THE SOMBILLA’S PRE-SEASON ISSUE

 

Copying from the prior year’s newsletter for over three decades

Vol XXXVII, No. 1

November 3, 2019


 

Opening Day of The SOMBILLA’s 40th season is Sunday, November 3rd at 11:00 AM at the Bay City/Commissioner house.  Remember to turn your clocks back Saturday night.

 

                                                                  ------>>>>>  Predictions <<<<<-------

 

5 league members submitted predictions.  This year’s picks courtesy of the combined brainpower of Jed, Harold, Robin, Randy and I. Thanks to all who participated.

 

 

1.      Jed (“Oceanus”) – Possibly the best rotation in the league but a less impressive bullpen…Three starred #1 starters in Nola, Kluber and Clevinger. Plus Walker Buehler.… great pitching, great infield, mediocre OF. …Finishes in first place but loses to North Dakota in the World Series to extend the years of frustration   Adam Eaton and Michael Brantley—why can’t I get players like that? …Ten top 50 players… Excellent team, has the perennial rebuilding finally arrived?... Weak bullpen…Misses Jeff...Say ‘maligned Lamana’ ten times fast… One trade from being the team to beat…Karmically-challenged manager… Good defense (how many 1 third basemen does one team need?)

 

2.      Arnie (North Dakota)   Will get his ass kicked by Jeff’s team, causing them to finish 2ndBetts, Yellich, Goldschmidt….deGrom does not a rotation make…Betts, deGrom and Yelich are 3 of the top 10 players…Starters after deGrom are the only weakness…Tremendous power…. Back to back!...Misses Jeff…Overall, pitching a relative weakness….Back to the future with 4 starred starters and a 9-man staff…Outstanding bullpen.. Solid arms….A potent lineup boasting both MVPs plus Goldschmidt and Lindor (and Jorge Soler—why can’t I get players like that?).

 

  1. Randy (Future Wax) – It's not your last year's Future Wax… Wait till next year for this team to cash in on a Washington Nationals–heavy roster? …Not a bad team…  Only 1 top ten player (Machado). .. Scherzer is a beast and leads a potentially fine starting corps. ..This lineup very tough against lefties… Not impressed with the bullpen…Hitting shockingly mediocre… Mutant Voit is an X factor.  But overall...a relatively worse-than-average lineup. .. Misses Jeff… Does FW have the most multi-carded players in the league?... solid starters, great infield, decent OF, weak pen.

 

4.      Harold (New Orleans) – Very competitive lineup… Strong rotation to go along with typically strong (and abundant) bullpen...16-man pitching staff should be interesting to watch…Starting pitching acceptable...Misses Jeff…. JD Martinez!! and a strong supporting cast….Finally a semi-off year for Kenley Jansen...The usual superb bullpen… With so many Yankees on the team it’s hard to be objective… Spectacular pen, but should have drafted another starter….New Orleans was an also-ran last year, which means he’ll make the playoffs this year.

 

5t.   Tom (Constantinople) – Decent bullpen… Dansby and Bader look much better than they hit…Misses Jeff. .. Some defensive holes in the infield… It will be exciting to see how Ohtani does…. Trout, Harper, and nothing else… Does he have a good enough bullpen to make up for a lefty-heavy rotation?...Despite the monster Trout, Ohtani, Rizzo, Harper, and a solid pen, I actually agree with Tom that his team will not compete this year…. Bucking convention with several lefty starters…Mike Trout, as usual, is the #1 player….But overall, the lineup is relatively weak…  … The very unclutch Trout still better in the clutch than anyone on my team….Not this year.

 

5t.    Eric (Haiku Agression) – Changes his team name.  The asshole plays with my head. Gonna kick his ass…Name change has clearly pissed off the rest of the league… will contend for a playoff spot. …Will the name change change the fortunes of this team and will it change to “Baby Sharks” next year?... Misses Jeff…6 top 50 players, about league average. ..Some questionable questions…3 #1 starters, led by Verlander.  Better than average bullpen.  Not sure I understand why simulations were unkind...on paper, seemingly closer to 5th or 6th.... This team will be very good next year and is very good against lefties this year… One year away from being a lock….Not horrible, basically mediocre.

 

7.       Jeff (“What Eric Said?”) – He will laugh his ass off somewhere in the ether after his team finishes 4th, causing the league to scramble….Whatever I say here, he will kick my ass….  Weak at SS and RF….  I was planning on picking this team last (before it took 3 of 4 from each member of my household), and I think I still will just so Jeff can taunt us from the grave when his team reaches the post-season…. O'Hearn second best mutant in the league…. strong infield except SS, strong OF led by Acuna and Cain… Solid bullpen…Misses everything… Has 2 top ten players - Realmuto and Bregman….  His starting pitching is worse than mine (and mine is bad), but his hitting is better, and he has the best hitting catcher (by far) in the league...Will kick all of our asses -next year… Mikolas and a very limited Buchholz lead the worse-than-league-average starting staff… The excitement of Acuna. 

