dan Haren) from North Dakota in exchange for a 3rd rounder (became Andrew Chafin).
4. North Dakota trades Y. Gomes and Pearce to Future Wax for Tyson Ross.
5. Bay City acquired Andrew Cashner and its previously traded 9th round pick from North Dakota for a 5th round pick (became Jarrod Eickhoff).

2/14/16

After the 5th inning, ND and NO made a trade, with ND acquiring C Rene Rivera from NO for a 10th round pick in 2017 (solely to save Matt Wieters' 2 remaining plate appearances).  Rivera grabbed his catcher's mitt and sprinted from the NO dugout to home plate to catch for North Dakota. 3 innings and a Grandal 3-run homer for NO later, the two managers realize that the trade was made during North Dakota's 49th game, or 5 innings after the trading deadline.  The teams agree to make the trade retroactive to the beginning of the game (although Wieters one PA in the game still counts). Final score 13-1 New Orleans.

3/6/16

In its third, yes, third! trade of the season, Bay City acquires Moustakas from New Orleans for Kenley Jansen (thus purging its bullpen of all Jansens/Janssens, as Casey was cut last year), enabling the Moose to rejoin many of his real-life Royals teammates on the BC roster.

 

3/21/16

New Orleans makes its third trade in this offseason, trading Stephen Strasburg and its 5th round pick this year (became Matt Duffy) to Oceanus for Jose Bautista and Oceanus’ 7th round pick in the 2017 draft.  The 7th round pick is negated if Strasburg is not a top 25 starter in Lamanna for the 2017 season OR Strasburg pitches less than 150 innings in the 2016 MLB season.

 

3/29/16

Kazmir, ND to “WES?” for 8th round pick (became Enrique Hernandez).




THE SOMBILLA HALL OF FAME

Hall of Fame?  Seriously, Arnie?  How the heck are you gonna decide this?  And why do you get all that power? 

Good questions, and thanks for asking.  The answer is that I am not going to decide – you all – the SOMBILLA managers -- have already decided.  Every year (except for 1981-1984 when there were no awards), we SOMBILLA managers vote for MVP and Cy Young looking back over the season just ended.  What better way to determine the best players over a period of time than to use the collective wisdom of SOMBILLA managers who voted each year? 

I visited the hot attic to pull the annual voting summaries (tabulated in each summer newsletter).  Then I added them all up year by year, player by player.  The totals should give us a pretty good idea of who we, the SOMBILLA managers, felt were the best SOMBILLA performers over an extended time period – the history of the league.

One slight drawback – in addition to no awards for three of the earliest seasons of the league, I did not publish the MVP and Cy Young voting summaries < 1990.  At least we know who won the award for those 6 seasons, so I gave the winners 25 points for each of those, a rough approximation of the winners’ vote totals.  We still have actual voting totals for the past 26 seasons - not too shabby.

So, for this first ballot SOMBILLA Hall of Fame, 9 hitters and 9 pitchers will be inducted – the top 9 in each category of out annual voting.  Why 9 and not, say 10?  You’ll see in a minute.  Here is your initial SOMBILLA Hall of Fame class, along with vote totals:

Name

Team

Vote total

Bonds

FW

170

Piazza

FW

94

Pujols

ND

76

M. Ramirez

NO

74

E. Davis

FW

65

Trout

CN

57

Edmonds

FW-MF

57

Griffey

FW

56.5

McGwire

MF

56

 

Name

Team

Vote total

Maddux

FW

148

Clemens

Eric – ND - Jed

136

Pedro

FW

103.5

Verlander

Eric

96

Rivera

NO

57

R. Johnson

ND

52

Smoltz

Jed

51.5

Ryan

MF

48

Schilling

Jeff

46

 

The controversial Barry Bonds won a record four SOMBILLA MVP awards.  His high number of votes is even more impressive when you realize that as steroid/giant head allegations dogged him at the end of his career, some SOMBILLA managers began leaving him off their ballots completely.  Unlike the real baseball HOF, though, that blackballing is not enough to keep him out of the SOMBILLA HOF.

So who just missed the cut?  Who is on the cusp?  Here are the next six hitters and pitchers – number 10-15

A Rod

CN

50

Belle

FW

48

Baines

Eric

41

A. Gonzalez

Eric

39

Howard

CN

37

Votto

Jed

36

Kershaw

FW

43

Drabek

BC

42.5

Foulke

Eric

41.5

Clemens

ND

40

Guthrie

FW

35

Wetteland

ND

34

 

I made the executive decision to keep A. Rod out of this initial class.  Indeed, after A. Rod won the ’06-07 SOMBILLA MVP, the 2007 SUMMER newsletter had the following asterisk next to A. Rod’s vote total:  * asshole


ALL-TIME FRANCHISE ROSTERS

 

Using the same data set, I thought it’d be fun for everyone to see all of the great players they’ve had who have received votes through the years.  It’s not really an all-time franchise list, since there won’t be someone at every position, more of a list of each franchise’s players who have ever received votes for SOMBILLA MVP and Cy Young. But All-time franchise rosters sounds better.

 


Bay City

1. Ripken

25

1. Murray

25

3. Thomas

23.5

4. Beltran

16

5. M. Cabrera

14

6. Jeter

12

7. C. Davis

9

8. G. Davis

4

9. Green

3

10. I. Rodriguez

1.5

11. V. Martinez

1

 

1. Drabek

42.5

2. Boddicker

25

2. Gordon

25

2. Halladay

25

5. Oswalt

18

6. Prior

6

7. Mesa

3

 

 


Constantinople

 

1. Trout

57

2. A Rod

50

3. Howard

37

4. JGiambi

27

5. Bay

18

6. Morales

6

6. Mondesi

6

6. Bruks

6

6. A. Jones

6

10. T. Hunter

4

11. Everett

3

12. Alfonzo

2

13. Stairs

1

13. Jaso

1

13. Harper

1

13. B. Abreau

1

 

 

1. Hudson

31

2. Schmidt

22

3. Zimmerman

20

4. Dotel

19

4. Park

19

6. Wolf

14

7. Papelbon

12

8. Urbina

8

9. Cain

7

10. Dickey

3

11. Benoit

2

11. Foster

2

11. G. White

2

 

 


Eric (too many team names to list)

1. Baines

41

2. A. Gonzalez

39

3. Winfield

25

4. Stanley

16

5. Konerko

15

6. Youkilis

12

7. P. Fielder

10

8. Y. Molina

9

9. Hayes

6

10. Palmeiro

5

11. Tulowitzki

4

11. Eisenreich

4

13. Dykstra

2

14. Soto

1

14. Sanders

1

 

 

1. Verlander

96

2. Clemens

75

3. Lincecom

45

4. Foulke

41.5

5. Burnett

25

5. Hershiser

25

5. Sutcliffe

25

8. Portugal

24

9. Weaver

23

10. Frowirth

13

11. J. Smith

10

11. Nelson

10

11. Nomo

10

14. Lowe

8

15. Millwood

5.5

16. Jim Johnson

4

16. P. Wilson

4

16. Weaver

4

19. Clement

3

19. Hill

3

Future Wax

1. Bonds

170

2. Piazza

94

3. E. Davis

65

4. Griffey

56.5

5. Edmonds

53

6. Belle

48

7. Strawberry

33

7. Kemp

33

9. J. Gonzalez

28

10. Ludwick

24

11. Thome

22

12. Moss

20

12. McCutchen

20

14. Upton

18

15. Garciaparra

16

16. Tartabull

15

17. Stanton

13

18. Berkman

6

19. Pasqua

5

20. Reyes

2

21. Quentin

1

 

 

1. Maddux

148

2. Pedro

103.5

3. Kershaw

43

4. Guthrie

35

5. Nathan

33

6. Scherzer

23

7. Zambrano

18

8. Dibble

17

9. Greinke

9

9. J. Thompson

9

11. Bosio

6

11. Hanson

6

11. J. Santana

6

14. Garrelts

3

14. Morgan

3

14. Wood

3

17. Moyer

2.5

18. Hamilton

1

 

 


Jed (solo, with various team names and with Clint)

 

1. Votto

36

2. Abreau

9

3. C. Pena

7

4. Gwynn

6.5

5. Leyritz

5

6. Suzuki

4

7. Brantley

3

8. Jeffries

2

8. Bautista

2

10. R. Henderson

1

10. D. Lee

1

 

1. Smoltz

51.5

2. Clemens

21

3. Lackey

17

4. Sanders

11

5. Webb

8

6. Kluber

3

6. Kuroda

3

6. Mussina

3

6. Soria

3

10. F. Hernandez

1

 

 


Jeff/Dave/Joel (this same franchise has had three managers)

 

1. L. Walker

25

2. Puig

8

3. D. Santana

7

4. Tejada

6

5. Greenwell

5

5. Buhner

5

7. LoDuca

4

8. Walker

3

8. Olerud

3

8. Markakis

3

8. Lowell

3

8. C. Gonzalez

3

 

1. Schilling

46

2. Belcher

22

3. Samardzjia

12

4. W. Rodriguez

7

5. Pettitte

6

6. Glavine

5

6. Swindell

5

8. Garcia

4

8. Vazquez

4

10. Lohse

3

11. F. Rodriguez

2

12. Lester

1

12. Mussina

1

 

 


Manila Folders (solo Matt and with Jed)

 

1. McGwire

56

2. M. Williams

19

3. O. Smith

5

4. Edmonds

4

5. Whitaker

3

5. D. Henderson

3

5. Canseco

3

8. J. Lopez

2

9. Wilkins

1

9. K. Millar

1

9. Hoiles

1

 

1. Ryan

48

2. Appier

7

 

 

 


North Dakota

 

1. Pujols

76

2. R. Alomar

34.5

3. M. Vaughn

24

4. McGriff

23

4. Hamilton

23

6. Ellsbury

22

7. L. Gonzalez

18

8. Alou

16.5

9. B. Williams

15

10. Hafner

11

10. H. Ramirez

11

12. Ortiz

6

13. Justice

4

13. Guerrero

4

13. Craig

4

13. Cirillo

4

17. Segui

1

17. Lankford

1

17. Cano

1

 

 

1. R. Johnson

52

2. Clemens

40

3. Wetteland

34

4. Hoffman

29

5. Kimbrel

27

6.JR Richard

25

7. Beck

24

8. Peavy

23

9. M. Morris

13

9. Nagy

13

11. Gagne

11

12. Haren

10

13. Wainright

9

14. B. Jones

7

15. M. Adams

5

16. Cueto

4

17. Fleming

1

 

 


New Orleans (Ross’s Raiders, LH’s)

 

1. M. Ramirez

74

2. Mitchell

35

3. Cano

32

4. Wright

31

5. Sandberg

27

6. E. Martinez

21

7. Sheffield

8

8. Bagwell

7

9. Glaus

4

10. Vizquel

3

11. Werth

2

12. Van Slyke

1

12. O. Cabrera

1

12. Cuddyer

1

 

 

1. Rivera

57

2. R. Martinez

32

3. Valenzuela

25

4. Percival

22

4. Willis

22

6. D. Jones

16

7. Chamberlain

14

7. Sale

14

9. Leiter

10

10. Brown

9

10. Lilly

9

12. Uehara

8

13. Erickson

6

14. Carpenter

4

14. Harnisch

4

16. Carmona

3

16. Wagner

3

18. Benson

1

18. Langston

1



Door #1, Door #2 or Door #3?

 

How does the league do with its 1st pick overall?  Who has had the most?  Is there a difference in the top 3 picks?  The answer to these questions and more drives this summer study.  Below is a list of the top three draft picks each year, along with the decision of which of the top three picks was the best in hindsight.  Wherever possible, I used the retrospective draft analyses – done by me through 2004, and Tom since 2005.