 

8.      Robin (Bay City) – Benintendi is her best player. Hence, no playoffs this year….If only the standings were based on team cuteness rather than wins and losses…A couple of good starters. .. Only 3 top 50 players…  This team was making space in the locker room for the 2020 first or second pick overall before “Spooneybarger” was even uttered at the 2019 draft…Off year for usually #1 SS Correa…  As for starting pitching, Snell and Cole and then a black hole. .. Sorry, honey, but at least you’ll have a great pick next year…Looking forward to next year’s Gerrit Cole card (but not next year’s Blake Snell card)….Some fine relievers I would be happy to have…Misses Jeff… Why is this team carrying the retired and unusable Adrian Beltre?

 

Voting summary

 

Votes were counted based on predicted postseason performance.  So, someone who was chosen to win it all receives a first place vote, WS loser a 2nd place vote, etc. Points equal 1 for 1st, 2 for 2nd, etc.  The fewer points the better.

 

 

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

Total

Jed

3

1

1

 

 

 

 

 

8

Arnie

2

2

 

1

 

 

 

 

10

Randy

 

 

2

 

3

 

 

 

21

Harold

 

1

1

1

 

1

 

1

23

Eric

 

 

1

 

2

1

 

1

27

Tom

 

1

 

1

 

1

1

1

27

Jeff

 

 

 

2

 

1

1

1

29

Robin

 

 

 

 

 

1

3

1

35

 

 

 

 

Current All-time stats (complete through 2018-2019 season)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regular Season

W

L

Pct

 

Post-season

W

L

Pct

 

Randy 

797

550

.592

Eric 

92

71

.564

 

Tom

634

541

.540

Tom 

57

45

.559

 

Jed

730

641

.532

Randy

101

102

.498

 

Arnie 

1127

997

.531

Jed 

67

70

.489

 

Harold 

882

823

.517

 

Arnie 

89

96

.481

 

Eric 

1072

1031

.510

 

Harold 

72

79

.477

 

Robin 

903

1083

.455

 

Jeff

26

29

.473

 

Jeff 

583

724

.446

 

Robin

30

43

.411

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Upcoming milestones this season:

·         Arnie’s loss of 3 of 4 to Jeff in October was his 1000th loss

·         Randy’s 3 of 4 over Jeff in October was his 800th win

·         Harold needs 18 wins for 900

·         Robin needs 17 losses for 1100

·         Eric needs 28 wins for 1100

 

New league rule for 2019-2020:

Starters may not be yanked unless they’ve pitched the lesser of 4 innings or their tired factor, or yielded 3 runs.

 
 

Starred starters

There are only 15 starred starts this year: Cole, Porcello, Shields, Kluber, Clevenger, Keuchel, Gibson, Corbin, Greinke, Hendricks, Marquez, Freeland, Mikolas, Nola, Chacin

 

Ballpark limits for the upcoming season:

 

·             Max BP HR differential between L and R: 9 (Chicago NL)

·             Max BP S differential between L and R: 9 (Detroit)

·             Ballpark singles more than ballpark homers, maximum: 17 (Fenway)

·             Ballpark homers more than ballpark singles, maximum: 15 (Philly, LA)

                                                                         

A reminder too that all teams, not just the teams opening at home, must announce their ballparks by Opening Day.


** Revised** Old rules worth repeating.  Please take a few minutes to read these.

 

1.       All teams now have off days after games 20, 28, and 40.  They count for both injuries and relief (and unstarred starters who pitch no more than 5 innings in the series before the off day).

2.       Hitters can pitch! To save innings, use the hitter’s pitching card found in the official rules.

3.       Three-out rule.  The three-out period to determine when a relief pitcher is tired is a rolling 3-out period.  That is, a reliever becomes weak after giving up 3 hits/walks during any consecutive three-out period after a pitcher’s point of weakness.

4.       Reliever tiredness. If a reliever pitches 2 or more innings above his relief fatigue rating then he must rest one day before his next appearance. If he pitches 3 or more innings above his relief fatigue rating then he must rest two days before his next appearance. If a relief pitcher is used without the proper amount of rest, consider him fatigued for the entire outing.

5.       Rainouts before games 1 and 3 of every series. Two dice are rolled.  If snake eyes (a “2”) come up, there is a rainout.  All pitchers get an extra day of rest (but no games actually postponed).  The day-off/rainout rule also applies to injuries (counts as an injury day), and a one-game playoff, but not post-season (no rainouts in the post-season).

6.       Injuries after the 20th game roster freeze. You are allowed to adjust your roster for each series for injuries that carry through another series.

7.       Holding a runner on 1st - 1B AND 2B or SS have defense rating go up 1 (e.g. 4e10 becomes 5e10).

8.       Holding a runner on 2nd - subtract 4 from 2nd rating; must get good lead.

9.       Holding and baserunning. When a runner is held on first or second, subtract 1 from running rating. If NOT being held, add 1 to running rating.  With runners on 1st and 2nd, the rule applies to runner on 1st, who is considered held if the lead runner is held.