 

Year

First pick overall

2nd pick overall

3rd pick overall

Best pick

1985

Gooden, T&A

Sandberg, Joel

Ripken, Robin

Ripken, Robin (3)

1986

Coleman, Matt

S. Fernandez, Robin

Guillen, Jed

Fernandez, Robin (2)

1987

Sierra, Arnie

Canseco, Joel

Eichhorn, Yitz

Canseco, Joel (2)

1988

McGwire, Matt

Dunne, Dave

B. Santiago, Arnie

McGwire, Matt (1)

1989

Jefferies, T&A

Cone, Robin

Belcher, Durga & Harold

Cone, Robin (2)

1990

Griffey Jr. T&A

G. Olson, Durga & Harold

A. Benes, Robin

Griffey, T&A (1)

1991

F. Thomas, Robin

Justice, Arnie

S. Alomar, Durga & Harold

Thomas, Robin (1)

1992

Plantier, Matt

Barberie, Dave

I. Rodriguez, Robin

Rodriguez, Robin (3)

1993

Schilling, Dave

Tewksbury, Jed & Clint

Eldred, Dave

Schilling, Dave (1)

1994

M. Ramirez, Harold

Sele, Robin

Bere, Land

Ramirez, Harold (1)

1995

A. Rod, Land

Trachsel, Harold

Klesko, Arnie

A. Rod, Land (1)*

1996

C. Johnson, Matt

C. Jones, Dave & Jeff

Nomo, Eric

C. Jones, D&J (2)

1997

Renteria. Jeff

Radke, Matt

A. Jones, Jed & Clint

A. Jones, J&C (3)

1998

Grieve, Robin

V. Guerrero, Jed & Clint

Alfonzo, Land & Brian

Guerrero, J&C (2)

1999

JD Drew, Eric

O. Hernandez, Jed & Clint

E. Chavez, Matt

Chavez, Matt (3)

2000

Benson, Harold

Mateo, Harold

Foulke, Eric

Foulke, Eric (3)

2001

Furcal, Matt

Weaver, Jeff

Vidro, Jeff

Vidro, Jeff (3)

2002

V. Guerrero. Jeff

Oswalt, Robin

Pujols, Arnie

Pujols, Arnie (3)

2003

Prior, Robin

Beckett, Matt & Jed

Clement, Eric

Beckett, M&J (2)

2004

M. Cabrera, Robin

Webb, Matt & Jed

Loaiza, Harold

M. Cab, Robin (1)

2005

Wright, Harold

BJ Upton, Robin

Mauer, Matt & Jed

Wright, Harold (1)

2006

F. Hernandez, Jed

Patterson, Jeff

Hermida, Harold

Hernandez, Jed (1)

2007

D. Young, Jeff

Verlander, Eric

A. Sanchez, Robin

Verlander, Eric (2)

2008

Carmona, Harold

Lincecum, Eric

Hamilton, Arnie

Hamilton, Arnie (3)

2009

Longoria, Jeff

Bruce, RAT

Dempster, Eric

Longoria, Jeff (1)

2010

Wieters, Arnie

Hanson, Robin

Zobrist, Harold

Zobrist, Harold (3)

2011

Posey, Robin

Heyward, Jeff

Stanton, Randy

Stanton, Randy (3)

2012

Lawrie, Jeff

Trout, Tom

Fister, Jed

Trout, Tom (2)

2013

Harper, Tom

Cespedes, Harold

Darvish, Robin

Harper, Tom (1)

2014

J. Fernandez, Harold

Puig, Jeff

Bogaerts, Jed

Bogaerts, Jed (3)

2015

Abreau, Jed

Pederson, Eric

Betts, Arnie

Betts, Arnie (3)

2016

Correa, Robin

Lindor, Arnie

Bryant, Harold

Too soon

 

* asshole

 

Summary

Total number of drafts: 31

 

Fairly even distribution actually.  Sometimes, the best pick is clear and a consensus (examples, McGwire, Griffey, A. Rod).  Sometimes the person with the first pick screws up badly by not choosing the consensus (choosing Lawrie over Trout for example) or choosing Phil Plantier over I. Rodriguez (or Mussina & Bagwell, also chosen in the first round of 1992’s draft).

 

But more often than not, the choice is not so clear cut.  Many of these first rounders were chosen because of a great card rather than future potential, so it’s important to keep that in mind.

 

Other fun facts:

 

First pick overall
Robin 6

Matt 5

Harold 5

Jeff 5

RAT 3

Arnie 2

Jed 2

Eric 1

Tom 1

Dave 1

Land 1

 


Injuries in the SOMBILLA

 With the demise of the Couch of Woe, a flurry of emails around the league brought to the forefront the always topical injury discussion.  Seeing as it’s been 10 years since the last injury study, an update is in order.

 Ideally, we would examine a historical list of all players who have gone on the DL, say, over the past 10 years, and add ‘em up. Or something like that. Although such data exists, it’s ridiculously difficult to sift through, while trying to determine which players were actually in the league at the time of the injury.  So, I won’t.

Right now

At the all-star break, 42 of the league’s 360 players were on the DL, or 12%. They were spread not so evenly among the league’s teams. Unlike the all-star lists, you don’t want your team to be at or near the top:

NO – Vazquez, Morneau, A, Gordon, Wright, Wheeler, Strasburg, Werth, D. Gordon

BC – Mcab, Harrison, Cobb, Myers, Aoki, Odorizzi, Darvish

WES – Freeman, Cozart, Medlen, Garza, Holliday, D. Holland

PR – Dickerson, Weaver, Alvarez, Utley, Furbush, Zimmerman

ND – Perdoia, Nava, C Lee, Wainwright

OC – Mesoraco, Prado, d’Arnaud, Rendon, Bautista

FW – Springer, Stanton, Profar, A. Sanchez, Stroman, Scherzer

CN – W. Peralta, Doolittle, Adams

But that’s just a snapshot in time. It doesn’t prove anything and you can’t draw any conclusions from it. Indeed, the snapshot would’ve been different in May, and will be different again in September (except for people like Darvish, Wainwright, or Profar out for the season).

  1. Fluke injuries.

Pitchers get sore arms. Players pull hamstrings. These are normal, almost expected. But occasionally, weird, inexplicable injuries occur to players. Is this a random occurrence by team or not? Well, some teams clearly are more susceptible to weird injuries. Coincidence?   At first I was going to list just the collection of some of the strangest injuries over the past 10 years affecting SOMBILLA players by team, but then I decided – what the heck, I’ll throw in all of the older weird injuries as well.  (Listed in order of weird injury count):

Robin:

Eric

·         Raul Ibanez missed time because of a sleeping injury. Seriously. It’s certainly not the most glamorous-sounding sports injury in history.

RAT

Arnie

Harold

Jeff

·         Phillies reliever Antonio Bastardo was unavailable to pitch after he apparently was ticked off after allowing three runs (two charged to starter Cole Hamels) in relief against the Twins. The reliever took out his frustration on a squat machine, and the squat machine “returned the favor.” Bastardo reportedly ended up with a cut over his left eye, and the eye was nearly swollen shut.

·         Texas Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus was scratched from spring training action because of “sensitivity” in his left biceps. How did his arm get so irritated? From being tattooed for hours. Andrus spent nine hours getting a massive portrait of his father, Emilo, who died in 1996, tattooed on his left arm

·         Michael Taylor sliced his finger after he hit his hand on a light fixture in the team’s dugout while throwing his gum away.

·         Hisashi Iwakuma strained middle finger on his throwing hand. However, the injury didn’t happen while he was throwing. Instead, he got it caught in a net, the protective movable screen used for batting practice.

·         Miami Marlins pitcher Henderson Alvarez was scratched from a start because of an infection in his right shin from an ingrown hair.

Jed

 Tom

·         Bryce Harper took 10 stitches above his left eye after smashing a bat against a wall in frustration.

·         “The ham and cheese sandwich that attacked Matt Cain”. All right, to be technical, it wasn’t the ham, the cheese or the sandwich itself that assaulted Cain. It was the knife he was using to finish off that sandwich. Cain told the San Francisco Chronicle’s Henry Schulman that he’s managed to successfully make sandwiches, and cut them with a knife, many times. But with this one, he “went to cut it, to make it fancy in triangles.” And, alas, the knife cut more than his fancy this time. He was slicing away when he dropped the knife, tried to catch it and learned an important lesson: Knives are sharp. That’s why they’re used to cut fancy triangles in sandwiches instead of, say, fingers.

·         In 2006, Matt Wise cut his hand on salad tongs at the team buffet.

·         In 2011, Indians' rookie Jason Kipnis strained his hamstring while stretching to avoid, you know, straining his hamstring.

·         Who can forget Kendry Morales, who went from elation to disappointment in a matter of seconds as he broke his leg celebrating a walkoff grand slam against Seattle. The injury caused him to miss the rest of the season.

 

  1. Deaths.

On a more somber note, a few SOMBILLA players have actually died while on active rosters, none in the past 10 years, thankfully:

 

Conclusion.

It may not be entirely based on a statistically valid sample size, but Robin’s team does appear to have an inordinate number of both normal (see current DL) and weird injuries and deaths, heading up every category in this unscientific study.  The Couch of Woe Effect is real.  But will it be sustained?

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

THE CUTE RATINGS

 Back by popular demand, after a 9-year absence…The Cute Ratings!  By Robin Perlow, guest columnist

 To no one’s surprise, the team with the most cute players, and the cutest player in the SOMBILLA, is Bay City, sporting just over half a cute roster with 23 cuties. The team with the fewest is The Pierogies, with only 12 cute players, but it does feature the winner of “cutest newly discovered cute player” (someone whom I did not know what he looked like prior to assembling the rankings): pitcher Jarred Cosart. Below are the fascinating details (teams ranked least cute to most cute). Note that three teams are tied with 16:

 The Pierogies—12: Catcher Norris loses out because of his 2014 Reddickian facial hair. Fewest number of cute pitchers with just 4. Would have even fewer if not for attractive draft (Pederson, G. Richards, R. Castillo, A Wood, and the aforementioned Cosart).

 “What Eric Said”—16: The least cute of the three with 16 cuties due to deductions for extreme unattractiveness of Broxton, Buchholz, and Garza. Jeff’s infielder Cozart no match for Eric’s pitcher Cosart. Note that one of his cuties is former Bay Cityite (drafted but cut in the waiver draft) Jack Marisnick.

Oceanus—16: Boosted by Xander Bogaerts but undercut by Pat Neshek. Does have one of the top 5 cutest in Chris Archer. Scott Van Slyke, unlike his father, Andy, is not cute. Tied with Constantinople for cutest infield in number of players with 7, but Bogaerts the tie-breaker.

North Dakota—16: The cutest of the 16ers thanks to the Yankees’ no-beard policy. Andrew Miller exceptionally cute clean-shaven (although I prefer him with longer hair). Arnie’s draft also helped overall team attractiveness (Betts, DeGrom, Miller, Kiermaier, Gillaspie, Chris Taylor).

 
Future Wax—17: Second-cutest pitching staff (to mine) with 10. Greinke, Hamels, Kershaw make a good-looking 1-2-3 rotation. I prefer Aybar and McCutchen with longer hair, but they are still attractive enough with short hair to make the list.

 
Constantinople—19: Tied for cutest infield with Oceanus with 7. Sean Doolittle a detriment. Note that former Bay Cityite Kevin Siegrist makes the list (if I had assembled my cut list by looks, I’d have done better than I did by assembling by usability).