10.    Trail runners on throw home = speed + arm - 5.

11.    Trail runners on throw to 3rd = automatic.

12.    Lo(max) - 1-7 TRIPLE PLAY; 8-20 double play, lead runner out.

13.    Tagup from 2nd.  On fly (rf) B only, a runner at second base may advance:  Running speed +/- right fielder's arm, +2 for a throw to third base from right field. The only OUT chance is a roll of 20. If the roll is higher than the highest safe chance, but not 20, the runner holds. Example: A 1-14 runner and a -1 arm. Safe 1-15; Hold 16-19; Out 20.   This rule does not apply to fly (rf)B? readings from cards or to F2 readings from the fielding chart.

14.    Squeeze and corners or infield in.  With the bases loaded and the corners or infield positioned in, downgrade the bunting rating two levels instead of one level (e.g. A bunter becomes C bunter) for squeeze plays.

15.    Low fences.  Whenever there is a Homerun/Flyout split (from the cards or the ballpark chart), if the last number in the homerun range or the first number in the flyout range is rolled then the outfielder's ability will be checked with another roll of the 20-sided die.  Refer to the following chart to determine which outfielder has a chance for the catch:

 

Batter Bats

Last number in HR range

First number in Flyout range

Left-handed

Rightfielder

Centerfielder

Right-handed

Leftfielder

Centerfielder

For instance, if the homer range is 1-14 and you roll a 14 or a 15 on the 20-sided die then you must roll the 20-sided die again and refer to the following chart to determine the outcome:

 

Outfielder's Rating

Homerun

Flyout

1

1-3

4-20

2

1-7

8-20

3

1-11

12-20

4

1-15

16-20

5

1-19

20

 

16.       Blocking the plate. Whenever there is a play at the plate the catcher’s blocking ability comes into play if the last number in the safe range or the first number in the out range is rolled (sometimes referred to in the SOMBILLA as a ‘disputed call’).  For example, if the safe range (after all adjustments have been made) is 1-14 and you roll a 14 or 15 on the 20-sided die, then you must roll the 20-sided die again and refer to the following chart to determine if the runner is safe or out:

Catcher’s Rating                          Safe      Out

                          1                                1-2        3-20

                          2                                1-6        7-20

                          3                                1-10      11-20

                          4                                1-14      15-20

                          5                                1-18      19-20

17.       When the bases are loaded and the infield is in, a gb()A results in a home to first double play.  Other runners advance one base.

18.       gb()A, gb()B, or gb()C hit to 1b or 3b with runner on 1st, 1st and 2nd, or 2nd only, and corners are in, refer to infield in on the charts (because the fielder is in).

19.                The 26th man can be different for each of the last three series you are eligible to use 26 men

20.                Pitchers are not allowed to pinch-hit and can bat only when they are on the mound pitching in the game, except Ohtani.

Past champions of the SOMBILLA

 

1979                  

Tsuan Li               

Nazgul

1981-1982          

Tsuan Li               

Nazgul

1982-1983           

Robin/Tsuan       

Bay City Nazgul

1983-1984           

Jed Corman         

Evil Bunnies

1984-1985           

Jed Corman         

Shithead

1985-1986           

Eric Robinson      

Marakesh Express

1986-1987           

Andrew/Tsuan    

Future Wax

1987-1988           

Andrew/Tsuan    

Future Wax

1988-1989           

Eric Robinson      

Yoknapatawpha

1989-1990           

Eric Robinson      

Yoknapatawpha

1990-1991           

Andrew/Tsuan    

Future Wax

1991-1992           

Andrew/Tsuan    

Future Wax

1992-1993           

Eric Robinson      

Franz Josef Land

1993-1994           

Andrew/Tsuan    

Future Wax

1994-1995           

Eric Robinson      

The White Visitation

1995-1996       

Arnie Pollinger     

North Dakota

1996-1997

Eric Robinson

Finn's People

1997-1998

Randy/Andrew/Tsuan

Future Wax

1998-1999

Arnie Pollinger

North Dakota

1999-2000

Arnie Pollinger

North Dakota

2000-2001

Harold Mellor

New Orleans

2001-2002

Randy/Andrew/Tsuan

Future Wax

2002-2003

Jeff Donahue

Area 51

2003-2004

Eric Robinson

Gawd B

2004-2005

Tom Kinney

Constantinople

2005-2006

Tom Kinney

Constantinople

2006-2007

Tom Kinney

Constantinople

2007-2008

Randy/Andrew/Tsuan

Future Wax

2008-2009

Tom Kinney

Constantinople

2009-2010

Eric Robinson

Dem Bums

2010-2011

Harold Mellor

New Orleans

2011-2012

Eric Robinson

The Cheddarmen

2012-2013

2013-2014

2014-2015

2015-2016

2016-2017

Arnie Pollinger

Arnie Pollinger

Randy Divinski

Jeff Donahue

Tom Kinney

North Dakota

North Dakota

Future Wax

“What Eric Said”?

Constantinople

2017-2018

Randy Divinski

Future Wax

2018-2019

Arnie Pollinger

North Dakota