 New Orleans—20: I gave both Jason Werth and Robinson Cano a half point each (Cano apparently started growing a beard the day he left the Yankees), as each would be cute clean-shaven. Sports the cutest outfield with 6.5 (everyone but Pompey and Santana). Harvey, Gray, Fernandez an attractive top 3 starting rotation. Quackenbush’s hideous beard and Joba Chamberlain bring down an otherwise very cute team. Note that former Bay Cityites Huston Street and Michael Cuddyer make the list.

 Bay City—23: Features the “Cutest Player in the SOMBILLA” in former Head & Shoulders spokesman CJ Wilson (now out for the season, and, according to Dave Pinto, disliked by his teammates on the Angels). Unbeknownst to me, I drafted an extremely attractive pitcher in AJ Ramos. Reddick forgoing the “Rip Van Reddick” beard helps immensely [see comment on Norris], as does Danny Espinosa shaving the horrendous mustache he sported in Spring Training.

 
The rest of the league is closing the gap a bit; in 2006, I had 21 cuties and the second-cutest team (A-51) had only 14.

 
 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JULY MADNESS

 
For the next study, I decided to do the SOMBILLA Summer Newsletter’s first tournament.  I originally wanted to do a 16-team tourney with the last 16 SOMBILLA Champions. 

 

<Stepping onto soapbox>

Unfortunately, due to Strat-O’s  arcane ‘key system’ for each computer year purchased, it is difficult to access past seasons, that had been downloaded onto a different computer.  As I’ve complained about here before, Strat-O refuses to help, you are not only supposed to have kept the access code, but also be able to access the old computer’s hard drive to relinquish the one authorized code back to the “cloud” so you can download it onto the new computer.  Ridiculous.

<Stepping off of soapbox>

 
I was able to access all of the past 8 seasons, which is at least a nice geometric number.  But an 8 team tournament is kind of boring, so I took all 16 of the SOMBILLA’s World Series participant teams over the last 8 seasons.  I thought about making it a 32-team tournament, using all 32 playoff teams from the past 8 years, but it is labor intensive trying to ensure each team has the correct roster as used (for most teams, they reflect my estimate of the 25-man roster that I set up, and do not include in-season trades).  So 16 it was.  (Maybe next year I’ll have time to add the rest of the playoff teams and let Jed and Jeff play.)

 
All managers are represented, except Jeff and Jed. Jeff has not made it into the SOMBILLA World Series since he won the Championship in 2003.  In the 12 years since then, he has lost in the first round of the playoffs 4 times, including last season.

However, Jed blows that away.  He has not appeared in the SOMBILLA World Series since 1990, when he managed the Plymouth Satellites to the 11th inning of the 7th game against legendary Yoknapatawpha (44-12).  We all remember that one:

 
**POST MORTEM** About 2 or 3 days after the series, Eric discovered to his horror and dismay that in the 9th inning of game 6, Barrett, who botched a squeeze just before Jones's single won it, was ineligible to pinch-hit for Uribe because no one was left to play shortstop. What to do? Replay it from there, and then possibly replay game 7? (Horrors!) Eric first consulted Jed, and then me. Both Jed and I came to the following independent conclusions:
     1. Barrett's at bat was inconsequential - he screwed up; it was T. Jones who won the game.
     2. If the games were replayed and Jed won, it would be a 'tainted' victory.
Because Jed & I came to the same conclusions on our own, it was agreed by all three of us to let the games stand. Thus, it is Eric who has the 'tainted' victory. (Just kidding).

    

Anyway, Jed, both solo and co-owning (Clint and Matt) has lost in the first round of the playoffs 6 times in the past 25 years, having gone 14 seasons, from ’92-93 to ’05-06, without even making the playoffs.

Anyway, Eric has 4 teams in this tournament – 2 as The Cheddarmen, and one each as Go Avocado! and Dem Bums.  Future Wax and New Orleans have 3 teams each, while Bay City, New Orleans, and North Dakota have two teams each.

 

For seeding, the World Series winning teams were seeded 1-8 of course.  For those 8 teams, I used their teams’ post-season records.  Three teams had 8-3 post-season records, so to break the tie, I went with regular season wins.  Eric had the top two seeded teams.  The number 1 seeded team in the tournament was Dem Bums ’09-10, which went 8-3 in the post-season after going 34-20 in the regular season.

Seeds 9-16 were the World Series losers, seeded in order of regular season wins.  Interestingly, none of those 8 teams had the same number of wins, so I didn’t need to have a 2nd tiebreaker rule.

Here are the teams seeded 1-16:

 

    1.  Dem Bums         ’09-10
    2.  The Cheddarmen   ’11-12
    3.  North Dakota     ’13-14
    4.  North Dakota     ’12-13
    5.  Future Wax       ’07-08
    6.  Future Wax       ’14-15
    7.  Constantinople   ’08-09
    8.  New Orleans      ’10-11

9.     Future Wax       ’09-10

10.      Go Avocado!      ’10-11

11.      New Orleans      ’08-09

12.      Constantinople   ’13-14

13.      The Cheddarmen   ’12-13

14.      New Orleans      ’14-15

15.      Bay City         ’11-12

16.      Bay City         ’07-08

 
This sets up a rematch of two actual SOMBILLA World Series in the first round - ’11-12 Cheddarmen/Bay City (2 vs 15 seed) and ’12-13 Cheddarmen/North Dakota (5 vs 12 seed).

 
Round 1:

(Seeding in parenthesis)

(8)   2010 NEW Defeats (9)   2009 RAT 4 games to 0
(10)  2010 GOA Defeats (7)   2008 CON 4 games to 3
(6)   2014 RAT Defeats (11)  2008 NEW 4 games to 2
(5)   2007 WAX Defeats (12)  2013 CON 4 games to 1
(13)  2012 CHE Defeats (4)   2012 NDK 4 games to 0
(3)   2013 NDK Defeats (14)  2014 NEW 4 games to 1
(15)  2011 BAY Defeats (2)   2011 CHE 4 games to 3
(1)   2009 DBM Defeats (16)  2007 BAY 4 games to 1

Biggest upset of the first round?  The 2011—2012 rematch – this time Bay City shocks Dem Bums in 7 games (Eric won the original in 5 games). The only other series to go 7 games was Eric’s ’10-11 Dem Bums knocking off ’08-09 CN in 7 games (CN’s World Series champs actually finished 4th that year at 27-29, so perhaps a no. 7 seed was a mistake). Eric’s teams went 3-1 overall, only Robin’s upset prevented him from claiming 4 of the 8 teams in the 2nd round.  Randy’s 3 teams were 2-1.  CN’s two teams were knocked out, leaving 5 managers still in it.  Only 5 of the original World Series winners (the top 8 seeds) won in the first round. 

Here is the first round leaderboard
TOURNAMENT REAP REPORT - JulyMadness
 
BATTING AVERAGE     HOME RUNS           RUNS BATTED IN
M.Young   CHE .579  M.Ramirez DBM    5  A.Torres  BAY   11
N.Markaki NEW .542  C.Pena    CON    5  D.Fowler  NDK   10
Y.Molina  CHE .500  A.Huff    DBM    4  A.Huff    DBM    9
J.Thome   WAX .471  A.Torres  BAY    4  M.Napoli  NEW    9
C.Utley   CHE .462  OTHERS TIED W    3  OTHERS TIED W    8
 
WINS                SAVES               ERA
J.Peavy   NDK    2  R.Soriano DBM    3  MANY TIED WIT 0.00
C.Kershaw RAT    2  J.Papelbo CON    3
J.Weaver* DBM    2  H.Kuo     BAY    3
OTHERS TIED W    1  OTHERS TIED W    2
 
 
CUR HIT STREAK      STOLEN BASES        STRIKEOUTS
C.Crawfor DBM    7  C.Crawfor DBM    3  J.Santana WAX   21
R.Martin  CON    7  J.Reyes   WAX    3  T.Lincecu DBM   19
A.Gonzale BAY    6  OTHERS TIED W    2  J.Weaver  DBM   19
OTHERS TIED W    5                      T.Lincecu DBM   19
                                        OTHERS TIED W   17
 
 Round 2:


So, we’re down to the Elite Eight. Here are the remaining teams:

 1.  Dem Bums ’09-10

3.  North Dakota ’13-14
5.  Future Wax ’07-08
6.  Future Wax ’14-15
8.  New Orleans ’10-11 
10. Go Avocado! ’10-11 
13. The Cheddarmen ’12-13 
15. Bay City ’11-12 
 
No rematches here, although ’11-12 Bay City, after knocking off #2 seed The Cheddarmen, is once again matched up against Eric, this time the #1 seed.  Can they do it again?
 
(6)   2014 RAT Defeats (8)   2010 NEW 4 games to 2
(10)  2010 GOA Defeats (5)   2007 WAX 4 games to 3
(13)  2012 CHE Defeats (3)   2013 NDK 4 games to 1
(1)   2009 DBM Defeats (15)  2011 BAY 4 games to 2
 
No.  And, after ’12-13 Cheddarmen upsets #3 seed ’13-14 North Dakota, Eric owns 3 of the Final Four teams.  That ’12-13 Cheddarmen team, which lost the World Series to North Dakota in 5 games, is now 8-1 in the tournament.
 
Here are the leaders after two rounds:
 
BATTING AVERAGE     HOME RUNS           RUNS BATTED IN
N.Markaki NEW .542  A.Huff    DBM    8  A.Huff    DBM   18
M.Young   CHE .472  M.Ramirez DBM    6  B.McCann  WAX   15
P.Fielder CHE .472  L.Berkman WAX    6  L.Berkman WAX   12
P.Burrell CON .455  J.Thome   WAX    6  J.Upton   RAT   12
OTHERS TIED W .429  OTHERS TIED W    5  A.Torres  BAY   12
 
WINS                SAVES               ERA
C.Kershaw RAT    3  S.Downs   DBM    4  J.Howell  RAT 0.00
OTHERS TIED W    2  OTHERS TIED W    3  I.Kennedy NDK 0.00
                                        J.Weaver  CHE 0.59
                                        K.Correia CON 0.84
                                        C.Kershaw RAT 1.09
 
CUR HIT STREAK      STOLEN BASES        STRIKEOUTS
R.Zimmerm DBM   12  J.Reyes   WAX    4  M.Bumgarn RAT   32
B.McCann  WAX   11  M.Bourn   CHE    4  T.Lincecu DBM   32
B.Zobrist NEW    9  B.Upton   BAY    4  J.Santana WAX   30
M.Cabrera BAY    9  OTHERS TIED W    3  M.Scherze RAT   27
C.Utley   CHE    8                      T.Lincecu DBM   25
  

 

Round 3 – the Final Four

It’s the Eric show!  (And I don’t mean former North Dakota pitcher Eric Show).  Only last year’s champion Future Wax cracks the Eric monopoly.  Eric impressively has three different team names as well:

 

(1) Dem Bums ’09-10 vs. (13) The Cheddarmen ’12-13

(6) Future Wax ’14-15 vs. (10) Go Avocado ’10-11

 

Dem Bums 10 The Cheddarmen 1

The Cheddarmen 3  Dem Bums 1

The Cheddarmen 4  Dem Bums 3

The Cheddarmen 5  Dem Bums 4

The Cheddarmen 7  Dem Bums 6

 

The Cheddarmen wins 4 games to 1

 

Go Avocado! 9  Future Wax 5
Go Avocado! 3  Future Wax 2
Future Wax 7  Go Avocado! 1
Future Wax 6  Go Avocado! 5
Go Avocado! 2  Future Wax 1
Go Avocado! 7  Future Wax 5
 
Go Avocado! wins 4 games to 2
 
World Series

It’s the team that lost the World Series to North Dakota in 5 games (13th seeded The Cheddarmen ’12-13) vs. the team that lost the World Series to New Orleans in 7 games (10th seeded Go Avocado! ’10-11).

 

Game 1 – The Cheddarmen 9 Go Avocado! 7

 

Win:Verlander(1-0) Loss:Wilson(0-1) Save:Betancourt(1st)
Homeruns- P.Fielder(1st), A.Gonzalez(1st), T.Tulowitzki(1st), M.Ramirez(1st)
 
Michael Young had 4 hits and scored 3 times at the ballpark as The
Cheddarmen club beat the Go Avocado!2011 ballclub by the count of 9 to
7.Justin Verlander(1-0) was pleased to get credit for the victory with a lot of help from his teammates.  
 
Game 2 – Go Avocado! 4  The Cheddarmen 3
 
Win:Lincecum(1-0) Loss:Weaver(0-1) Save:Franklin(1st)
Homeruns- P.Fielder-2(3rd)
 
Prince Fielder rocketed 2 homeruns as the Go Avocado!2011 team defeated the
The Cheddarmen ballclub by the score of 4 to 3 at the ballpark.
 
Tim Lincecum(1-0) was very good in the win.  He allowed only 6 hits and no
walks in 8 innings.
 
 
Game 3 – Go Avocado! 4  The Cheddarmen 2
 
Win:Wuertz(1-0) Loss:Papelbon(0-1) Save:Thatcher(1st)
 
In a tight game it was the Go Avocado!2011 team 4, The Cheddarmen club 2
in 13 innings at the ballpark.
 
The score was knotted at 1 after nine innings.  Go Avocado!2011 ended up
winning it in the 13th inning.  After an out was recorded, Troy Tulowitzki
started the rally when he drew a walk.  Ryan Zimmerman followed and he
doubled.  Ryan Sweeney then doubled.  
 
Game 4 Go Avocado! 5 The Cheddarmen 3
 
Center fielder Nyjer Morgan had 2 base hits as the Go Avocado!2011 team
defeated The Cheddarmen club by a score of 5 to 3 at the ballpark.
 
Go Avocado!2011 won the game with a rally in the top of the 9th inning with 2
runs on 3 base hits.  Manny Ramirez led off the inning for Go Avocado!2011
when he slapped a single.  J.D. Drew was next and he stroked a single.
Yadier Molina then slapped a one-base hit.  Morgan was up next and he worked
the squeeze play to perfection.
 
Game 5  The Cheddarmen 2 Go Avocado! 0
 
Justin Verlander took a no-hitter into the 7th inning as The Cheddarmen
club defeated the Go Avocado!2011 team by a score of 2 to 0 at the
ballpark.
 
Verlander(2-0) was simply too much for the Go Avocado!2011 batters.  He didn't
give up much, just 1 hit and 1 walk in 7 and 2/3 innings.  Verlander racked
up 10 strikeouts, seeing his ERA drop from 9.95 to 4.50.  The right-handed
Verlander lost his no-hit bid when Adrian Gonzalez doubled with two outs in
the 7th inning.
 
Game 6 Go Avocado! 6  The Cheddarmen 5
 
Win:Lincecum(2-0) Loss:Weaver(0-2) Save:Franklin(2nd)
Homeruns- T.Tulowitzki(1st), P.Fielder-2(6th), T.Tulowitzki(2nd)
 
Designated hitter Prince Fielder launched 2 homeruns and had 5 RBI and Tim
Lincecum mowed down 12 Cheddarmen batters at the ballpark where the Go
Avocado!2011 team beat The Cheddarmen club by the score of 6 to 5.
 
The home town fans were very appreciative of the fine hitting performance
provided by Fielder.  He lost the ball over the fence for three runs in the
3rd inning and cleared the fences for a two-run home run in the 5th inning.
The Cheddarmen threatened in the 9th but their rally came up short.  
 
The win went to Lincecum(2-0), who allowed 3 runs in 8 innings. Ryan Franklin
earned his 2nd save.  Jered Weaver(0-2) was the losing pitcher.  
 
When asked about his strikeout total for the game, Lincecum offered, 'The
fans really got into it.  It is fun to see them tally up the strikeout
totals up there in the stands.  Fortunately, I kept them busy this afternoon
- of course, it would be all for naught without the 'W'.'
 
Go Avocado! wins the Series (and the tournament) 4 games to 2

 

World Series MVP: Prince Fielder. Go Avocado!  .259, 6 homers, 12 rbi’s.




Managers: Regular Season vs. Playoffs [8/14]

 

As suggested by Eric (gee, I wonder why).  Who has the best post-season record compared to their regular season record?  Who is the worst?  Normally, I get around to updating the all-time regular season and post-season totals per manager in September, just before the SOMBILLA season begins. I went ahead and did it a little earlier this year – these include the season just concluded:

 

Regular season

 

 

 

 

Post season

 

 

 

W

L

Pct.

W

L

Pct

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Randy Divinski

633

434

.593

 

Eric Robinson

90

63

.588

Jed Corman

594

497

.544

 

Tom Kinney

48

40

.545

Tom Kinney

486

409

.543

 

Randy Divinski

77

78

.497

Arnie Pollinger

979

864

.531

 

Jed Corman

53

56

.486

Harold Mellor

748

677

.525

 

Harold Mellor

65

72

.474

Eric Robinson

943

882

.517

 

Arnie Pollinger

74

86

.463

Robin Perlow

773

933

.453

 

Jeff Donahue

15

18

.455

Jeff Donahue

452

575

.440

 

Robin Perlow

27

35

.435

 

So who has the biggest discrepancy?  Here are the results of Post-season winning percentage minus Regular season winning percentage:

 

Manager

Post season pct minus Regular season pct

 

 

Eric

+ .071

Jeff

+ .015

Tom

+ .002

Robin

- .018

Harold

- .051

Jed

-. 058

Arnie

- .068

Randy

-.096

 

Big surprise there.  The past two seasons have not knocked Eric off the top of the heap.  (Indeed he still had a winning pct in the post-season of 2012-2013 despite losing the World Series in 5 games, thanks to sweeping Randy in the first round).  Biggest post-season disappointment?  Randy, almost 100 percentage points lower when March rolls around than in the regular season.  Jeff, with one World Series crown, is a surprising 2nd, although his league-worst regular season winning percentage is a major factor.

 

As expected, the league fares worse, relatively speaking, in the post-season than in the regular season.  What?  How’s that now?  Isn’t the aggregate winning pct for all teams .500 in both the regular season and the post-season?  Yes.  But not all teams get the chance to count toward that aggregate .500 post-season percentage.  Only the best 4 teams move on and get to play in March.  So, the regular season winning percentage of those teams who play in the playoffs is > .500, yet they play only .500 ball in March.  Therefore, it’s logical that the regular season percentage should be higher than post-season pct for most teams.

 

Note that the winning percentages of the eight active managers is not .500 (it is .515), because it does not account for the combined totals of the rest (Clint, Matt, Dave, Land, Tsuan, Andrew, Brian, Tom M., Ritchie Dudek, Yitz and Durga)

 

Anyway, that was an easy one.  Thanks, Eric.

  
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Ballpark study [8/14]

 

Last summer we studied home and away records and concluded that Jed is the best manager at maximizing his ballpark dimensions to suit his team.  This summer we ask different questions – what ballparks does each manager like to choose?  How much do ballpark designs fluctuate from year to year?  Which managers prefer hitter’s parks, average parks, and pitchers’ parks?  What about fences (what about them)?

 

First, the raw data.  Here are lists of every manager’s ballpark dimensions going back ten seasons.   (These are readily available on the SOMBILLA website.  Going back further than that would require a trip into the attic and digging through old newsletters, not gonna happen).  Note that for Jed’s first two seasons in this study (’04-05 and ‘-05-’06, he shared a team with Matt, so Matt gets his nose into this study a little bit as well.

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

Arnie

11

11

5

5

High

13-14

 

Harold

8

8

19

19

High

13-14

 Ar

14

18

5

8

Low

12-13

 

 

18

18

19

19

High

12-13

 

3

11

6

13

Low

11-12

 

 

1

1

13

7

High

11-12

 

7

15

13

19

Low

10-11

 

 

1

1

15

9

High

10-11

 

9

12

7

7

High

09-10

 

 

1

1

1

1

High

09-10

 

7

5

12

18

High

08-09

 

 

2

5

15

15

High

08-09

 

13

13

6

9

High

07-08

 

 

19

19

19

19

High

07-08

 

4

7

7

16

High

06-07

 

 

19

19

19

19

High

06-07

 

8

15

6

6

High

05-06

 

 

10

1

10

4

High

05-06

 

4

4

6

9

High

04-05

 

 

19

19

4

4

High

04-05

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tom

19

7

7

1

Split

13-14

 

Randy

16

8

10

10

Low

13-14

 

10

19

13

19

High

12-13

 

 

11

17

14

17

Low

12-13

 

1

1

17

17

High

11-12

 

 

10

5

13

8

Low

11-12

 

17

17

19

19

High

10-11

 

 

10

7

10

13

High

10-11

 

3

10

10

19

Low

09-10

 

 

1

8

5

14

Split

09-10

 

19

12

19

12

High

08-09

 

 

12

5

12

5

High

08-09

 

19

19

19

19

Low

07-08

 

 

19

9

19

9

High

07-08

 

5

18

19

19

High

06-07

 

 

18

10

19

15

Split

06-07

 

1

10

10

19

High

05-06

 

 

18

9

18

9

Low

05-06

 

19

19

19

19

High

04-05

 

 

19

7

15

11

Low

04-05

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

Fences

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

 

 

L

R

L

R

 

Season

Robin

6

6

1

1

High

13-14

 

Jeff

1

4

4

4

Low

13-14

 

14

11

5

7

High

12-13

 

 

10

10

9

9

Low

12-13

 

10

10

14

14

High

11-12

 

 

1

4

1

1

Low

11-12

 

12

9

5

2

High

10-11

 

 

6

6

6

6

High

10-11

 

7

7

4

4

High

09-10

 

 

4

10

9

9

Low

09-10

 

15

15

5

5

High

08-09

 

 

8

14

6

9

High

08-09

 

11

14

11

11

High

07-08

 

 

11

8

4

4

High

07-08

 

3

16

3

11

High

06-07

 

 

14

6

1

1

High

06-07

 

15

19

7

7

High

05-06

 

 

4

13

11

11

High

05-06

 

7

11

5

11

High

04-05

 

 

14

14

12

9

Split

04-05

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Eric

3

3

11

8

Low

13-14

 

Jed

1

1

1

1

High

13-14

 

5

2

9

5

Split

12-13

 

 

1

1

1

1

High

12-13

 

7

14

6

6

Low

11-12

 

 

14

19

10

10

High

11-12

 

17

17

7

7

High

10-11

 

 

14

5

11

5

High

10-11

 

17

17

7

7

High

09-10

 

 

1

1

10

5

Split

09-10

 

16

13

7

7

Split

08-09

 

 

4

2

2

4

High

08-09

 

11

16

8

3

High

07-08

 

 

7

14

7

14

High

07-08

 

8

15

5

5

High

06-07

 

 

4

4

4

4

High

06-07

 

7

13

7

7

High

05-06

 

Jed & Matt

8

10

10

13

High

05-06

 

15

15

10

10

High

04-05

 

Jed & Matt

8

10

13

15

High

04-05

 

 

 

 

So, what parks does every manager choose, on average?  Here is the answer – each manager’s average park over the past 10 seasons, rounded to the nearest integer:

Average Ballparks for last 10 years

 

 

Home Runs

Singles

 

 

L

R

L

R

Index

Tom

11

13

15

16

186

Randy

13

9

14

11

159

Harold

10

9

13

12

145